English Premier League Betting 17th - 25th Feb

English Premier League
17 Feb 15:00 UK Liverpool v Swansea 4/7 3/1 9/2 + 103 Bets

23 Feb 12:45 UK Fulham v Stoke 2.05 3.25 3.50
23 Feb 15:00 UK Arsenal v Aston Villa 1.33 4.80 8.00
23 Feb 15:00 UK Norwich v Everton 3.50 3.30 2.05
23 Feb 15:00 UK QPR v Man Utd 6.00 4.00 1.50
23 Feb 15:00 UK Reading v Wigan 2.37 3.30 2.80
23 Feb 15:00 UK West Brom v Sunderland 2.05 3.25 3.50
24 Feb 13:30 UK Man City v Chelsea 1.95 3.50 3.60
24 Feb 13:30 UK Newcastle v Southampton 2.00 3.40 3.50
25 Feb 20:00 UK West Ham v Tottenham 3.20 3.30 2.15

Apologies for some of the weird odds. Because they are a week and a half away, not all bookies will have odds. I'll go through them and up normal odds.

Edit - fuck it - they will have to do

Thanks for this one, i tend to only get involved in the prem betting wise so already looking at these games.
A lot of bookies are yet to price up these games but there already seems to be a bit of value which might not stick about.

Reading v wigan is priced up at a best price 1.7 for btts but looking at their relative home and away form, the 1.91 for the overs looks an attractive punt.
Reading have had overs in 69% of their homes this season and have had overs in 70% of their last 10 homes (btts has been 70% on this period too)
Wigan have also had overs in 69% of their aways this term and 8 out of their last 10 aways (btts was 6 out of 10th in the same period)
Reading have been overs (and btts) in their last 6 overall and Wigan in their last 4

Considering Reading have had only a single 1-1 draw at home this season and Wigan only one away, the overs looks worth the additional risk for the increased returns.

The return match ended 3-2 to Wigan.

Overs - 1.91 (for now) with bwin

Looking at the way they dominate practically everyone at home, im never confident opposing Liverpool at Anfield but they are always far too short to back especially while they have a habit of fucking it up (west brom, villa)

Swansea are a different team on their travels and will be very defensive - this team have only had 1 goal in the first halfs of their last 10 aways and there is a huge draw risk.

0-0? 3-0? 0-1?

AVOID!!!

Dominate? Have you got the right team?

There are ten teams who have picked up more points at home than they have. What's the word for what they do if Liverpool "dominate"

How many of those 10 teams have had at least double the amount of shots and shots on target than their opponents in their last 10 homes?

I'm no fan of Liverpool, trust me but if you can produce 10+ shots on target every time you play at home, youve got a chance.

And if you're producing 10+ shots on target every time you play at home and still winning less than half of your matches then you're doing something very, very badly and you're not worth betting on.

I totally agree!!

I agree with Punter

Two bets, both Sunday. City and Newcastle. Over odds on both so one to win for a small profit

Using my spreadsheet from my system thread, Liverpool are very unlikely to score three against Swansea (11% 3 Exactly, 16% 3 or more) So I wouldn't Think 3-0 isn't a possibility In fact I price under 2.5 at 1.7, and the five most likely scores are 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 2-0, 0-1 followed by 2-1 so the 2.2 available looks very good value

However I only give Liverpool a 49% chance of victory so would probably lay.

That was a score i plucked out the air to illustrate i have no idea on this game and won't be getting involved.
Good luck on your bets though and liking you poisson system!

Guys, any ideas on the Arsenal vs Villa total score? I think Arsenal will win this one 1:0. But i'd like to hear your opinions, as well. Cheers

No answer Frank- everyone must be busy today.


At least you got the result and the margin of victory right. nice one