where the fuck did my post go?

what the fuck

i just made a huge post to reignite the olde wisdom of crowds debate with loads of new ideas and examples of how ive made market manipulation work, which wouldve added some much needed gambling related content to this PIECE OF CRUSTY RAT CUNT OF A SHITEHOUSE webpage and given others the chance to rip it to shreds/jizz over my theories, for all of our gain.

it took me 30 minutes to write you know, mustve been a link in there that stopped it posting.

fucksake i even spellchecked it!

gerrit sorted you wankers

i wrote a quick one to start, got distracted in another tab, then wrote the long post.

i cant think what ive done, i pressed the 'create new topic' thingy and it reloaded to page asking me to hit the browser back button... which brought me to a blank screen

nah ill try again next week, my eyes have gone all wonky looking at numbers.

ive been using half a dozen website prediction leagues to get correct scores from non-gambling folks who watch the leagues every week, this past 3/4 full fixture cards (cunternational break), adding up the total number of goals people think in each game, then using them to get over/under 2.5 goal predictions.

overall theyre hitting about 60-65% right but it gets interesting when the odds on offer are taken into account...

deffo a team effort this, it takes hours even using spreadsheets to do the sums

the games that have had the most goals predicted since i started (averaging 3 or more) have 100% been over 2.5.

this week that was leeds, chesterfield, torquay and southampton

for the least number of goals, theres a high strike rate too. was barnsley, hull, exeter and orient this weekend.

every other game was between 2.0 and 2.99, fucking hell ive done near 50 predictions per game

the 'wise' crowds ignore the odds, punters change their mind when they see a market, thats the key i think

im off for a lie down

yeah it is interesting doing it (if a bit repetitive).

been trying to find 'wise' crowds to gamble with for a while, i think ive finally done it, just takes a bit of work. i know if it carries on doing well then itll not be hard to find recruits. that said, as long as its doing well, then its easy to stay motivated.

crowds that come to the best decisions have be independant, have a broad range of relevant knowledge and be devoid of central leadership. the fans doing these comps are knowledgable of their own teams, competitive to get it right, ignorant of odds (gambling tipping comps all go for 3-3, 4-4's etc) and thus outside influence. the final piece of the wise crowds puzzle is aggregation, collating and applying results, its just a list of numbers unless you can make it mean something.

people dont even know it but theyre predicting the total goals in a game, most predictions have the fav winning but its the 'openess of the games that varies in peoples minds.

ill do a midweek round up tuesday

or perhaps i wont, my fav tipping website isnt doing the midweek games.

anybody else done a similar study?

A post of mine has gone from earlier as well....

On the Karl Pilkington thread

Erm nope lol

rc is right slick, if we didnt have shite posts then we wouldnt have any posts at all