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Antepost Soccer Betting/35% r.o.i

Discussion in 'The Glory Hole' started by hotspur, Oct 16, 2011.

  1. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Okie Dokie,
    The purpose of this thread is to promote antepost betting(mostly on football).

    Thats a n t e p o s t b e t t i n g NOT h o t s p u r

    Antepost betting is without doubt the best way to make money from betting on football.

    The advantages are:

    1) A minimal amount of work is required to make a profit.The main reason for this is that stats play absolutely no part in antepost betting(some people might say that that in itself makes it the best way to bet:)!)

    2) Antepost betting provides the greatest amount of entertainment for your money.
    Say,tomorrow, you bet £100 on Man Utd to win the premiership-then for the rest of the season you have an interest in all of Utd,Chelsea and City's games, for about £1 a game!

    3) When you start to win money from the bookies you dont get banned!
    (except from shybet,natch)

    4) You never chase losses and it is an utterly non-addictive way to gamble.

    5) You have plenty of time to think about your bets i e if a team is 6-1 on monday its usually 6-1 on friday night.

    6) Antepost betting on football provides the ONLY REALISTIC way for an ordinary person to win a life-changing sum of money.

    7) Whereas accumulator bets on most markets are nearly always bad bets,this is not the case with antepost markets!!:eek

    NB before I proceed I would like to ask a favour.I know that there are some very clued up people on here who will want to question no.7.By all means post your doubts but I ask you not to expect me to explain until the end of the season?
    Also,there are,in fact,two other main advantages to antepost betting one of which would take too long to explain and the other I wish to keep to myself for the time being.
    ThunderCelt likes this.
  2. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Now,of course, the most important thing is how do you make money from antepost betting!?

    To answer this question I need to break it down into 3 parts:

    a) how can you make10% from antepost betting?
    b) how can you make 35% from antepost betting?
    c) whats the best way to use antepost betting to try to win a life-changing sum?

    As far as b is concerned I am,as the title suggests,going to show you how to do it by posting bets on this thread which should make a profit of around 35% and,indeed,although ideally I would start posting bets in the new year I will be posting the very first bet later today.

    I will deal with c at the end of the season once I have made the 35%.

    Which leaves a)...........how can you make 10% profit from antepost betting?

    Now, I managed to annoy people by stating in another thread that I can make 10% profit "in my sleep" and I sincerely apologise for that.
    Since I dont wish to say anything else that may cause offence it seems to me that the best way to answer the question is simply by quoting ALL of the pre-season antepost advice that I gave on another forum from which most of the members of this forum came.
    I dont think there can be ANY DOUBT that anyone who followed my advice would be well on the way to making a 10% r.o.i

    In fact,forget that,anyone who followed my advice would be virtually guaranteed a 10% r.o.i ALREADY!

    Indeed,I have to admit that when a moderator on this site suggested that "its time to put up or shut up"I wondered whether or not they were fully aquainted with all my tips on the other site?

    I dont wish to know the answer to that question but I do think that any new member of this site should be made aware of those posts so that they know that they can,if they wish,bet on any tips I give on this site with confidence.

    to be contd.......quotes to come
  3. ThunderCelt

    ThunderCelt National League Punter

    Messages:
    1,558
    I'm looking forward to this discussion. Over the last couple of seasons my anteposts have turned a profit while my other bets have at best broken even. My tactic is to bet small to begin with as the prices are longer, and to get bigger as the field sorts itself out. As hotspur says, part way through the season sems to be better than early on.

    Although I can't claim any life-changing amounts, a massive rate of return, or a paticularly clever strategy, I can see where hotspur is coming from.
  4. traeth

    traeth Moderator

    Messages:
    2,034
    I'm in agreement with hotspur with statement a) the 10% target - back and lay the favourite but looking forward how to achieve c
  5. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    ha,I can give you an acca thatll probably go close right now if you want-but you will need to get your heart checked first:)
    and thank you Thundercelt...
  6. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Please note that the following quotes are very slightly paraphrased-any words in brackets have been added merely to explain meaning and of course any ex member of the site in question can check the actual posts....

    Thread: Napoli to win serie a

    19/07/11 00.35

    Hotspur:I just saw on a stats site that Napoli are 50-1 (to win serie a)with centrebet!surely that must be the best value price on any team in GB and Europe right now!?havnt taken it so hopefully itll still be there(for someone)in the morning

    swodka: cant lay on centrebet so how will I lay the bet later?

    Pete89: back on centrebet,lay on betfair etc

    swodka: thanks,but best time to lay is when?

    hotspur:well,I would wait for the fixtures to come out,we may have a better idea then.If it was me,I would treat it as a( straight)bet hoping that Napoli beat either Inter or Milan when they first meet which should see a good cut in their price....

    if noone on here takes it soon,Im having it

    END

    sept 2011 serie a Napoli 3,Milan 1

    current price 5-1,lowest price 4-1

    to be contd
  7. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Thread : Paris SG/Pastore (hotspur)
    30/07/11
    hotspur: it looks as if PSG have signed Pastore,
    if so,then,together with their other signings,there is no way that they should be 3-1 or 11-4 to win the league.
    these prices will not last!!
    get on

    END

    current price evens,price BEFORE 1st game of season(bet 365) 2-1

    more...
  8. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    been up all night so will give the first bet now as I am falling asleep.

    BANK is £2000
    Sorry, points confuse the hell out of me.I know where I am with money...

    In order to make 35% trebles are the order of the day but this bet is a single.

    I wanted to give this particular bet because it is so clearly value and therefore illustrates that I am able to do this NOT because of any skill,cleverness or whatever else but because other people DONT........

    PADDY POWER

    ST JOHNSTONE TO WIN THE SCOTTTISH FA CUP 50-1

    £25
  9. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    CORRECTION £40 not £25
  10. traeth

    traeth Moderator

    Messages:
    2,034
    It can be difficult if you want it , e.g.£37.96 = 1 point or you could try something simpler like this
    or use multiples of 10 or 100
  11. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Sod it,who wants to wait til february to have a bet-

    accumulator: stan james

    southampton e/w championship 4-1 1/4 123
    hddersfield e/w league 1 2-1 1/4 123
    ross county e/w scot div 1 8-1 1/5 123
    messi top champs league scorer 7-4 1/4 1234

    2 points e/w = 4pts

    remaining bank 1956 pts
  12. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    12 points/accumulator
    SKYBET
    Ipswich to be promtd 4-1,Huddersfield to be promtd 8/11,Southend to be promtd 13/8,ParisSG to win french lge 5/6

    BANK 1944
  13. Punter

    Punter Moderator

    Messages:
    8,806
    Nope, i rarely do other sites.

    Good luck with all your bets Hotspur :)
  14. rcgills

    rcgills Moderator

    Messages:
    5,309
    I think he's referring to another site which we all used quite frequently before Betnod was created, Punter :lookaround
  15. Punter

    Punter Moderator

    Messages:
    8,806
    What, YouPorn :unsure
    Ah, TDP. No i wasn't fully aquainted.
  16. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Sorry,in a rush so no time to read/comment on the above apart from to thank Punter for wishing me good luck.

    6 POINTS
    Stan James
    accumulator

    SOUTHAMPTON to be promoted 10/11,SHEFFD WEDS. to be promoted 6/4,ARBROATH to win scot div 2 3-1,PSG to win the french league 5/6
  17. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    CORAL

    treble

    HUDDERSFIELD to be promoted 4/6,SOUTHAMPTON to be promoted 4-5,MAN CITY to win the champs league 16-1

    12 points

    BANK 1926
  18. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    11/8 is a GREAT price for city to win the prem. I was discussing with a friend what the price would be as I had been thinking about it all week,and I told him that if I get 5-4 I will lump on...of course the market is assuming chelsea win v QPR...
  19. Wayne

    Wayne Active Member

    Messages:
    571
    Have you then?
  20. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    not yet,I have until saturday. As you may have gathered I do multiples...so I am going through all my bets so far to see what other teams to bet on with City.
    From before the start of the season I lumped on to City in the market without Man U and Chelsea(at 6-4).
    I actually started betting on City to win the prem.last week when it was likely(due to them being at home to villa and Utd playing at Lpool),that they would go top but ALSO in case they won yesterday.
    I actually have a very good position on Man Utd which I will need to hedge.
    I also need to decide whether to bet,for example,Huddersfield to be promoted OR to win the league.
    In all likelyhood I will bet something like:
    City to win the prem,soton to be promtd,huddersfield to be promtd,crawley to win lge 2,Cowdenbeath to win Scot div2(as I am hedging Arbroath)and they are probably the best team anyway.
    Of course,as I indicated above,I DO realise that doing accumulators will cause some of you(or even all of you!) to think I am foolish.
    I am ATTEMPTING to win a particular amount of money and accas are the only way to achieve that....

    I may well fail:eek:

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