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English Premier League Betting 13th May

Discussion in 'Football Betting' started by slick, May 8, 2012.

  1. slick

    slick Administrator

    Messages:
    15,578
    English Premier League
    13 May 15:00 UK Chelsea v Blackburn 1.28 5.00 8.50
    13 May 15:00 UK Everton v Newcastle 2.25 3.30 2.75
    13 May 15:00 UK Man City v QPR 1.14 6.50 15.00
    13 May 15:00 UK Norwich v Aston Villa 2.20 3.30 3.00
    13 May 15:00 UK Stoke v Bolton 2.50 3.40 2.50
    13 May 15:00 UK Sunderland v Man Utd 8.00 4.00 1.40
    13 May 15:00 UK Swansea v Liverpool 3.25 3.40 2.05
    13 May 15:00 UK Tottenham v Fulham 1.44 4.50 5.50
    13 May 15:00 UK West Brom v Arsenal 4.33 3.75 1.67
    13 May 15:00 UK Wigan v Wolves 1.61 3.60 5.00

    Odds [SIZE=2][SIZE=2][SIZE=2]William Hill[/SIZE][/SIZE][/SIZE]
  2. slick

    slick Administrator

    Messages:
    15,578
    I thought there might have been some clear cut fixtures this last weekend but the way results have gone lately it's become a tough weekend by the looks of things, epsecially at anything resembling a decent price.
    Norwich seems to be the only game that appeals to me but even then I'm not overly confident.
  3. Punter

    Punter Moderator

    Messages:
    8,801
    I've struggled to call Liverpools results this season but i think they'll win with a goal to spare this weekend. Another good performance from Carroll expected as to boost his Euro squad chances.

    Liverpool -1 @ 3/1 Paddy P's
    Carroll anytime scorer @ 2/1 S.James
  4. swooperman

    swooperman Resident nob

    Messages:
    3,220
    I'm not sure I'm with all this sudden pro-Carroll business but fair do's. the only ones I can see worth looking at are (deep breath)
    Chelsea to rest a few? Mind you Blackburn couldnt even really raise a showing against wigan so maybe not.
    I dont think I'd want to be on Arsenal @ 1.67 @ albion :unsure
    &.....looking at the prices available, if you can get 8.5 on blackburn what about the other 2 biggies? It feels difficult to see United not winning under the circumstances but 7/1 @ home? And I'm not being a shit-stirrer but knowing the type of club that Man City are, 15.0 on QPR leads you to believe thats a dead game for them. i'm not saying I see City slipping up here, but 14/1's a bit fucking large innit ?
  5. slick

    slick Administrator

    Messages:
    15,578
    It is Large but that's probably because City haven't been beat at home in nearly 18 months, If anybody fancies QPR then laying City at those prices would be a safer bet imo, allthough like yourself I don't fancy QPR to get anything to be honest :zhail plse God let that be )

    I'm not so sure about Liverpool Punt, Swansea have had a good season and may want to round the season off with a win in their last home game of the season, suppose it also depends of what sort of team Liverpool put out, like a lot of these games this weekend.
  6. slick

    slick Administrator

    Messages:
    15,578
    I've been pouring over and over these fixtures without much luck, barring a couple of fixtures it looks like a lottery this weekend.

    Everon v Newcastle....
    Everton as usual coming good at the back end of the season whilst Newcastle still have an outside chance of gaining CL qualification.
    I don't think anybody would be confident of a pick here and there's no way I'd back Newcastle at Goodison as Everton have a habit of putting decent teams on a mission in check.
    Can't see anything other than 1X but there's no value in that.

    City v QPR...
    You'd have to be living on the moon to not see the importance of this fixture.
    Can't see past a City win:zhail but with so much riding on the game for QPR also I wouldn't be suprised to see them park the bus and Hughes has a habit of getting a point against City.
    If they do then I expect City to throw the kitchen sink at them and with the attacking options they have win this by the odd goal or a landslide.
    Something also tells me Tevez by nook or by crook will score in this game.

    Norwich v Aston Villa....
    One of a few games this weekend where I'm quite sure both teams will be looking forward to their summer break, more so Villa with the season they have just had.
    On current form i'll give Norwich the edge after the fight they put up againt Arsenal recently and on that viewing I'm pretty sure they would like to finish the season at home with a bang.
    Norwich win.

    Stoke v Bolton ...
    Huge game for Bolton but they have looked pretty piss poor over the last few weeks, Stoke have it within themselves to win this with ease but it's the sort of game that reminds me of the 'old gentlemans club' and I don't have the desire to find out how friendly Coyle is with Pullis as i'd rather leave it well alone.
    Head says Stoke but intuition says Bolton.

    Sunderland v Man Utd....
    In normal circumstances I'd say Sunderland would put up a fight but with so many ex United players playing for them i have a feeling they may take their eye off the ball for this one.
    I have every faith that Oneil will do his best to get a result but I don't have the same faith in his players.
    United win, I just hope it's not 0-12:lol

    Swansea v Liverpool...
    Tricky game to call if KK decides to put out a strong team, I'd advise to look at team news before betting on this one because if KK does put out a few of the kids which he is prown to do in meaningless games then I would jump on Swansea.
    I know the same could be said about the midweek game against Chelsea but that was a game coming on the back of thier defeat by them in the FA cup final which was half expected.
    The other issue that comes into this is liverpools desire to finish above Everton which I think may be the case, that would throw this game wide open and make me leave well alone.
    Liverpool team news is vital before betting on this match.

    Tottenham v Fulham..
    With so much riding on this match for Spurs it's hard to back against them.
    Fulham are a decent side but a fully comitted Spurs side at home in the last game of the season with hopes of CL qualification should see them off.
    It won't be an easy game but I expect Spurs to see this as their end of season final and give it all they have , hence I wouldn't be suprised to see them win this by a couple of goals at least.
    Spurs -1 on the AH @ around evens.

    West Brom v Arsenal..
    After watching Arsenal last weekend it would be wise to leave them well alone but with so much at stake for them I reckoon it's worth giving them another chance , especially considering the chances they create .
    My only concern would be it being Hodgsons last game in charge of West Brom which could go two ways, either they put in a performance for him or now the pressure is off with nothing to prove until a new man comes in they take thier foot off the gas, i know i said that last week too lol, but it was that way until Bolton self destroyed, something thats bothering me as Arsenal have done the same on quite a few occasions this season.
    No bet for me but like the bookie's would make Arsenal strong favourites for this game.

    Wigan v Wolves..
    Wigan now safe and Wolves relegated with no pressure upon them makes this a no no IMO.
    Current form suggests Wigan should and may well walk this game but I have the feeling there may be a release of pressure here and it could turn out to be an exhibition match.
    Hence I would personally go with both teams to score.
  7. Rob44

    Rob44 Member

    Messages:
    168
    agree with your everton v newcastle assessment slick. my team look like burning out and i don't fancy their chances against an in form everton. also i think people at a higher level than pardew might think europa league is a better option than champions league at this stage of the rebuilding process.
  8. molotov

    molotov New Member

    Messages:
    1
    I placed a treble with BOYLESPORTS today as follows :

    Man City v QPR - Draw - 17/2
    United to win the Premier League - 11/2
    Bolton to be relegated - 4/11

    I left the shop, after about 5 mins one of the shop attendants caught up with me in the street and asked me to return to the shop as there was a problem with the bet. In the shop they were on the phone to Boylesports head office. Head office could not take the bet and would not honour it, they said the bets were related. The guy on the phone said that if QPR drew, United would then win the title, so it was the same bet!
    Who are these stupid people, do they not know that United must win at Sunderland, THEY DO NOT AUTOMATICALLY WIN THE LEAGUE IF QPR GET A DRAW!
    Anyway BOYLESPORTS cancelled the bet, and its obvious Boyles no nothing about how a league system works, are afraid of losing a few quid and are probably one of Ireland's worst betting firms!
  9. suirthing

    suirthing Member

    Messages:
    203
    Thats a clever treble Molotov and just a bit too clever for Boylesports liking obviously, Well they are a fairly shitty bookies, when you look past all that crap with the coffee, sandwiches and comfy armchairs, and get down to the business of what a bookie is meant to be all about, they are really shit. I was at the races in Clonmel one day and rang to get 300 on a 4/1 shot, no way they said 150! thats a bookie with no balls :moon
  10. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Thats one of the most related bets Ive ever seen ffs.

    If City draw then the chances of Utd winning the league are equal to their chances of winning at Sunderland so obviously no bookie will offer 11/2!!
    Iv always found Boylesports,for their size,to be a decent bookie.

    Not only that but arent Bolton vying with QPR for relegation,lol?
  11. sin2bad

    sin2bad Member

    Messages:
    59
    If United get wind that City are maybe 2 or 3 up in the first 20 minutes i think they may not give it everything against Sunderland.

    7/1 if you ask me is worth a few quid.
  12. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Youre damn right its worth a few quid-Ive said it before and Ill say it again-the best time to bet on soccer results is at the end of the season.
    Its also been tipped in the racing post.
    its worth it even if City are drawing imo
  13. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    btw its worth bearing in mind that the chance that Sunderland take the lead in the game at some point is 30%+ and thats based on their 7-1 odds....so its worth having a bet in order to hedge....of course if City are 2 up and Sunderland go 1 up you might wanna not hedge...the choice is yours but not betting at 7s if its still available is,um,not a clever move.methinks
  14. suirthing

    suirthing Member

    Messages:
    203
    Sin there is one thing us Paddy's know, Boyles are a pack of cunts!:)

    lets say that treble went tits up anyway, would Boyles give im back his bet Sunday evening after the event NFW

    I would like to hear ODM's analysis, he is one always that has something to say on betting matters and bookies :rant
  15. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    well I will lay you 1/2 that ODM has never had a big problem with Boylesports ....and you are being very unfair in view of the fact that they came out of the shop to tell him!!!!?

    They have never banned me and have always dealt charmingly and efficiently with me......
  16. Punter

    Punter Moderator

    Messages:
    8,801
    That type of related bet has been banned for at least 20 years that i know of ( i found out the hard way), it's standard for every bookie going. In fairness Boyles did come and rescue you before the off.

    I'm on various Andy Carroll bets tomorrow, i think he'll start and want at least one more goal to push for the Euro 2012 squad.
  17. Punter

    Punter Moderator

    Messages:
    8,801
    Both teams to score sprang to mind when seeing that line up.
  18. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    You're right Hotspur, I've never had a problem with Boylesports and I quite rate them as a bookie to be honest. Tell you the truth though, I don't see anything wrong with that bet. As Molotov says, even if QPR and City drew, United would still have to win to win the league and Bolton would still have to fail to win to be relegated. True, one result impacts on the other two but they are still effectively separate bets. A related bet would be a treble of City to Win, City to win the league and City to keep a clean sheet.

    Looks to me like someone has panicked and called the bet off.
  19. sin2bad

    sin2bad Member

    Messages:
    59
    Defo Suir not fond of Boyles at all myself, would very rarely use them.
  20. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,212
    Only just seen this.ok
    the total odds hes getting are about 90-1 on his selections.

    do you think that 90 -1 was a fair price on city to draw,utd to win and bolton to be relegated?

    For Utd to win the league City HAD TO draw or lose.IE the 11/2 price is due to the fact that City must fail.
    Once you specify that City draw the chance of Utd winning the league is no longer anything like 11/2,its the chance of them winning.
    Therefore the 2 things ARE related.
    One event affects the price of the other.


    So far as Bolton and QPR were concerned I didnt work out any ins and outs-I was laughing too much but no bookie wouldve taken even that part of the bet.

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