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LMC Tipster

Discussion in 'Football Betting' started by LMC Tipster, Oct 8, 2011.

  1. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    ...and me
  2. Yorkieacer

    Yorkieacer BEST GAMBLER IN WORLD

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    Might have to read this book
  3. Colbro

    Colbro Well-Known Member

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    I think so. Posted as Joe and made the site interesting reading. I've not done an accy since reading his posts/book
  4. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

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    quite surprised to read that that book put you off accas since,if its the same book I have,I thought that,compared to almost every other book,its more positive about the value of accas!?
  5. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

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    Oh,fair enough-you mention his posts...which I havnt read
  6. Wayne

    Wayne Active Member

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    Did he post back in the days when we were all on PL or on TDP?
    His name rings a bell?
  7. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    12,545
  8. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

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    Really pleased to have learnt about the above:)-up half the night reading Joes posts.YEP,interesting stuff-possibly more interesting than the book but I spose thats cos of his answers to other posters.
    Anyway,about trebles and accas,someone specifically asks him about geoff harvey(his popular book apparently advocates trebles or even accas-I say apparently cos,even though I have it and have read it 3 times,I somehow had not remembered this!!)
    and really,all Joe says is that he doesnt like such bets cos of the increased risk of going broke.
    Now,the most interesting thing(for me)that Joe wrote in the dozens of posts I read is that "most people greatly underestimate the psycholocical impact of long losing runs" which is the main reason he,himself,prefers low odds and,it follows,singles.
    AND THE THING IS,it really is all down to your own personal mental make-up.
    At one point in his book,Joe actually says,
    "there is really no right or wrong way to gamble"(no jokes about anyone on here perlease folks:))and so,I conclude
    that if you are happier knowing that you are unlikely to lose your bank BUT knowing that you will NEVER have any chance of a life-changing win,instead always knowing that if you are really,really good and a bit lucky you might,just might make 14% profit one season but that most of the time your profit(if you make one!)will be less than 10%,then,of course dont do trebles and accas.
    BUT,BUT,BUT if you are a different kind of personality especially less risk-averse and someone who might be thinking,
    "if I am doing all this research etc to make a steady £3-5000 a year(for example),wouldnt I be better off going out and earning that money since Id be meeting people,having fun(if working in a music bar,say)and,probably be more appealing to women as they dont really get gambling or even training to be a bleedin accountant!"etc etc etc,then obviously you are gonna be leaning towards accas or at the very least doubles or....a job in aforementioned music bar:eek
    It really is "horses for courses":unsure.
  9. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

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    just one more thing,I wouldnt want anyone thinking(from the above) that I dont respect people who are risk averse/only do singles.

    I absolutely do respect them,in fact rather in the same way that I admire any man who can remain faithful to one woman for more than, say, 8 years.
  10. Wayne

    Wayne Active Member

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    :lol Why 8 years exactly?
  11. Colbro

    Colbro Well-Known Member

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    Good Post Hotspur.
    I think the main problem with accys is shown in post 30 of this thread where LMC has a desperate 60 point 5 fold to chase losses rather than accept that losses happen and stick to the original plan.
  12. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

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    wow,thanks Colbro(and Wayne):).
    when I saw that you had replied I was a bit apprehensive as I thought I might be criticised for that post.
    (must be getting a bit sensitive in my old age:eek::unsure:frown)
  13. swooperman

    swooperman Resident nob

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    3,220
    7 year itch :unsure
  14. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

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    nope(anyway,last I heard/read the 7-year-itch is now,though I am not sure about this,more like a 2-3 year itch)
    I shall answer Waynes question soon.:)
  15. Miss Marple

    Miss Marple New Member

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    Human nature is always interesting. I rarely leave the confines of my little village these days, and yet I find that I understand people more and more as the years pass. Of course, we are all more or less the same, although - perhaps fortunately – most of us don’t realise it.

    Gambling is so very similar to murder, you see - the method is more important than the outcome. Murder is very simple once one accepts that the outcome is inevitable, and that the key to its success is in the planning and execution. Fortunately for all of us, in my experience truly gifted murderers are as rare as truly gifted gamblers.

    The murderer who kills on the spur of the moment will always make mistakes. Likewise, the murderer who dwells too long on the moral issue of taking a life is not paying enough regard to the mechanics of the act. No, it is the murderer who accepts the necessity of their actions and devotes all of their attention towards ensuring that the deed is done with the minimum of fuss that has the best chance of being successful.

    Of course, one doesn’t make such gruesome comparisons lightly, and murder is always a serious subject – but then so too is gambling, if one wishes to be proficient at it. The gambler who accepts that the outcome – whether it is winning or losing – is beyond their control, and so concentrates on the method of selection itself, is the customer the bookmaker most fears. But there, as I say – we are all so very alike in the end.
    winrew likes this.
  16. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

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    Miss Marple, sincerest greetings as ever,I must say I do so admire the way you seem to time your appearances to absolute perfection-always leaving people wanting more.
    It is,is it not,interesting to compare gambling with murder since,of course, the most famous murderer in the history of humanity was not Cain,who stopped at one, but,of course.................
    JACK THE RIPPER........and he of course killed 5 people(some say 6)..........which,as far as I am concerned,puts him well and truly in the category of someome who,were he a betting man and alive today,would definitely do ACCAS!!!probably 5 or 6 way accas to boot!
  17. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

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    In which case, I think it's fair to say that Yorkie is the Harold Shipman of the accy world
  18. LMC Tipster

    LMC Tipster Member

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    -359 now, got one but the sending offs in the Oxford game didn't help. Oh dear.
    Well I backed Spain with 10points yesterday, 10/11. Afew bookies are still going 10/11 which is quite fair, although evens would have made it nicer.
    I shall be having a smallish bet in the FACup later in the week to go with the spain single.
    Some interesting reading on this thread again, good stuff, anyway all the best, LMC Tipster.
  19. Yorkieacer

    Yorkieacer BEST GAMBLER IN WORLD

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    Ive got you a tip for the fa cup well three Crawley Town @ 2.37, Oldham @ 1.72 and Luton @ 2.25
  20. LMC Tipster

    LMC Tipster Member

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    Good morning. Today I feel I have a good a solid, and quite safe trixie bet in three FACup games.
    Best odds Corals, FLEETWOOD to win draw no bet 8/11, CHESTERFIELD to win Evens and OXFORD CITY to win 11/10.
    10point trixie, total 40points, also had Spain as per previous post for 10points.
    All the best, today is the day this dire run ends(Hopefully!). LMC Tipster.

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