Npower League Two 27th Aug

Those with a Vic Chandler account (I haven't) might look at Sean Rigg to net for Port Vale. He's got four in five games in all competitions, although two braces mean he's only scored in two. I think the general 13/8 or 5/4 ish is about right - VC's 13/5 and Paddy's 12/5 look a bit long to me.

It's also very early in the season and Gillingham's place looks to me a little false - they've had on paper an 'easy' start yet have still conceded in each of three away games (including Carling Cup). Adam La Fondre has four goals already this season, and has scored in each of his last three. He's unsettled at the moment, but Paddy's 6-4 anytime still looks good to me - although again I don't have access to it.

Northampton v Morecombe
Northampton possibly be without, Herrad (striker) Holt (mid).
Morecambe have started well,and im inclined to take them on the h'cap,got find the bookie that offers the best h'cap odds.

I'm going to follow Basher on Morecambe (DNB) at 13/8. I hadn't seen that team news so ta for pointing it out.

I'm also going for Barnet (DNB) at 11/10. Bradford are in a bit of a mess at the moment. Barnet have played four teams in the top six (although of course positions don't mean much at the moment) but still have only one defeat, and a couple of useful-looking strikers.

I'm also going on Oxford to score last (v Aldershot) at around 8/11. The Shots were magnificent in beating West Ham midweek but part of our victory was down to covering every blade of grass, and pure effort - in summary, a typical underdog's performance. That was only three days ago and I'm concerned that we'll either run out of legs in the last twenty or rest players. Add to that that Oxford have on paper a stronger side. . . I'll be going, and hopefully we'll be 4-0 up with Oxford getting a last minute consolation to bring the bet in

Adam La Fondre's impending departure seems to leave a bit of a hole in the top goalscorer stakes as ALF is always a good bet for top 4 in an Each Way punt. The way would seem to be more open now for Matt Tubbs (two in three games) and I've had a nibble at both outright and each way at 5/1.

I think Swindon are slightly long for promotion at 7/2. I listened to their game against Oxford last week on the radio, and it seems that Town are only a finisher away from being a very good side. The bet is largely based on Swindon supporting colleagues who remain confident, particuarly as they still have money to spend and have recently recruited Leon Clarke who I am told looks quality. Swindon are also after a Czech international striker, although that trail seems to have gone a bit cold in recent days. The Town also gave a big squad which will give them an advantage over the course of the season. Despite their average start, I'm confident they'll reach the play-offs where 7/2 will be better than the 25% lottery!