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ODM's Pretty Young Things

Discussion in 'Horse Racing & Greyhound Tips' started by ONEDUNME, Apr 25, 2016.

  1. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Update. One loser because I'm too stupid to have backed it each way at 4 places and one winner at 5/1 (backed 12 pts 3 ins 5/2)

    26point profit on the day taking my profit to +46 (3 winners from 9 selections). P/L at SP would have been +43.5 pts
    Punter likes this.
  2. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    I don't really like backing one of two joint favs in a race because I don't see it as value to have what the bookies see as a 50/50 decision plus the rest of the field against me but I'm in that position for the 330 race at Thirsk tomorrow. Tamkeen 10pts 7/4. In the tracker from last year but other jt fv has the benefit of a run as well so I wouldn't be advising anyone to back this one.

    405 Thirks Henley 5pt ew 11/1 Skybet. finished 2nd on the wrong side of the track at Ripon recently and tends to come into form at this time of the year.

    340 Salisbury Flight of Fantasy . Progressive and this is her trip but a worry that the price is drifting. I will be backing tomorrow when I see what the price is with a 5pt win and 5pt for a place on Betfair (better place prices)
  3. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    FOF a non runner and the other two have drifted badly so the signs are not good for today.

    I somehow missed Dyna Might 535 thirsk 5pt ew 12/1 4 places
  4. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Whooah, have i learned nothing from yesterday??? Scrap that, 5pts ew 10/1 5 places
  5. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Flight of fantasy a non runner - no more good news. 30pts lost .P and L +16 pts (+13.5 at SP)
  6. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Hopeful of better fortunes tomorrow:

    300 Nottingham Lady Alavesa currently 11/2 and drifting but will wait to see the prices tomorrow and possibly back the insurance bet for 10pts

    505 Nottingham Dotted Swiss 10pt win 7/2

    520 Newcastle Fast Landing 20pt win 5/4

    550 Yarmouth Screaming Gemini 10pt win 11/4 (drifting)

    815 Kempton Sweet Symphony 10pt win 3/1

    Will be 60pts staked. Probably need 2 winners for a profit on the day. If I don't update, assume 10pt win at SP for the first one
  7. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Dotted Swiss won but will updaye later tonight

    Today
    410 wolves Leaders legacy 20 pts evens. short price but this would be my nap of the day

    320 ascot A time to study 20pts 11/4 general but lasbrokes are boosting the price to return 58pts

    505 pontefract Leeshan 15pts 7/2

    Brighton 500 Tin Hat 30 pts 4/6

    640 outrath 10pt insurance bet 3 places 7/2. price currently 11/2
    Punter likes this.
  8. Punter

    Punter Moderator

    Messages:
    8,801
    Joining you on this. Backing CELEBRATION DAY @ 14/1 each way, too.
  9. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Tuesday. Wish I'd followed my instinct and gone for the insurance bet as Lady Alavesa came second giving away about five lengths by rearing in the stalls at the off. Will win soon but the problem is that she will now be on in a lot more people's tracker than just mine:rant

    Dotted Swiss won at 7/2 battling well and may well win again soon

    No excuses for Fast Landing, although it did trade at odds on in running

    60 pts staked, 45 returned, -15 on day

    Today, the nap won returning 40pts and the odds on shot won returning 50. Profit of 5 pts on the day.

    Overall profit down to 6 points. SP +3.5pts
  10. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Tomorrow 450 Southwell Fareeq 20pt win 11/8

    Redcar 440 Nibras Galaxy 5pt ew 16/1 4 places betfred
  11. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Nibras Galaxy wins:dance. Fareeq 2nd.
    rcgills and Punter like this.
  12. Punter

    Punter Moderator

    Messages:
    8,801
    Nice work ODM! A big profit booster.
  13. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Yeah and no non runners either so 16/1 it is. 30pts staked, 110 returned, 80pt profit on the day.

    Profit this year 86points. Profit to SP +24.12
  14. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Friday 5th May
    200 Chep Bombaro 10pt win 7/2
    320 Lingfield Big Time Maybe 10 pts 5/2 (shit value)
    440 Musselbro Trading point 13/8 12 pts
    350 Lingfield Ross Raith Rover 5pt ew 11/1
    655 Newcastle Bella Ferrari 10pt win. 10pt place to be put on tomorrow
    805 Newcastle Meshardal 5pt ew 10/1

    72pts staked
  15. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Big Time Maybe a non runner returning 10pts and two winners in Bomaro 9/2 returning 55 and Trading Point returning 31.5. Profit of 24.5pts on day.

    Profit this year, 100.5 points. Profit to SP 37.5pts

    Edit - Just checked my account and have been paid out on 4th place for Meshardal even though there were only 12 runners:unsure (Albeit with a rule 4). I've noticed a lot of that about just lately where bookies are offering extra places for less than 16 runners. I'll have to bear it in mind.

    Example is the 335 at Newmarket tomorrow which has 14 runners but there are 7 bookies on oddschecker paying 1/5 4 places . Same with the 240 at Goodwood, including the one that I have my each way bet with.

    revised P&L Profit this year 114.5. Profit to SP 51.5
    Last edited: May 4, 2018
  16. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Loads for tomorrow, as you would expect being the first proper week of the flat season without the jumpers getting the attention

    150 Newmarket Tricorn 5ew 9/1 and Dommerson 3pts ew 10/1
    220 Newmarket Havana Grey 10pt win 5/2 (drifting)
    240 Goodwood Medahim 5pt ew 4 places 1/5
    315 Goodwood Aleet 5pt ew 9/2
    345 Wetherby Pepita 10pt win 4/1
    410 Newmarket Gallaway Hills 9/2 10pt win
    455 Wetherby Titus 5pt ew 10/1
    620 Doncaster Kripke 5pt win 7/1 and Sir Hamilton 3pt ew 16/1
    650 Doncaster Shared Equity 10pt ew 9/2
    705 Hexham Captain Mowbray 5pt ew 8/1
    720 Doncaster Charming Guest 10pt win 4/1
    750 Doncaster October Story 10pt win 11/2

    I have backed all of these for real money. 127pts staked on here but I will be adding another 10 points to the Captain Mowbray bet if I happen to be down at that point.

    Going to need 3 winners to make a profit. Bring it on.
    Last edited: May 5, 2018
  17. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    Correction - Henley was also a non runner so amended P&L

    +124 pts this calendar year and +61.5 to SP
  18. Seen

    Seen Moderator

    Messages:
    3,900
    Great work mate :clap
  19. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540

    Didn't need 3 winners for a profit as it turned out, 127 points staked, 140 points returned, profit of 13 points on the day

    Profit this season 137pts. Profit to SP +54.5pts
  20. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    12,540
    130 Hamilton Laughton 10pt win 4/1

    150 Newmarket Just the 5pt bet on Adamant as it is fav in a big field and I don't see that as a good price. Also 5pts ew UAE Prince 9/1 4 places.

    255 Newm Gifted Master 5pts ew 14/1 4 places

    335 Newm Billesdon Brook 1pt ew 100/1 4 places and Dan's Dream 2pt ew 25/1

    345 Hamilton Full Intention 1pt ew 50/1

    445 Newmarket Qazyna 10pt win 10/3

    455 Hamilton Fleetfoot Jack (Nap) 20pt insurance bet at 5/2 (win price currently 4/1)

    520 Newmarket Dukhan 10pt win 7/2


    83pts staked but the general prices reflect the level of my optimism. I think I'm going to need Fleetfoot jack to win to stand a chance of breaking even today but you never know

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