Discussion in 'Horse Racing & Greyhound Tips' started by ONEDUNME, Apr 25, 2016.
Fuck you Ed Sheeran !!!! Took the wife and kids to his concert today - just back home and read this thread now. Can only blame him.
Btw well done ODM
310 Leicester 5pt ew 12/1
515 Gowren Alhajaj 1pt ew 25/1
545 Windsor Formidable Kitt 15t win 2/1 and Rumshak 2pt ew 16/1
715 Windsor 10pt win 4/1
newc 645 mysterial 1pt ew 28/1
645 Belisa- sportingbet is showing as 11/4 on oddshecker but others are all 9/4 so that’s probably a glitch so ill ise 9/4 BOG. 10win
150 Wolves Absolutely Awsome 12 pts 7/2 lost -12
200 ham Axel Jacklin 3/1 lost 10pts
330 ham Sir Dancelot 20pt evens won 20pts
450 Wv Space Talk5pts ew 2nd 5/1 level
520 Wolves Azpetia 15 pts can't remember price but finised 2nd 7/4 - 15pts
455 Ringside Humour 5pt ew 9/2 2nd -0.5 pt
640 Wetherby Hasanoanda 20pts won 2/1 +40
730 Robsdelight 5pt ew 10/1 lost -10
800 Kempton Simoon backed at 5/2 earlier, now 15/8 20pts
740 Family Fortunes 2pt ew 20/1
840 Dyna Might 2pt ew 20/1
Loss of 9.05 pts on the day.
250 yarmouth Ghalia Al Thumama 10pts ew 8/1
300 Haydock Blyton 20pts 7/4
340 Ripon Trading Point 20pt win 7/2
400 Haydock Leo Minor 10pt ew 6/1
735 Sandown Corgi 20pt win 5/2 (drifting) 20pt win
100 pts staked
For the record
410 brighton Altra Vita won at 9/5
300 Carlisle Angels lost at 13/8
555 Danzay won 4/1
800 Sacred Path the biggest disappointment of the day losing at odds on for -20pts
420 Wolves Ziarah won 4/1
815 Ellen Gates lost 15pts. THIS ONE HAS GOT TO WIN SOON
215 Haydock Podemos and Sea Youmzain in same race so no bet unless one drops out or drifts badly
230 Newmarket Tomily 2pt ew 16/1 and Burguillos 2pt ew 40/1
200 Newmarket Octave 12pts 9/4
240 Beverley Tin Hat 5pt ew 11/1
250 Newmarket God Given 10pt 2/1
315 Beverley Dame Gladys 5pt ew 8/1
340 Newmarket Golden Wolf 5pts ew 9/1
400 Haydock Emmaus 5pt win 5/1 (drifting)
425 Beverley Bromance 5pt ew 18/1
450 Newmaket Aiya 2pt win 14/1 with 3pt place bet to place tomorrow
525 Newmarket Alfarris 5pt win 9/2
540 Curragh Latrobe is too short to back
550 Lingfield Squire 2pt ew 12/1
750 Lingfield Oliver Reed 12pt win 7/4
850 Lingfield Choral Music 10pt win 2/1
May add some more stake as prices move tomorrow
I'm going to add 10pt win Podemos 9/4
450 Newmarket Aiya place bet 2pts to win 10.65
Dame Gladys 10pts Emmaus 10pts Alfarris 5pts
Tin Hat finished second returning 16pts.
Choral Music won returning 30pts
God Given won at 9/4 returning 32.5
Golden Wolf was 2nd again returning 14.5pts
I don't know what the chances are of finishing up exactly level after backing 15 horses but whatever they are that's what's happened.
Golden Wolf is one of those annoying horses that is too consistent for its own good. It has gone up 14 1lbs since its last win and has been placed every time (second four times). The sort of horse it would be great to own and it keeps making little bits of profit with places but is locked in a battle with the handicapper which is stopping it from actually winning a race.
Oliver Reed needs softer ground. It has gone on Good to Firm three times and ran poorly every time. The handicapper may well drop it down a pound or two but the handicap mark is not the problem, the ground is (not that yesterday's run was a handicap but you know what I mean). I reckon that even on a mark of 80 on good ground or softer we will see a different animal. I wouldn't be surprised to see it appear on the all weather next where it could win a maiden or a handicap if it finds the surface to its liking.
Latrobe won at odds on. I've seen someone tipping this as an Irish Derby bet at 50/1. I've chucked a couple of quid each way at it just for a giggle.
And indeed it did, obliging at 6/1 on that day. Has lost since but runs again today 5pts ew 10/1 200 Goodwood
145 Nottingham Napanook travelled well on its debut before finishing 2nd at 18/1. On at 20pts at 11/8 but will put a lay in at low odds as it may flatter to deceive in running.
220 Nottingham Honey Man is one that should win soon and the price today reflects that. On at 11/10 last night and again at 5/6 this morning for 10 pts each (20pts total). Pulled a bit on last run and then had no room when making progress - finished 3rd. Was also unlucky on first race. If it settles, this should be buying money.
So I have a look at the form and it turns out that this is obviously on the flat and Seen was talking about the jumps. Anyway, it turned out that Seen was spot on (as usual) and it won last time out. But this is the flat so I dismissed it for this thread. Anyway it won at 16/1.
Luckily I backed it
430 brighton noble deed 2pt ew 20/1
all the rest at windsor
550 dotted swiss 2 ew 16/1
650 flying sparkle 10 pt 2/1
820 windsor 20 pts garrick 5/2
pooh - After dropping away rallied well to go 2nd/3rd before finishing 4th. Don't know what to make of that run
Not for the first time I didn't realise I hadn't posted today's horses
315 Thirsk Laughton 5pts ew -finished 5th I think -10
345 Thirsk Fleetwood Jack 5pt ew 13/2 5th again -10
415 Thirs Mutafani 20pt win 4/7 won +11.42 pts
400 Burgonet 20pts 11/8 won 6/4 +30
610 Sthl Boss Des Mottes 2nd 9/1 but I backed the place at a shorter price so just 5pts profit on race
820 Lingfield Falcon Cliffs - no good (well, harsh, 2nd at 7/2 but no returns) -10
850 Really Super -6
profit of 10.42