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Weekend Accums - 24th/25th September

Discussion in 'Football Betting' started by suirthing, Sep 24, 2011.

  1. suirthing

    suirthing Member

    Messages:
    203
    ‘The Accumulator’ known in bookies cirlcles as ‘the calling card of the mug punter’ :). Still we all do them, most of us anyhow for the gains can be good for a small stake.
    I most of the time concentrate on draws, and regularly choose say 3 x 3 draws as the odds for 3 draws are very good. But other reasons for choosing a draw may be, the draw is a common result, games start off as a draw, teams that are difficult to beat or a small team playing a bigger team especially away from home, take a draw as a victory! I know this I am Irish :) and ‘we sing you will never beat the Irish’.
    http://www.soccerbythenumbers.com/2010/11/most-common-scores-in-soccer-comparing.html
    Anyhow I also like to bet on the law of averages, what has not happened up until now, is more than likely going to happen very soon. In this case any team that has not had a draw in the league so far this year(exclude the cups) will more than likely have one very soon.
    Just looking at some of the leagues and games this weekend, teams in Green have not drawn yet this year, home or away, and the number of league games played so far is in brackets. Draw price listed, from Boylesports.
    Stoke v Manchester United (5) This is a game I would not pick for a draw today tho, as Stoke leaked 4 against Sunderland and United are bang in form at the moment.16/5
    Wigan v Tottenham (4) A good candidate for a draw today. IMO. Wigan will make a scrap of this and will take anything after their close shave with the drop last season. 12/5
    Arsenal(5) v Bolton (5) Maybe. Both certainly don’t want to lose, Bolton would be most happy with a draw, could be on as one thing both teams need to do, is to tighten up at the back. Arsenal have not drawn at home yet either. 3/1
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    Burnley v Southampton (7) May not be top of my list as Southampton are bang in form.9/4
    Derby (7) v Millwall. Derby at home against a poorer Millwall team, would be expecting Derby to put their first draw off until another day.9/4
    Bristol City v Hull(7) This one another good canidate, Hull maybe the slightly stronger team but Bristol’s home advantage may even it out.9/4
    Boro v Ipswich (7) Boro going well and in good form. Ipswich playing better recently and on the upward curve, anything is upward tho, after the 7-1 trashing they got from Peterborough last month!
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    Bournemouth(9) v Hartlepool. No draw in their last 4 for Hartlepool and no draw as of yet for Bournemounth in their 9 league games.9/4
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    Crewe (9) v Port Vale. Both are low on draws recently, Crewe have not drawn yet in their 9 league games, its been more than 6 games since Port Valve have drawn.11/5
    Swindon(9) v Barnet. Both in the bottom half of League 2, Swindon(14) 12pts, Barnet(21) 9Pts.13/5
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    Celtic(7) v Inverness CT. Celtic should be beating bottom of the table Caley. Celtic can close the gap to 1 pt at the top and put a bit of pressure on the Huns, but Celtic are good at making a mess of it, when they expected to win. 11/2
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    All below to draw. 3 x Treble.
    Wigan v Tottenham, Bristol City v Hull, Crewe v Port Vale.
    Arsenal V Bolton, Boro v Ipswich, Bournemouth v Hartlepool.
    Wigan v Tottenham, Bournemouth v Hartlepool., Swindon v Barnet.
    and a small treble just incase the 3 bigs to slip up
    Stoke v Manchester United 16/5
    Burnley v Southampton 9/4
    Celtic v Inverness 11/2
  2. suirthing

    suirthing Member

    Messages:
    203
    The Law of averages system ! results

    Stoke v Manchester United (5) This is a game I would not pick for a draw today tho, as Stoke leaked 4 against Sunderland and United are bang in form at the moment.16/5 Result - DRAW
    Wigan v Tottenham (4) A good candidate for a draw today. IMO. Wigan will make a scrap of this and will take anything after their close shave with the drop last season. 12/5 Result - AWAY WIN
    Arsenal(5) v Bolton (5) Maybe. Both certainly don’t want to lose, Bolton would be most happy with a draw, could be on as one thing both teams need to do, is to tighten up at the back. Arsenal have not drawn at home yet either. 3/1Result - HOME WIN
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    Burnley v Southampton (7) May not be top of my list as Southampton are bang in form.9/4 Result - DRAW
    Derby (7) v Millwall. Derby at home against a poorer Millwall team, would be expecting Derby to put their first draw off until another day.9/4 Result - HOME WIN
    Bristol City v Hull(7) This one another good candidate, Hull maybe the slightly stronger team but Bristol’s home advantage may even it out.9/4 Result - DRAW
    Boro v Ipswich (7) Boro going well and in good form. Ipswich playing better recently and on the upward curve, anything is upward tho, after the 7-1 trashing they got from Peterborough last month! Result - DRAW
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    Bournemouth(9) v Hartlepool. No draw in their last 4 for Hartlepool and no draw as of yet for Bournemounth in their 9 league games.9/4 AWAY WIN
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    Crewe (9) v Port Vale. Both are low on draws recently, Crewe have not drawn yet in their 9 league games, its been more than 6 games since Port Valve have drawn.11/5 Result - DRAW
    Swindon(9) v Barnet. Both in the bottom half of League 2, Swindon(14) 12pts, Barnet(21) 9Pts.13/5 Result - HOME WIN
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    Celtic(7) v Inverness CT. Celtic should be beating bottom of the table Caley. Celtic can close the gap to 1 pt at the top and put a bit of pressure on the Huns, but Celtic are good at making a mess of it, when they expected to win. 11/2 Result - HOME WIN

    All below to draw. 3 x Treble.
    Wigan v Tottenham, Bristol City v Hull, Crewe v Port Vale.
    Arsenal V Bolton, Boro v Ipswich, Bournemouth v Hartlepool.
    Wigan v Tottenham, Bournemouth v Hartlepool., Swindon v Barnet.

    and a small treble just incase the 3 bigs to slip up
    Stoke v Manchester United 16/5
    Burnley v Southampton 9/4
    Celtic v Inverness 11/2

    Close but no cigar, wrong combinations chosen from above :-(, will have a few singles next time if in a half even looking contest on those that survived another week without a draw.

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