Welsh Premier League 23/24/25 Sept

these odds from will hill

Friday
Afan Lido v Carmarthen 2.25 3.20 2.75
Bangor City v Newtown 1.17 6.00 10.00
Llanelli v Port Talbot 1.50 3.60 5.50

Saturday
Aberystwyth v Prestatyn 2.37 3.30 2.50

Sunday
Airbus v The New Saints 7.00 3.75 1.40
Neath v Bala Town 1.73 3.40 4.00

my early thoughts

Afan Lido v Carmarthen
a bottom of the table clash , both sides have only one win this season.
Afan Lido at home have a record of W1 D1 L1 and have been well beaten away , but those defeats were against the top clubs in TNS ,Bangor and Llanelli.
Not many sides will gain points away to those three.
Carmarthen three points came from their home win against Port Talbot , a side that is inconsistant away.
Afan Lido is worth considering

Bangor v Newtown
Last season's champions at home to the bottom club and the odds reflect that situation. A home win but no value in Bangor

Llanelli v Port Talbot
Llanelli had a couple of difficult fixtures in the opening weeks against Bangor and TNS , which they lost.
Llanelli have hit form recently with some impressive wins 3-0 against Carmarthen , 9-2 against Newtown and 4-2 against Bala Town.
Port Talbot are inconsistant way from home and have an away record of W1 D1 L2
A home win for Llanelli

Airbus v The New Saints
This is the televised match.
Airbus are the draw experts of this league with five draws in seven matches.
Their defeats were against Bangor and Neath
TNS are top of the league , they did draw their opening match against Bala Town . They have won their last five matches , the last three were all 3-0 , which included wins against Bangor and Neath.
An away win for TNS

Aberystwyth v Prestatyn
Aber have started poorly this season .They have disciplinary problems , a sending off in 5 out of 7 matches.
Prestatyn have had a decent start , they have suffered two losses against the TNS and Bala Town who are first and second in the league.
Could be an away win for Prestatyn

Neath v Bala Town
3rd v 2nd Neath are a good home side with a 100% home record so far this season.
Bala Town have had a good start to this season , they suffered their first defeat last week at home to Llanelli.
I can see this being a home win

one of those weeks when I have an opinion in all the matches

my first bet of the weekend is on Friday
Afan Lido @ 2.30 with bet365...I think that this season's new boys at home will beat a poor Carmarthen

tonight's result go to expectation

Afan Lido 1-0 Carmarthen ...
Bangor 4-0 Newtown
Llanelli 2-0 Port Talbot

the first post is incorrect about today's game its at the Airfield

Airbus v TNS
Airbus have drawn 5 matches from 7 and they have a good record at home against TNS
recent H2H
Welsh 1st league 2010/2011
Airbus TNS 2:2 17.09.2010
Welsh 1st league 2009/2010
Airbus TNS 0:0 24.02.2010
Welsh 1st league 2008/2009
Airbus TNS 1:0 12.12.2008
Welsh 1st league 2007/2008
Airbus TNS 2:0 11.04.2008

TNS last 3 games have been won 3-0
TNS Afan Lido 3:0 17.09.2011
Bangor TNS 0:3 10.09.2011
TNS Neath 3:0 07.09.2011

I'm ignoring those h2h stats and going with recent form

Paddies are offering TNS 3-0 @11.0

I'm going with the asian handicap

TNS -1.5 @2.02 with bet365

TNS get a late goal and win 2-1 , so a loss for me .

Today I'm going with an away win for Prestatyn @ 2.80 with bet365

Aber have been having troubles lately with their disciplinary problems that I've mentioned in an earlier post.
Prestatyn are playing much better away now

today's results

Aberystwyth 1-3 Prestatyn ...and Aber have a player sent off again
Neath 4-0 Bala Town