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Conference Premier 20th Apr 2013

kompressaur

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Joined
Sep 29, 2011
Messages
1,447
Points
48
My wee nephew has taken it upon himself to be a betting follower of this league. Its his first week at it and he's looking for folks to put some meat on his statty bones. He's following in his uncle komps footsteps by hating stat based bettors. Actually he's not is he? well he will lol

If anyone has any thoughts on his possible selections then theyd be greatly appreciated. thanks

Alfreton vs Forest Green:
Forest Green to win


I've went with Forest Green here with odds of 11/8. This may seem silly because Forest Green have lost their last 4 BSP games so why would I choose them to win away? Well I've chosen them because they always seem to do pretty well against Alfreton whether its home or away. They've played them 3 times since the beginning of last season; 2 of which have ended in massive wins for Forest. They beat them 4-1 at home then won 6-1 at Alfreton's ground! Their other fixture ended in a 1-1 draw. So the reason I've picked Forest Green is because despite poor form, they usually do well against Alfreton.

Dartford vs Nuneaton:
Nuneaton to win
Ive chosen Nuneaton at 13/8 here. Both teams go Into this game on good form with 3 game unbeaten runs. Both teams have won their last 2 matches. However, Nuneaton have been playing better football recently whereas Dartford have been getting scrappy wins. I reckon Nuneaton will be able to over power Dartford in this clash and should pick up 3 points. Also, they've only played once recently and that ended in a 1-0 victory to Nuneaton. So this game could go either way, but I fancy Nuneaton to win.






Grimsby vs Newport County:
Newport to win
County have odds of 13/8 in this match. Both teams go into this having 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. The last 3 matches between these teams have ended in draws, and the game before that ended in a win for County. This will be a very tight match, but I reckon County will come out on top.


Gateshead vs Ebbsfleet:
Ebbsfleet to win.
My biggest risk here with Ebbsfleet @ 7/2! Despite not winning in their last 5 games I reckon they can win. Gateshead have only won once in their last 5. Ebbsfleet seem to always do well against Gateshead with 4 of the last 5 fixtures between them ending in Ebbsfleet wins. 3 of them were by 2 goals. So despite being heavy underdogs I think Ebbsfleet can win!
Thanks for reading, this works out at around 72/1 on William Hill. Any thoughts?
 
so i was trying to get your bookie hotlinks working. could someone delete this for me please? thanks
 
If anyone has any thoughts on his possible selections then theyd be greatly appreciated. thanks

I've not got involved with the Conference much at all this season so take my thoughts lightly.

The Grimsby v Newport game is one i'd leave alone just based on the fact that this is the last game of the season and both are in the playoffs no matter what. It's maybe an irrelevant game with what's coming next for these two.

I wouldn't back against Gateshead either, a loss might see them relegated, they'll be fighting to stay up and a draw might be enough. Ebbsfleet are already relegated.

Not sure about the other two but good luck and i wish you a full house :crossfingers


I'm on Hereford btw, Even money away at Telford. Telford are rock bottom, Hereford would love to confirm 6th place in the league for a decent season and promise for next. Only a win can guarantee this. And it's a bit of a derby, Hereford owe them a beating for mugging a draw in the reverse fixture.
 
cheers Punter. Im up to my neck in it at the my with my new web address but ill go pass that onto him. Dunno if im even gonna get another look at my scottish coupon as ive £7 in my jhills acount and thats for poker. The night is young though. good luck whatever your on Punter and ill be about for it all happening live tomorrow.
 
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