• Hi and welcome to Betnod. Please register for even more tips, analysis and chat.

English Premier League Betting 18th August

slick

Administrator
Joined
Jul 26, 2011
Messages
15,773
Points
113
Dates to be arranged but we may aswell get in early

English Premier League
18 Aug 15:00 UK Arsenal v Sunderland 1.28 4.50 8.00
18 Aug 15:00 UK Everton v Man Utd 3.60 3.40 1.83
18 Aug 15:00 UK Fulham v Norwich 1.80 3.30 3.80
18 Aug 15:00 UK Man City v Southampton 1.17 5.50 11.00
18 Aug 15:00 UK Newcastle v Tottenham 2.50 3.10 2.50
18 Aug 15:00 UK QPR v Swansea 2.15 3.10 3.00
18 Aug 15:00 UK Reading v Stoke 2.40 3.10 2.62
18 Aug 15:00 UK West Brom v Liverpool 3.50 3.20 1.91
18 Aug 15:00 UK West Ham v Aston Villa 2.30 3.00 2.87
18 Aug 15:00 UK Wigan v Chelsea 6.50 4.00 1.40

Odds William Hill
 
No betting for me on the first day of the season I'm afraid allthough to be fair the usual upsets seem to be getting few and far between as the years go by in the Prem,

In these early days it's trying to catch a team that takes your fancy I suppose.
Arsenal look to short, Man U look half decent odds against a team they usually do well against (taking out the 4-4 @ OT last season lol).
Fulham look to be unsettled at the moment and it could be a good time for Norwich to catch them on the hop at a fair price.
Man City again look short but thats only to be expected against one of the Prems new boys Southampton, can't see an upset here but the saints are an unknown quantity at this level. saying that I still expect city to beat them by at least a couple, could be one for the AH.

Newcastle v Spurs looks a good game on paper and it will be interesting to see how Spurs fair this year without Harry, as the odds suggest there shouldn't be much between these two and I wouldn't be suprised to see this one end all square.

Qpr v Swansea going off last years form looks to be another tight game but with Hughes having time to have a full seasons pre training under his belt and the addition of a couple of decent players, I can QPR winning this one , plus Rodgers departure and the loss of Joe Allen will have a strong possiblity of weakening Swansea.

Reading v Stoke is a bit of an unknwon quantity , firstly because we don't know where Reading are at at this level and secondly Stoke last season failed to kick on from the previous season where they did so well and even managed to reach the FA cup fiinal, this could have been because they had a long season last year due to the Europa league and without that this time around they could come into the season freash and raring to go.
I wouldn't touch this game with a bargepole tell the truth, I'd have been much more happier had this been a reverse fixture.

West Brom v Liverpool is another game I wouldn't touch due to too many variables this game could throw up, looking at the odds though I'd say Liverpool should not be odds on and If I were to have a bet on this game I'd probably opt for the Baggies on the AH. (just realised these odds were posted a couple of months ago and Liverpool are now evens, which looks a lot more like it).

The battle of the claret and blues has the hallmarks of a decent battle, in fact West Hams odds are the first time I've raised an eyebrow looking through the fixtures as I think Villa may struggle this year. A full house at the Boleyn and the Hammers no doubt with orders from the top to make an impression as they push for the Olympic stadium should have enough about them to see off a pretty average Villa side.

Going off how Wigan finished the back end of last season you'd have to say they are in with a chance here at great odds to boot, but Wigan are reknown slow starters to the season and I'll be very suprised if Chelsea throw this one away but that's not to say Wigan don't have it within themselves to get a result. Anybody betting on this game should tread carefully as it has the makings of the proverbial banana skin.
 
Good stuff Slick. Just one bet in here for me, I've put QPR in, i think they could be in for a good season, Swansea will have a poor season i think and will do well to survive.
 
Interesting to see how the prices have changed in the last two months. Arsenal's price has doubles since RVP left

Arsenal v Sunderland 4/9 3/1 7/1
Fulham v Norwich 17/20 23/10 7/2
QPR v Swansea EVS 23/10 14/5
Reading v Stoke 7/5 23/10 19/10
West Brom v Liverpool 3/1 23/10 19/20
West Ham v Aston Villa 5/4 11/5 23/10
Newcastle v Tottenham 17/10 2/1 9/5
Wigan v Chelsea 9/2 11/4 8/13 + 180
Man City v Southampton 1/5 5/1 14/1
Everton v Man Utd 10/3 23/10 10/11
 
For those who believe in statistics, draws occur in around 1 in 3 games. Man City last drew a league game 10 games ago. Given that they play a newly promoted team on the first day of the season at home , the 13/2 available at Betfred may not seems tempting enough but I remember Fulham's first ever game in the Premiership a decade ago and it was at Old Trafford. They did end up losing but but up an almighty battle and only lost by the odd goal in five. Worth bearing in mind.

Others to consider are Liverpool (last drew 12 games ago) at West Brom. I think Liverpool have the players to do well this season (Top 4) so I won't be touching it but as draw betting goes, there are worse strategies than picking a game with a short priced away team.

By far the best bet for a draw though has to be Newcastle and Spurs. For the first time ever, I've had a go at compiling my own odds and the bookies odds for this game are spot on with mine which means that it's a tough game to call a winner. Spurs had a great season last year but so did Newcastle and their home form is something to be feared. The stats say that Newcastle last drew 13 games ago (the highest number of games without a draw in all divisions) so I'm happy to throw my wonga at the draw

10 pts 12/5 bet365.
 
I've had a go at compiling my own odds and the bookies odds for this game are spot on with mine which means that it's a tough game to call a winner. .

That should say, which means we all agree that it's a tough game to call a winner.
 
Back
Top