Horse Racing Bets 12th April 2024

[SAMOAN]

11.05 Fairview - FIRST LORD - Nice enough debut 4th and should improve for that today at 6's.

12.15 Fairview - SUMIKO - Remains a maiden, but best effort in a while came last time and 40's for this looks a touch big.

3.10 Fairview - WAZ WOUTER - Tracker horse at 3's.

3.55 Saint Cloud - VALDIKHOVA - Third run back off a break so should strip fitter today and previous form gives her a big chance at 9's.

5.05 Dundalk - AMERICAN IN PARIS - Useful sort at this kind of level and has the plum draw today at 14's.

6.00 Southwell - DANCE AND ROMANCE - Big drifter this morning, but too nicely bred for me to ignore at 11's.

7.00 Southwell - DAMOISEAU - Much better last twice and also has the first time headgear added at 14's

8.30 Southwell - REFORMED CHARACTER - Continues to run well and probably deserves a change of luck at 10's.

 

[Sean]

10.16 Keeneland - Master Of The Seas 8/11
Catches my eye that Charlie Appleby has Breeders Cup Mile hero Master Of The Seas making his re appearance after 160 days off , first run since that BC win and that William Buick goes along to the States for just this one ride . The price is obviously a bit skinny , and the fact that he hasnt had a run for a while is slightly off putting but he seems to go well fresh - 1,4,2,3,1,1,1,1 (after breaks) so im not to worried tbh. Trainer has a 33% strike rate over the last fortnight and jockey has a 42% strike rate over the same period so both are going well (Trainer also has Naval Power in the race i should say) and Buick has a solid record aboard the horse - 1,4,2,1,2,3,7,1,1,3,1,1

4.53 Fakenham - Bond Broker 11/10
Whilst all eyes are on Aintree it caught my eye that Paul Nicholls has sent just one on the long haul to Fakenham to contest the NH Flat Race , no sort of price but i think he should win. Placed on his first bumper start at Exeter on soft ground and then a poor seventh of twelve next time , again on soft , won a point to point on good going so hopefully todays conditions will be more to his liking. Trainer has a 31% strike rate when making the trek to Norfolk and the fact he now wears a hood for the first time makes me think they mean business.

Fairview (SA)
2.50 Metar 7/2 - Hawk Circle 5/1
3.45 Destinys Angel 5/1

 

[Sean]

10.16 Keeneland - Master Of The Seas 8/11 won
Catches my eye that Charlie Appleby has Breeders Cup Mile hero Master Of The Seas making his re appearance after 160 days off , first run since that BC win and that William Buick goes along to the States for just this one ride . The price is obviously a bit skinny , and the fact that he hasnt had a run for a while is slightly off putting but he seems to go well fresh - 1,4,2,3,1,1,1,1 (after breaks) so im not to worried tbh. Trainer has a 33% strike rate over the last fortnight and jockey has a 42% strike rate over the same period so both are going well (Trainer also has Naval Power in the race i should say) and Buick has a solid record aboard the horse - 1,4,2,1,2,3,7,1,1,3,1,1

4.53 Fakenham - Bond Broker 11/10 won
Whilst all eyes are on Aintree it caught my eye that Paul Nicholls has sent just one on the long haul to Fakenham to contest the NH Flat Race , no sort of price but i think he should win. Placed on his first bumper start at Exeter on soft ground and then a poor seventh of twelve next time , again on soft , won a point to point on good going so hopefully todays conditions will be more to his liking. Trainer has a 31% strike rate when making the trek to Norfolk and the fact he now wears a hood for the first time makes me think they mean business.

Fairview (SA)
2.50 Metar 7/2 Lost - Hawk Circle 5/1 Lost
3.45 Destinys Angel 5/1 Lost