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Horse Racing Bets 12th October 2024

SAMOAN

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Joined
Aug 13, 2011
Messages
9,322
Points
113
11.00 Durbanville - ARDABIL - Similar level of moderate form in both starts to date, but bred to do better and should improve soon at 28's

12.10 Durbanville - CHIEF RUNNER - Good on 2 starts to date and should have more to offer at 4's.

12.45 Durbanville - CORONATION TIME - Better than latest run suggests and is suited by the distance and can do better today at 16's.

1.05 Turffontein - HAWKBILL - Not that far behind the 2nd FAV last time and should not be 14's based on that.

1.40 Turffontein - MERCANTOUR - Not won in a while, but recent form has a solid look to it and remains well weighted at 8's.

2.15 Turffontein - GUY GIBSON - Decent effort last time in listed company and this looks more suitable at 6's.

3.25 Turffontein - MARY READ - Reluctant to go against Hat's Queen who won well for me last time, but 7/4 is just too short. MR is better than latest run suggests and went close under this jockey in penultimate start. Overall 10's looks a shade big.

3.45 Durbanville - DEAN STREET - Good comeback run when third on this course last time. May have cost himself a victory that day as he hung in the final 200m. He would have come on from the run and should strip much fitter today at 5's.
 
11.20 Turffontein - GREAT NOTION and HAT FURIOUS - FAV is nicely bred, but too short for me 6/4. GN is also on debut and represents the Mike DeKock stable. Just heard on comms that the trainer is on course today and good things are expected. HF does have a modicum of ability at 100's.
 
11.00 Durbanville - ARDABIL - Similar level of moderate form in both starts to date, but bred to do better and should improve soon at 28's

Drifted to 40's and still pretty green, but did run 3rd at 40's. Ran up the back of another when challenging and lost all momentum, but did well to recover. Would not put anyone off adding this to their trackers.
 
Going with these 3 in the Cesarewitch -

3.40 Newmarket -

SAMUI at 20's
REVEREND HUBERT at 25's
MAGELLAN STRAIT at 66's
 
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