3.00 Lingfield - Movethechains
MOVETHECHAINS catches my eye in this one , comes into this on the back of a resounding seven length win over Animal over this afternoons CD , same grade , and enhanced his already solid course record , with a win and a place from two runs over CD and five wins and a place from his six runs at the course overall so definatley has a liking for it here at Leafy. Has gone up a mighty 9lb for that lto win but considering he was a decent second off higher in this race last year , i think he can manage that. Gary Moore has a 24% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , and he does well when sending his runners here with an overall strike rate of 16%. Caoilin Quinn is proving to be good value for his 3lb claim and comes into this in decent form with a 20% strike rate in the last two weeks , and when trainer and jockey have teamed up over the last three weeks they come away with a 20% strike rate. Has ridden the horse three times to date resulting in a win and a place. Should be there or thereabouts.
4.24 Newcastle - Churchella - Bobby Shaftoe
Like the look of a couple in this , firstly BOBBY SHAFTOE who was a decent enough fourth of nine last time out over 2m1/2f here at Newcastle , i think this drop in trip will help his cause as he is three from seven over todays CD and for me seems better at this sort of trip. Has won from a higher mark than todays and everything else , draw and class , looks to be okay to me and i think he should be making his presence felt here. Trainer Jim Goldie has been doing well here this term with a 21.7% strike rate and has his string in decent order at the moment having a 23% strike rate over the last three weeks. Claimer Alex Jary up for the first time on the horse and his 5lb claim could come in handy and has a 17% strike rate in the last fortnight. CHURCHELLA is the other one i like , was a sound second last time out at Southwell over 2m1/2f , before that she beat Grand Duchess Olga over 1m6f here at Newcastle. As with my other selection i think shes happier over this sort of trip than her last time out one , and shes one from two over todays CD and seems to like the all weather as shes two wins and two places from five runs on the artificial surfaces overall. The fact that David O'Meara relies on just this one today didnt go un noticed , and has an 11% strike rate at Newcastle overall. Daniel Tudhope , whose yet to be unplaced on her in three runs (two wins and a place) , takes the ride and he too is here for just this one. Has a 31% strike rate over the last three weeks and when riding for the trainer over the same period the pair have clocked up a 25% strike rate.
6.30 Newcastle - Master Dandy
Handicap debutant MASTER DANDY is my selection for this one , yet to be out of the placings in his three runs to date with a win , and two places. Was a decent enough second over 5f at Wolverhampton last time but prior to that had won over this evenings CD , opening handicap mark doesnt look too bad imo , good of been better but i think its workable and Jamie Fanshawe is a trainer i rate and the fact he has just this one here could point to a decent showing. Jockey Tommy Jakes has a 25% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , and his 7lb claim wont hurt in the slightest and hes been doing well here this term with a 26.7% strike rate and a very healthy looking +£17.50 to boot.
7.30 Newcastle - Blackcurrent
Was fourth to the re opposing Fantasy Navigator last time out over tonights CD , (and Cubanista a head in front of him in third) but im hoping that he can turn the tables on the pair of them here. Seems to love it here with six wins and three places (two each over CD) and to me everything points to a solid run. Tommy Jakes in the plate (stats above) and was a neck second on his sole ride to date on the horse , trainer Alan Brown sends just this one to the course and il be surprised if he doesnt figure in the finish.
2.15 Ayr - Moonlighter - Ardera Cross
At the prices im gonna side with a couple in this one , firstly CD specialist ARDERA CROSS who won here last time over todays CD , beating the re opposing Fia Fuinidh by 2 lengths and im hoping that he can confirm those placings this afternoon. To be honest you cant discount the horse here where hes won half of his 18 career victories , nine wins and three places , with six of those wins coming over this afternoons CD. Has won off higher marks and the ground should pose no problem im having a hard job not seeing him going close if im being honest. Danny McMenamin rode him last time out and is one from one on him and is re united with the horse today whilst trainer William Young Jr sends just this one to the meeting , at the price i think hes well worth a punt. MOONLIGHTER is the other one i like at what i consider a decent price. The joint top weight is having his first start here at Ayr but what catches my eye is the fact that Kim Bailey sends just this one on the long schlepp from Gloucester and i cant see him sending him there if he didnt think he stood some sort of chance. Hos wins have all come on soft or heavy , as has his best runs , so underfoot conditions shouldnt be a problem , and again at the price on offer i think hes worth a go.
