Well the flat season properly kicks in today so I've picked a few out and I'll be watching all the flat turf races from now on with a view to bunging some in my tracker to follow throughout the season. I also have some from previous years that I'll also include when I get the time to post.
My strategy early in the season will include looking at horses doing things for the first time which may lead to their improvement. I've noticed over the past few months how much a change of yard can seem to improve a horse on it's next run for example.
Redcar
130 Frog and Toad is a lightly raced 4 year old that's had a wind op and it running off its lowest mark to date which both tempt me into taking a chance at 12/1. 1pt ew.
Blackjack makes its turf debut and cheekpieces are fitted for the first time 1pt ew 10/1
205 Billy Wedge . Quite honestly, there's absolutely nothing to recommend this horse other than a change of trainer and a drop in weights (and they don't take weight off of in form horses lol) 1pt ew 25/1 4 places
240 Handicap debutants Prince Achille and Easy with Aces would appeal if their prices were larger but they aren't so that's that.
315 Harswell Duke is a big price (and drifting) at 16/1 (five places) . Change of yard and Ben Curtis on board. Been off longer than any other runner in the race so has to be an even larger element of the unknown that even the first day of the turf season throws up but I'm tempted by the 16/1 2pts ew 5 places although I do like the chances of the two at the head of the market, Il Bandito and Broken Spear with his excellent jockey on board
420 Young Winston (change of yard) 1pt ew 12/1 5 places skybet and Silver Vision (turf debut and excellent jockey). The latter has been backed in to 8/1 but I'm on at 10s 2pt ew 4 places.
455 Havana Party (wind surgery and lowest mark to date) has drifted to 18/1 1pt ew 4 places and We Still Believe . Nothing to do with any changes of headgear or the like for this one, I just fancy its chances on the weights so 1pt ew 14/1 4 places. and I'm going to chuck 1pt ew at 28/1 4 places on a horse recently gelded and with the assistance of Jason Watson on board. Clansman.
Moving to Windsor
140 Battle Point (change of yard for turf debut) 1pt ew 22/1 4 places and Fristel 2pt ew 11/1 4 places on turf debut.
250 has two horses that have previously been in my tracker. Inver Park (change of yard and William Buick on) is too short to back now so just Many a Star (change of yard and Cieren Fallon on board) 2pts ew 9/1 4 places
430 Two big priced ew's The Rain King (wind surgery) 1pt ew 33/1 3 places and Natalie Rose 1pt ew 25/1 both drifting badly but I'm not going to let that put me of with so many unknowns early in the season.
500 Miss Messenger (handicap debut and first time tongue strap plus very good jock on board) 2pt ew 10/1 3 places
530 Two gelded prior to handicap debut, Warhol 1pt ew 9/1 4 places and Pavlodar 2pt win 13/2
