Horse Racing Bets Tuesday 29th November

[SAMOAN]

A cracking Sunday, will keep me going into the New Year, so not over - committing to anything today. Do think a couple of these are very realistic and could not rule out the other pair at prices -

12.25 Southwell - THEATRE MILL - Looks a useful race for the grade, but TM won here nicely in September and lost nothing in defeat last 2. Shade big IMO at 12's.

3.00 Southwell - ISLA DI MILANO - Not much yet, but relatively lightly raced and certainly bred to be decent. Drying ground should help and can see a much improved effort at 25's.

4.20 Newcastle - PRISOM - Much better last 2 and well worth another crack at the mile.

4.50 Newcastle - ERSHAAD - Been running well of late and this is his sort of level. Definite EW shout at 10's.

 

[SAMOAN]

11.35 Vaal - RIPARIAN and FANTASY VIEW - Riparian was poor on debut and on comeback run, but in between ran a couple of nice races. Fitter now, Lightly raced and possible improver at 40's. FV made some improvement second time out, represents a top stable in form and should progress this longer trip. Fair EW chance at 10's

 

[SAMOAN]

12.10 Vaal - STOOL PIGEON and MR TATLER - Unbalanced book with the top 4 in the betting all 7/2 or les. Everything else pretty much a " rag ", but SP has shown ability and should be better now dropped in tip. For me, he is the most likely " roughie " at 50's. MT is more speculative, but has the blinkers on and has a squeak based solely on penultimate run. Still plenty on his plate, but comfortable risking the 100's.

12.45 Vaal - DIRECT LINE - No show in both starts to date, but excuses second time out,. Upped in trip today, lightly raced, jockey does well for the stable and possible improver at 40's.