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Horse Racing Bets Wednesday 18th April 2018

S

SAMOAN

Guest
Plenty of bets today and apologies for the lack of detail, but behind schedule already -

11.50 Greyville - AMBER FURST - Original choice was ELSA OF ARENDELLE, but could not have this one at 5/2. AF ran a fair trial race and can improve at 11's.

12.25 Greyville - HOMETOWN HERO - Fair front - runner at this level and good chance at the weights at 10's.

1.00 Greyville - SWEET PRESSURE and SHADOW HUNTER - SP can improve on debut effort at 20's and SH is marginally improving with each run at 40's.

1.35 Greyville - OVER SURE - 3rd run back, so should be at peak fitness and has a good draw to work from today at 14's.

2.05 Cheltenham - QUARRY LEADER - Won his Irish point and rules debut was a fair effort. Will need to improve, but definitely open to it at 50's.

2.10 Greyville - KINGSMEAD and FIRST MATE - Going with the pair of Michael Roberts runners at 25's and 40's respectively.

4.00 Greyville - WHITELEAF HILLS - Could make a case for NIGHT LOCK, but this one is not one to trust, especially at 5's. WH has a decent pull with the top weight and is better than recent runs suggest. Definite EW potential at 16's.

4.10 Newmarket - COTUBANAMA - Channon 2nd string, but looks a nicely bred newcomer at 20's.

5.45 Kempton - GEOGRAPHY TEACHER - Not knocked about on debut and can improve at 12's.

6.45 Kempton - INTERMORAL - Quite short at 5's ( based on recent form ) but is in decent nick and has the first time hood added.
 
12.15 Happy Valley - FAIR COMMENT - Unplaced in all 13 starts, but blinkers on for the first time and top jockey booked today at 25's
 
Full cards live on ATTHERACES from both Hong Kong and South Africa.
 
1.15 Happy Valley - MEGATRON - Probably had to go up to a class 4, following an easy win in class 5 company. Has won in the grade before though and gets in today off bottom weight, with a decent 5lb claimer booked. Draw could have been a shade kinder in 7, but enough going for him at 12's.
 
Good luck Samoan. Just joined you in time to get on Hometown Hero @ 11/1 :crossfingers
 
12.45 Happy Valley - AMAZING GOLD - Was initially looking at LOADED, but cannot quite justify a bet at 5's. AG was initially trainer by Ger Lyons and did look to have a bit of a future. Was campaigned at a very high level initially in Hong Kong and made very little impact. Bits and bobs since then and has at least been competitive in higher-grade events this season and a revival at 25's would not be the greatest shock ever.
 
Nice place in the 12.25. Time to join you in the 1 o'clock, too.
 
Here's hoping for Shadow Hunter then at a price. Bit of support for Sweet Preserve and now 12's
 
Sweet Preserve showing 7's on ATR, but still available at 10's on Bet365.
 
Nice place again Samoan. I got 20/1 about that!
It's a shame i've got to leave it there. Good luck for the rest of the afternoon.
 
1.45 Happy Valley - VICTORY POWER - Most of these have a ton of experience, so taking a real risk going with a newcomer. Should be all right in time though, so happy taking a chance today at 50's.
 
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