Newcastle v QPR
Newcastle - Krul; Simpson, Williamson, Coloccini, Santon; Taylor, Guthrie, Cabaye, Gutierrez; Best, Ameobi.
QPR - Kenny, Hill, Derry, Gabbidon, Bothroyd, Mackie, Buzsaky, Young, Helguson, Wright-Phillips, Ferdinand.
On overall and current form this should be an easy win for Newcastle but with Ba and Tiote in Africa and the 'new manager syndrome' in effect at QPR, maybe we might get a shock.
Trying to look for value in the first scorer markets, QPR rely heavily on their strikers for goals and clearly Helguson and Mackie are better propositions than Bothroyd. Luke Young might be worth a go at 50's - doesn't shoot much but when he does he usually hits the target.
With Newcastle, their strikers Best and Ameobi are hopeless so they are more likely to get goals from midfield, maybe from set pieces, with Cabaye and R Taylor the obvious ones. Gutierrez isn't the most accurate of shooters but does have plenty of pops at goal so is another to consider. Guthrie hasn't played much but his stats are okay.
Too many to back them all, I'm going for...
Helguson @ 10.5
Cabaye @ 12.5
R Taylor @ 16.5
Guthrie @ 29.0
also a small 'score anytime' on Luke Young @ 20/1