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Welsh Premier 13th/14th December

traeth

traeth

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Joined
Aug 7, 2011
Messages
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Friday
Bala - Connahs Q. 2.00 3.40 3.20
TNS - Aberystwyth 1.15 7.00 11.50

Saturday
Airbus - Afan Lido 1.27 5.00 9.00
Newtown - Rhyl 2.35 3.30 2.65
Prestatyn - Bangor 2.50 3.20 2.50
Port Talbot - Carmarthen 2.60 3.25 2.40
 
Bala - Connahs Q.
Two struggling sides. Bala Town are improving and got a good win to a lower tier side in the Welsh Cup last week.
Connah's Quay have lost their last seven league games and lost to a lower tier side in the Welsh Cup last week after leading.
TNS - Aberystwyth
TNS have won all their league games this season without conceeding a goal.
Aber a mid table side that do struggle away from home winning only once in eight games.
THS on the A.H. again ?

Airbus - Afan Lido
2nd placed club against the bottom side . it won't be easy.
Airbus have had a recent blip whilst Lido are improving. In their last four league games Lido have won three and lost 2-1 to leaders TNS.

Newtown - Rhyl
Newton are on a good run .
Rhyl are a better side than their results .
A difficult on for me as I think are getting better result than they should whilst Rhyl are faring worse.
If I had to choose a result it would be a draw

Prestatyn - Bangor
Prestatyn on a poor run , whilst Bangor are improving .
An away win for Bangor

Port Talbot - Carmarthen
Not a match for betting

the ones I'm considering this week are:
Bala Town , TNS on the asian handicap and Bangor
 
Cant argue about Saints, as they are winning formula all these weeks, but think i will skip this time.

Eventough Lido is better these days, cant see them taking anything against Airbus. Think that this can be one of those Airbus high scoring matches, as didnt saw they had any recent. This can be shoot in teh dark, but i am really interested to take Airbus on asian. Waiting to odds in my local.
 
What are your doubts about TNS mij?
Do you think Aber are good enough to hold them?
Ladbrokes have TNS -2A.H. @ 1.84

I have doubt about Airbus overcoming the handicap due to their form in their last five league games

Airbus v Bala 2:1 29.11.2013
Airbus v Rhyl 2:2 26.11.2013
Carmarthen v Airbus 0:1 23.11.2013
Airbus v Bangor 0:1 15.11.2013
Aberystwyth v Airbus 2:1

With Lido improving and keeping the scores close

Afan Lido v Aberystwyth 2:1 30.11.2013
Afan Lido v Connahs Q. 2:1 23.11.2013
Afan Lido v TNS 1:2 15.11.2013
Prestatyn v Afan Lido 1:2 09.11.2013
Rhyl v Afan Lido 3:0 02.11.2013

Ladbrokes have Airbus -1.75 A.H. @ 1.82
 
Dont know mate really. On paper looks very good, but not sure Saints will win this one by 3. When i see all those draws by Aber... Blah, its probably just in my head :). About Airbus, its just a hunch. Dont tjhink Lido have good defense, so you need just good firepower against them.
Still havent decided what will take. Traeth, you are pretty sure about TNS -2AH?​
 
Ok, lets wait till Friday. Dont know why have doubts about this, as TNS winning easy every match. They wont be winning forever, but its hard to see when they gonna slip.
 
Odds went up on Airbus, so now you can find -1AH@ 1.55 and -1.5AH @ 2.00. Traeth any particular reason for that ? Now i am really interested !
 
Can't find anything about Airbus yet but this news about Aber from Welsh Premier site

Aberystwyth Town will be without three key players for their trip to face Welsh Premier League leaders The New Saints at Park Hall on Friday.

The Seasiders are without their influential midfielder Chris Venables, who has racked up five yellow cards, to serve a one-match ban. Winger Geoff Kellaway, who was sent off in the last minute of Aber's Welsh Cup match at Llanfair United last weekend, is also suspended. Whilst fellow wingman Craig Williams is also ruled out for at least another week through injury. Williams had been in sublime form for the Seasiders before he limped off the field in the first half against Afan Lido a fortnight ago.

Manager Ian Hughes admitted in the local press that losing three important players for the trip to Oswestry is a big blow, but his side will travel to face the full-timers in upbeat mood this week.
Click to expand...
 
Yes key players are out for Aber. In that case i am on TNS -2AH, medium bet. Think Saints will win by two, but hoping it can be three. Airbus will have to wait till Saturday and team news.
 
mijosim said:
Yes key players are out for Aber. In that case i am on TNS -2AH, medium bet. Think Saints will win by two, but hoping it can be three. Airbus will have to wait till Saturday and team news.
Click to expand...

same for me as well , If I find any info regarding Airbus or Lido I'll post
 
TNS did their job perfectly. Again great bet on them.

What a f%ck i going on with odds on Airbus? 1.60 at some bookies for HW.
 
yes mij two good results last night

I can't find any reason for the change in price for Airbus so I've had an asian bet on them , decided to go for the safer option of -1 in case Lido can keep it within one goal

Airbus-1 @ @ 2.0 with bet365
 
I am with you traeth. Took Airbus -1AH @ 2.05 big bet and Airbus -1,5 @ 2.65, medium bet. Dont know why odds going up, but still think Airbus is better than Lido by at least two goals. GL
 
Airbus-Afan Lido 2-0 FT clap

Lovely weekend for me, more of the same, pleaseee :beer
 
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