Welsh Premier 26th/27th/28th Sept

[traeth]

These odds from betvictor
Fri 26 Sep
Connah's Quay v Bangor 2.7 3.6 2.4
Aberystwyth v Bala 2.25 3.6 2.9

Sat 27 Sep
Rhyl v Port Talbot 2.25 3.6 2.9
Carmarthen v Prestatyn 2.15 3.6 3.

Sun 28 Sep
The New Saints v Newtown 1.18 7 13

No prices for the Airbus v Cefn yet

 

[traeth]

some brief thoughts

Connah's Quay v Bangor
A bottom of the table clash between two sides with 2 points each.
Bangor have had a poor start and have thrown away leads in their matches. I think that Bangor are a better side than their results this season.
Bangor win for me.

Aberystwyth v Bala
3rd v 4th
Aber have won their 3 away games but have drawn their 3 home matches
Bala were well beaten at home last week after a good start to the season

Rhyl v Port Talbot
Rhyl had a poor start to their season but have won their last two matches
Port Talbot started well and have two home wins , they are not so good away.
Rhyl win

Carmarthen v Prestatyn
Can't pick a winner here , draw?


TNS v Newtown
will go with my usual bet of TNS -2 A.H.

Airbus v Cefn Druids
will probably be similar prices to the TNS match and I'll be on Airbus -2 A.H.

 

[mijosim]

Traeth, if you had choose between TNS and Airbus, which team you would pick ?

Saints play some monster matches, winning quite easy most of them. On the other hand there is Airbus, which dont play that ''loud'' but gain wins.

Newtown seem tougher oponent than Druids looking at results. Druids lost 3 from 6 with pretty big margin.

 

[traeth]

I believe that Druids are a poor side ,Newtown beat Druids 4-1
TNS have loaned a few of their players to Newtown and have a good relationship with them.
TNS very rarely beat Newtown by large margins.
If I had to choose one I would go for Airbus but I'll be backing both this weekend.

Your questions are getting more difficult every week mij , keep them coming though as they do make me think.
I'm now contemplating what to have on my chips if I had to choose one , salt or vinegar.
Again I'm going to have both

edit last years results between TNS and Newtown prove me wrong again , but I'm still having both

2013/2014
TNS v Newtown 3:1 01.04.2014
Newtown v TNS 1:2 22.03.2014
TNS v Newtown 5:1 01.01.2014
Newtown v TNS 1:0 26.12.2013

 

[mijosim]

Sorry mate for tough qestions but i rate your opinion high.
Thing is, TNS are pretty much good bet everytime play at home. Still, cant win every time (or can). My point is from time to time we can find better bet. This round, is Airbus better one. IMO yes, but dont know much about them. Dont rate Druids, but dont know much about Airbus (players etc). Looking at their results, they are strong. This is point you jump in. As your knolwedge is great about this league.

 

[traeth]

hi mij , your knowledge of this league is very good

difficult questions are good for my thought process mate

Airbus now have an artificial pitch , with Cefn being the newly promoted side I believe Airbus is the way to go.

 

[mijosim]

Well, didnt know that about artifical pitch. I guess they used to it. So that can be big adventage for them. Also plastic pitch suits teams with bigger quality. Well thats my thought.

 

[traeth]

saturday's results which I got wrong

Airbus 2 - 3 Cefn Druids
Carmarthen 3 - 1 Prestatyn
Rhyl 0 - 3 Port Talbot

so I'm relying on TNS

 

[mijosim]

Me to mate. Today result is big shock for me. Hope Saints will deliver...