Welsh Premier 26th/28th Dec

[traeth]

These are the "Christmas" derby fixtures with the return leg being played New Years day
Boxing Day
Bangor - Bala 1.72 3.65 4.14
Connahs Q. - Airbus 5.21 3.73 1.57
Newtown - TNS 6.29 4.22 1.43
Port Talbot - Afan Lido 1.59 3.75 4.95
Prestatyn - Rhyl 2.08 3.36 3.09

Saturday
Aberystwyth - Carmarthen 2.43 3.36 2.50

Most teams have four fixtures until the season split into the Championship group and Relegation group

here is the table
1. TNS 17 13 3 1 50:8 42
2. Airbus 18 12 4 2 38:17 40
3. Bangor 18 8 4 6 25:20 28
4. Newtown 18 8 4 6 28:27 28
5. Carmarthen Town 17 7 5 5 29:26 26
6. Rhyl 18 7 3 8 23:24 24

7. Aberystwyth 18 5 7 6 28:32 22
8. Prestatyn 18 5 5 8 20:24 20
9. Bala 18 4 5 9 22:25 17
10. Port Talbot 18 4 5 9 14:27 17
11. Connahs Q. 18 4 5 9 21:46 17
12. Afan Lido 18 3 4 11 13:35 13

 

[traeth]

Bangor - Bala
Bangor had a bit of luck in their win against bottom side Lido which doesn't give you much confidence.
Bala Town took a point at TNS and became the first side to score there this season which will be a big confidence boost for them.
It should be a home win but not a betting proposition

Connah's Quay v Airbus
After eight defeats C.Q. got a draw against fellow strugglers Prestatyn.
2nd placed Airbus should be too good for Connah's Quay , but at 1/2 not what I would consider as value for an away side

Newtown - TNS
Newtown with two games against leaders TNS will try to get some kind of return at home if they are to ensure staying in the top group before the split.
Newtown have been known to take points off TNS in recent years .
I'm not backing TNS on the asian handicap for these two matches

Port Talbot - Afan Lido
A bottom of the table clash between sides that are improving is a conundrum , giving it a miss

Prestatyn - Rhyl
Little between these two sides but I think that Rhyl are a better side with more grit but is that good enough to win a Christmas match I'm not so sure .
At 2/1 it is worth considering the away win.
Two wins in these back to back games could ensure which of these two sides end up in the safety of the Championship group


Aber v Carmarthen
Last week I was praising Aber's home record and they went and lost at home to strugglers Port Talbot.
Carmarthen recent form has been poor .
Can't pick a winner here.

Picking winners in derby matches is difficult but I'm interested in Airbus and Rhyl

 

[mijosim]

Airbus was first on my mind but odds doesnt temt me. Wouldnt consider them bellow 1.70, but think they will win. Connahs leaking goals but Airbus dont score away as much as i would lilke to take them. Reverse game would be interesting for me.

Cant take Saints at that price. Also, cant play against them.

Think Port Talbot will win, but odds are short.

Dont know about Rhyl traeth. Can go either way, but at those odds i can be interested.