Welsh Premier League 14.11-16.11.

[mijosim]

Druids - Rhyl 2.35 3.40 2.55 14.11.2014 20:30

TNS - Aberystwyth 1.30 4.80 7.50 14.11.2014 20:45

Airbus - Bala 1.70 3.60 4.10 15.11.2014 15:30

Carmarthen Town - Connahs Q. 1.85 3.50 3.50 15.11.2014 15:30

Prestatyn - Port Talbot 3.40 3.60 1.85 15.11.2014 15:30

Newtown - Bangor 2.15 3.40 2.84 16.11.2014 14:00


Will edit odds for last two matches when they appear.

Game cought my eye and i am interested is TNS-Aberystwyth. TNS ran over Bangor while Aber won against Druids in last round. TNS will be without topscorer Wilde. Aber had many injured players in last round so only one player was on the bench. H2H between these two when TNS are at home is on home side. Many wins with bigger margin.

Traeth, what do you think about this match ? Do you have any info about missings in Aber team ? Also do you think Wilde absent will have influence on TNS team ?
Aber away from home lost three in a row and their H2H with TNS isnt good. Thinking to take -2AH for big but have small doubts.

 

[mijosim]

From Aberystwyth website :

On Friday evening Aber visit Park Hall, home of Champions The New Saints, a ground where they have only once avoided defeat, and never won. The Saints appear to be running away with the Welsh Prem, boasting a nine point lead at the Top as things stand, so Town's lofty status will be tested as never before on Friday evening. However Ian Hughes acknowledges that performances and results against the Champions are the real yardstick by which Town's thrilling resurgence over the past fifteen months will be measured, and Town are getting closer. After prevailing by the odd goal in five in May's Welsh Cup Final, TNS fought back to gain a 1-1 draw with a fortunately deflected equaliser at Park Avenue in the two sides' previous League match on August Bank Holiday Monday.

Town Manager Ian Hughes again faces selection worries with Luke Sherbon and Mike Lewis likely to miss out, and injury doubts concerning some other squad members for the game. On the other hand Geoff Kellaway, Ryan Batley and Craig Williams all return to the squad following suspensions last week.

I would really like to know how many players struggling with injuries but suppose its impossible. Still looks like not that many as i suspected (or yes) as three are back in squad.

 

[traeth]

hi mij here's my take on this match
TNS - Aberystwyth
1st v 2nd , TNS have gone a long time since they were beaten at home but they could only draw their last home match against fourth placed Airbus. TNS had an easy 5-0 win against bottom side Bangor last weekend
Aber started the season with good wins away from home but their away form in October was poor with three losses whiich included a defeat at relegation strugglers Prestatyn. Their last two home games have been wins against Cefn and Newtown. It is this inconsistancy from Aber that worries me. I believe that Aber have overachieved in this early season but I'll be placing my bet on TNS -1.5 to get some return if the margin is only 2 goals

[edit] my bet TNS -1.5 A.H.@ 1.9 with bet365
or for the more adventurous TNS -2 A.H. @ 2.30 with stanjames

I'll post any team news but this league's news declines as the international side is playing

 

[mijosim]

Have two facts in mind : Wont say Aber leaking goals but they defense isnt that good. Now first choice keeper is out. That wont help. Also Venables scored 17! in just 13 matches. Think they relying much on him. Think Saints are able to stop him.

For TNS Wilde is out but Matty Williams is back after suspension. Also Draper pushing for start.

Still thinking to take -2AH huge. Cant see Aber being equal opponent if they decide to play football. Also cant see them stoping TNS if they decide to park a bus. Simply, see big advantage for TNS in this match.

 

[traeth]

I agree with you mij , but I hate to be too optimistic when it comes to posting my bets.
TNS are a much better footballing side than Aber , but many sides go to TNS to park the bus , when Aber tried to play football against Bala Town last month they came unstuck. That match was also after having to travel on a Friday evening.
I'm going out tomorrow evening so I will not be able to follow the match.

 

[mijosim]

Usually i am not always optimistic when comes to TNS but now i do. Odds are decent at least. Thaths because Aber are 2nd but thats dont need to mean anything. Without Airbus, now TNS dont have decent opponent. They can lose points sometimes but that wont be often. Aber are good for first four or five places but think there is gap between TNS and others.

 

[mijosim]

1-1 FT