Welsh Premier League 16/17/18 Nov

[traeth]

Friday
Bangor City (1.65) v (3.6) Airbus (4.6)
Connahs Quay (1.9) v (3.4) Newtown (3.55)

Saturday
Carmarthen (3.55) v (3.4) Prestatyn (1.9)
Llanelli (5.25) v (3.75) TNS (1.55)
Port Talbot (1.8) v (3.5) Aberystwyth (3.85)

Sunday
Bala Town (1.4) v (4.22) Afan Lido (7)

 

[ONEDUNME]

Who's going to win mate?

 

[charly1]

In normal conditions must be that TNS victory is the best bet. Manager/player Legg along with couple of players left Llanelli and two more players are red carded in their last game, so since we know their situation about unpaid salaries, debt, silent strike etc., the question is who's gonna play vs. TNS?
As always when it comes to TNS away performances there's a big question mark, but having in mind that TNS won both their mutual meetings last year, and they're certainly better team in these circumstances - I'm picking simply AW for some, let's say "safer" combo.
I can't resist , like last week, and going again with small staked single for over 6.5 goals ( can't believe but one of local shops offer @ 20.00 ?).

 

[pg_yid]

Good post charly, I fully agree with that.

Llanelli look to be falling apart completely, and I don't think the bookies factored that into their opening odds. To be fair they did play very well in similar circumstances against Bangor and may raise their game to prove they can compete against a top team. But the situation at the club has got worse since then and you'd fancy TNS to be too strong for them even without these problems, so I think the away win looks good value. Tony Bet have it at 1.65 still if you have an account with them, I don't but managed to get 1.6 with Fortuna Win before the price dropped. Otherwise a few places have 1.55. That 20.00 for over 6.5 looks excellent value. There's been loads of high scoring games in the WPL lately and considering Connah's Quay beat Llanelli 6-1 then TNS could well do the same if they can be bothered. Can't find such good odds as that but will keep looking with the aim of doing a similar bet, or maybe just take the highest possible AH on TNS.

I've also taken over 2.5 in the Bangor vs Airbus game @ 1.48 with Bet365. It looks like being a good game between two sides on form. I can't remember the exact stat but it's something like 2 or 3 games in the last three seasons that have gone under 2.5 when Bangor have been playing at home. Airbus are very 'overish' as well this season so it looks like a no brainer to me. The odds could be seen as being low by some, but if you bet this every game you would be well in profit so it's value in my book.

 

[pg_yid]

Over 5 goals (AH) with Bet365 @ 6.6 for the TNS game looks well worth a punt, I've taken that.

 

[traeth]

I've been very busy this week , so apologies for missing my comments for what they're worth, results so far

Fri 16 Nov 2012 - Welsh Premier League
Bangor 2 - 0 Airbus
Connah's Quay 2 - 1 Newtown

today
Llanelli 0 - 6 TNS ..charly hope you got on a smaller score like pg
Port Talbot 2 - 4 Aberystwyth