Welsh Premier League 1st Jan

[traeth]

these odds from bluesq

Tue, 1st of Jan, 2013
14:30 Bala Town v The New Saints 4.33 3.50 1.67
14:30 Connah's Quay v Airbus 3.30 3.40 1.91
14:30 Newtown v Aberystwyth 2.00 3.25 3.20
15:15 Prestatyn v Bangor 2.62 3.30 2.30

the results of the reverse fixture
Wed 26 Dec Aberystwyth 0-2 Newtown
Wed 26 Dec Airbus 2-2 Connah's Quay
Wed 26 Dec The New Saints 1-0 Bala Town
Fri 28 Dec Bangor 3-3 Prestatyn ...Prestatyn made a comeback from 3-0 with 13 minutes to go, cost me money

 

[pg_yid]

I like a repeat of the bets I did in the last round, pretty much.
Bala vs TNS- under 3.5 @ 1.91 (William Hill)
Prestatyn vs Bangor- over 3.5 @ 2.02 (Betsafe)

I also like Connah's Quay vs Airbus- over 3.5 @ 1.99 (Betsafe), though I've taken this one for a lower stake than the other two.

My reasoning is the same, the teams involved in the overs bets concede and score a lot. Bala and TNS are the two most underish teams in what is generally a very overish league; the stats are on the side of backing unders at those odds.

 

[pg_yid]

2 out of 3. And in fact, fortunately for me, William Hill voided the TNS bet after the game was postponed! So 2/2.