1. Hi and welcome to Betnod. If you would like to view the forum without adverts then please register.

ATP 1000/WTA Premier Rome 2012

Discussion in 'Tennis Betting' started by homunculus, May 13, 2012.

  1. ImLovinIt

    ImLovinIt New Member

    Homu did you get my PM?
  2. homunculus

    homunculus New Member

    Got it and replied, bro

    now to the tennis - I reconsidered on the new day. First - this is Thursday, NOT Wednesday today,
    and second - Azarenka withdrew from Rome. Therefore I decided to keep Serena's future
    and start to pushing my luck further. She plays vs Medina Garrigues today that lost to Lepchenko
    in Madrid, Medina's odds are around 12.000, I guess that Serena perhaps SHOULD make it,
    and I shall decedide about her future later.

    additional plays for THURSDAY

    I am going to continue massaging Kvitova and V.Williams.
    Stosur -2.5 > V.Williams @1.926 Pinnacle (5/10)
    Cirstea to bt Kvitova @5.25 Pinnacle (2/10)
    Venus quite lucky that Makarova chickened in the yesterday's match, and blew it up being
    5-4 up in the 1st set and serving for the 1st set. After lost 1st set tie-break, Makarova totally
    collapsed and never really got up again. Now Stosur is far more experienced than Makarova,
    is rightly favourite here, and though I would not support her against, say, Serena or Azarenka,
    she should get over out of form Venus quite comfortably. They played in Charleston this year,
    Sam won 63 46 63, and I expect this to be much shorter today.

    As to Kvitova, she struggled against Pavlyuchenkova that, despite her poor serve,
    managed to escape total spank. Petra made 8 DF and billions of unforceds, and
    I would not bet in her favour even if this were at evens. Sorana is quite solid player,
    actually she has won their last match in Copenhagen 2010 on i-hard (Petra's best surface),
    did beat Bartoli in Madrid (OK, Marion was not at her best shape, but neither is Kvitova),
    and IMO every decent player has got chance against Kvitova on clay.

    Almagro +3 > Berdych @1.952 Pinnacle (5/10)
    Almagro is a beast in past couple of days. He played tight match with David Ferrer last week
    in Madrid, and bagelised Cilic in R1 here, and actually he defeated Berdy this year in IW (hard)
    64 60. Mugro's best surface is clay as opposed to Berdy who feels better on quicker surfaces,
    so I would not be surprised at all if Mugro wins this, but I shall stay in a nicely priced handicap.
  3. homunculus

    homunculus New Member

    Well, this fukker Stosur did it again :-( I knew that she is nothing special on clay, but to lose in straights
    against a bag of sh*t that is able to doublefault through whole game, and is recovering from the fatigue syndrome,
    this is too much. So this is -12 pts today. I shall ride that Serena's future till the end, and we shall see whether
    this will be +6 pts for the week, or is Rome going to anihilate my profit from Madrid.
  4. ImLovinIt

    ImLovinIt New Member

    Dude, my PM.
  5. homunculus

    homunculus New Member

    Got it bro.

    continuing suicide mission FRIDAY

    Tsonga vs Djokovic over 21.5 games @2.01 Pinnacle (3/10)
    Their matches were always pretty tough, and Tsonga seems to be in form.
    Though his yesterday's win over Delpo was at least partly attributable to
    Delpo's fatigue.


    Berdych +5 > Nadal @1.917 Pinnacle (3/10)
    Berdych playing really welll in this clay season. So far only lost to Djokovic
    and Federer in pretty tight three setters. Though basically he IS a choker
    and did cost me lots of lest bets, I give him once more a try cos this guy
    brilliantly overplayed Delpo last week in the semis bringing me a small

    and continuing to massage Kvitova
    Kerber to bt Kvitova @2.170 Pinnacle (2/10)
    Might seem risky, but the golden rule says "ya shalt stay in a commenced delusion",
    so I obey :)
  6. homunculus

    homunculus New Member

    +2.1 pts for Friday is good news, the bad news is that this bloody Serena Williams
    withdrew after havig basically a walkover against Pennetta. The future is gone
    and current week's balance on declared bets is -19.6 pts

    I am going to spend the fortnight profit by vthe following:

    Kerber vs Sharapova over 21 games @1.943 (2/10)
    H2H is 1-1 and both in good form. Sharapova has hardert shots that Angelique will
    have trouble to return, but makes too many errors wich will enable Angelique to get
    back into match.
  7. homunculus

    homunculus New Member

    Kerber lost 3-6 4-6 - last 2 pts lost. Total balance in Madrid and Rome: virtual ZERO.
    Has been nice and cheap fun :)
  8. homunculus

    homunculus New Member

    This LAST bet of the thread is going to determine the price of two masters weeks:

    Rome ATP final:

    Djokovic to bt Nadal @2.22 Pinnacle (10/10)
    Easy. From last 8 matches, Djoker won 7, including Madrid and Rome clay finals last year.
    The last match in Monte-Carlo (Rafa won) this year was influenced by a) Monte Carlo is
    the last Rafa's fortress where he remains unbeaten since 2005. He would rather prefer to lose
    a Grand Slam final than Monte Carlo. b) Djoker had personal problems of his own.
    But now Djoker is back as he proved in the semis vs Fedex, and wants to defend the title.
    The stories about him not being in good shape proved once again wrong, as they have done
    many times before - Djoker is dangerous in this, because he always looks like as if he is
    going to collapese the very minute, but then he pulls out unbelievable tennis. The weather
    conditions in the final should be OK for Djoker - partly cloudy, about 23 degrees centigrade,
    weak or no wind at all. Heat would not suit Djoker and wind would have favoured Nadal, but as
    the forecast stands, with no known injuries at Djoker's side, H2H and form, at odds above 2,
    Djoker is clear choice.

Share This Page