BDO World Darts Championships

Some match bets later but an outright for now:

2pts each way Christian Kist @ 14/1 with Boylesports

14/1 on a relative unknown with little experience looks dodgy on the face of it, but his performance in round one was that good. Admittedly helped by some deadly finishing, his average of over 97 is in a different league to any other player in the tournament, with only defending champ matting Adams hitting just over 90.

The rest are the usual mix of 80-90 averages, which leaves Kist sticking out like a sore thumb here. Of course, it may prove to be a one off, but it didn't strike me as a fluke and his draw looks ok. Has every chance for me...unlike the PDC the BDO is there for the taking even by a complete newcomer.

1pts Robbie Green 2nd Quarter Winner @ 11/8 with Skybet
1pt Robbie Green Outright @ 24.00 with Betfair

This purely based on the draw, where quarter 2 is the weakest by some distance. Green is the class act remaining and having come through a possible test Fitton in R1 should have things easier in the next two, and if so he'll find himself in the Semis and likely to be sub 8/1 (at which point I'll likely be a layer.)

For tomorrow night:

0.5pts Stone @ 5/1 with SportingBet
1pts Montgomery @ 11/8 with SportingBet

I make the Montgomery match a coinflip. O Shea has far more pedigree but Montgomery is playing well and I think if you ran this one ten times they would end up roughly 5 a peice. All about who turns up on the day.

Stone played better than expected in R1 - Adams scored ok but was poor on the doubles. I'll still oppose him while the format is short as he can still struggle under pressure. If Stone nicks an early set then it's game on.

Agreed keggers, which is why Kist has every chance. If he throws as well as he did in R1 then there's not many that can live with him.

Bad night tonight, Harms upped his game to cruise past Kong which is a shame as the potential QF tie looked even easier, and O Shea and Adams weren't really threatened. Hopefully Kist can deliver tomorrow.

Kist through and again comfortably tops the averages for the round, throwing 96+.

O'Shea, Adams and Harms the only others to break 90(and all under 91) - and all three are on the opposite half of the draw from Kist, so he has every chance. Averages aren't everything but 5pts per throw on the field is a significant advantage at the moment.

Kist does look the real deal keg - that's three consistent matches now. If he replicates that in the semi he will deal with Hankey no problem. Down to 2/1 now but has a couple of serious tests ahead...

Kist edges Hankey 6-5 Lands the 2pts each way @ 7/1 for a tidy profit, final to come tomorrow.

Played his poorest match so far though, went off the boil for a large part of the match, sandwiched by a fast start and strong finish(plus a Hankey collapse.) Will need to rediscover the earlier form for the final.

I don't tend to get involved in the outrights pre tourney as I don't pay enough attention to the rest of the season(will do this year tho) but by all accounts Kist had been showing some very good form towards the end of 2011.

Nice bet kegs, I think Kist will win tomorrow for what it's worth. He had an almighty wobble today and probably should have lost as he couldn't hit a treble for love nor money from sets 5-8, but having come through that he will be better off for it. He should outscore O'Shea comfortably enough and from what I've seen so far he has an excellent mentality and deals with pressure situations/form dips well.

Just glad I don't have to watch hankey again tbh! Cmon Kist