France 30/09-2/10

Guingamp to beat Rennes @ 3.8

Saw this bet yesterday when Guingamp for some reason had gone out as far as 4/1, didn't get a chance to get to the bookies, and the price has come right back down again since. Still looks a decent price given the stats though.

Nothing much between the two in the table. Rennes 11th, Guingamp 8th, only 1 point between them. Rennes are strong at home, 3 wins from 3, Guingamp's away form 1-1-2. However, this is a local (Brittany) derby, and home advantage seems to go completely out of the window in this fixture. Of the last 13 meetings between the two sides, 9 have been won by the away side. In Guingamp's last 9 visits to Rennes, they've won 6, drawn 2, lost 1.