Boxing day matches

[ONEDUNME]

Welsh thread here http://www.betnod.com/threads/welsh-premier-league-dec-26th.1898/

26 Dec 15:00 UK QPR v West Brom 7/5 2/1 11/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Reading v Swansea 2/1 2/1 6/4
26 Dec 15:00 UK Sunderland v Man City 13/2 12/5 4/7
26 Dec 15:00 UK Man Utd v Newcastle 2/7 4/1 11/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Fulham v Southampton 17/20 23/10 7/2
26 Dec 15:00 UK Everton v Wigan 8/15 11/4 6/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Norwich v Chelsea 5/1 23/10 4/6
26 Dec 17:30 UK Aston Villa v Tottenham 11/4 21/10 11/10
26 Dec 19:45 UK Stoke v Liverpool 11/5 2/1 11/8

26 Dec 12:15 UK Nottingham Forest v Leeds 13/10 21/10 9/4
26 Dec 12:30 UK Hull v Leicester 17/10 21/10 17/10
26 Dec 12:30 UK Huddersfield v Blackpool 21/10 21/10 7/5
26 Dec 13:00 UK Charlton v Ipswich 13/10 21/10 9/4
26 Dec 15:00 UK Bristol City v Watford 11/5 12/5 6/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Bolton v Sheff Wed 4/5 11/5 4/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Cardiff v Crystal Palace 19/20 23/10 3/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Middlesbrough v Blackburn EVS 11/5 3/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Wolves v Peterborough 3/4 3/1 16/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Barnsley v Birmingham 8/5 21/10 9/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Burnley v Derby 6/5 12/5 11/5

26 Dec 15:00 UK Bournemouth v Yeovil 3/4 12/5 4/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Colchester v Brentford 13/5 21/10 23/20
26 Dec 15:00 UK Portsmouth v Crawley 17/10 21/10 17/10
26 Dec 15:00 UK Carlisle v Hartlepool 10/11 23/10 16/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Stevenage v Coventry 17/10 21/10 17/10
26 Dec 15:00 UK Shrewsbury v Notts County 9/5 21/10 8/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Sheff Utd v Scunthorpe 8/13 13/5 5/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Preston v Bury 5/6 5/2 16/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Oldham v Doncaster 17/10 21/10 17/10
26 Dec 15:00 UK Leyton Orient v Swindon 11/4 12/5 EVS
26 Dec 15:00 UK Tranmere v Crewe 21/20 11/5 11/4
26 Dec 15:00 UK MK Dons v Walsall 8/15 11/4 6/1

26 Dec 13:00 UK Gillingham v Barnet 2/5 3/1 9/1
26 Dec 13:00 UK Plymouth v Torquay 6/4 9/4 9/5
26 Dec 13:00 UK Dag & Red v Southend 9/5 21/10 8/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Wimbledon v Northampton 17/10 21/10 17/10
26 Dec 15:00 UK Exeter v Oxford 11/8 21/10 11/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Burton v Rochdale 6/4 11/5 9/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Aldershot v Bristol Rovers 6/5 21/10 5/2
26 Dec 15:00 UK Cheltenham v Wycombe 19/20 23/10 3/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Bradford v Accrington 7/10 12/5 9/2
26 Dec 15:00 UK Fleetwood v Morecambe EVS 11/5 3/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Rotherham v Port Vale 13/10 21/10 9/4
26 Dec 15:00 UK Chesterfield v York 5/4 21/10 12/5

26 Dec 15:00 UK Stockport v Hyde 23/20 5/2 17/10
26 Dec 15:00 UK Forest Green v Newport 23/20 12/5 2/1
26 Dec 15:00 UK Braintree v Cambridge Utd 17/10 5/2 13/10
26 Dec 15:00 UK Mansfield v Alfreton 4/6 11/4 7/2
26 Dec 15:00 UK Dartford v Ebbsfleet 4/5 11/4 11/4
26 Dec 15:00 UK Hereford v Kidderminster 7/4 9/4 7/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Barrow v Gateshead 17/10 23/10 7/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Nuneaton v Tamworth 11/8 23/10 7/4
26 Dec 15:00 UK Luton v Woking 11/20 16/5 19/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Wrexham v Telford 4/9 16/5 11/2
26 Dec 15:00 UK Southport v Macclesfield 8/5 12/5 29/20
26 Dec 15:00 UK Lincoln v Grimsby 19/10 23/10 5/4

26 Dec 12:00 UK Dundee Utd v St Johnstone 6/5 11/5 12/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Inverness v St Mirren 10/11 21/10 7/2
26 Dec 15:00 UK Hibernian v Ross County 19/20 21/10 10/3
26 Dec 15:00 UK Motherwell v Aberdeen 7/5 21/10 21/10
26 Dec 15:00 UK Kilmarnock v Hearts 17/10 21/10 17/10
26 Dec 19:30 UK Dundee v Celtic 14/1 9/2 2/9

26 Dec 15:00 UK Dunfermline v Falkirk 3/4 14/5 10/3
26 Dec 15:00 UK Partick v Morton 10/11 12/5 3/1

26 Dec 15:00 UK Brechin v Arbroath 11/10 12/5 12/5
26 Dec 15:00 UK Albion v Ayr 19/10 5/2 13/10
26 Dec 19:45 UK Queen of the South v Stranraer 2/5 7/2 7/1

26 Dec 19:45 UK Rangers v Clyde 1/10 8/1 20/1

 

[swooperman]

Swansea & West Brom look decent prices I reckon, & considering how Fulham looked the other night (granted at home theyre a different animal) I might have been a bit tempted on S'oton if they were 5/1....but not 7/2
Not sure wtf to say about Villa but I wouldnt be surprised at a good performance after yesterday, & we've had good results before that. I'm sure some would argue 11/10 Spurs is value but not for me.
Stoke look big.....very fucking big considering its only a week since Villa walloped Liverpool. Weeks a long time in football it appears

 

[ThunderCelt]

Good luck.

Not much from me as time doesn't permit, but I've had a small punt a the general 23/10 on the draw at Plymouth/Torquay. Both draw their fair share and are low scoring teams, form isn't a million miles, and it's a local derby. 23/10 assumes about a 30% shance of a draw; and the league average is about 28%; I'd have this as a significantly higher than average chance.

 

[swooperman]

that sounds a good shout TC, might put me wages on that

 

[slick]

Norwich look a bit large considering they'll be switched on by the way Chelsea thumped Villa, can well see this one being a draw.

Same too with Stoke and Livepool, Stoke love playing the 'bigger' teams at the Brittania and they usually end up 1-1.

 

[swooperman]

I know Newcastle are on a bad run but 12/1 looks a bit big considering how united looked yesterday

 

[slick]

Sure is Swoops, I remember yrs ago a United fan telling me United always do badly on Boxing day then went on to get beat by QPR, in recent yrs I've noticed they do usually have one slip up over the Christmas period and that might have been against Swansea , last yr was the defeat to Blackburn at OT.

 

[winrew]

Not good team news for Newcastle mind..

Newcastle United will be without suspended midfielder Chieck Tiote after the influential Ivorian picked up a fifth booking of the season.
Hatem Ben Arfa, Steven Taylor (both hamstring), Yohan Cabaye (groin) and Ryan Taylor (knee) are also missing.

United have the best Premier League record on Boxing Day, winning 15 of their previous 18 matches on this date and losing only once.

 

[Kegman]

Newcastle beat Man Ure around this time last year but that was at home and not at OT but double figures may tempt.

I may be also tempted with Spurs/Liverpool double assuming both are on the box

 

[swooperman]

United have the best Premier League record on Boxing Day, winning 15 of their previous 18 matches on this date and losing only once.

Ha, you tell him, Win

Cant really disagree with Spurs after yesterday, but I do have a sneaking feeling we'll put in a performance. Mind you I had a sneaking feeling yesterday as well You're welcome to Liverpool, Keg, but having a bet on it could be the only way it'll be worth watching. It's gonna be shocking

 

[Punter]

Can i after event? Sorry...

http://img841.imageshack.us/img841/1714/capturevcy.png

I fancied a late bet on the live game but didnt include it in my weekly bets there, but that aside I've a feeling we're going to see a spanking of a similar kind Boxing Day, a strong feeling that there's a tanking for either Newcastle, Norwich or Villa again.
I'm covering 5-0, 5-1, 6-0, 6-1 etc upto 8-1 again. I think there's a copycat killing out there again this weekend, possibly Chelsea the most likely to inflict it again, but i'm covering Utd and Spurs too. Prices range from 22/1 to 400/1.

I'll have a look at the lower leagues later but i'm already tempted with shouting Oxford as the outsider bet and Rotherham the value home bet.

 

[Kegman]

Going to see what Swansea are on the Asian h/cap. Reading almost pulled of a shock result by getting a draw v City but playing at home they'll need to be a bit more attack minded and this will be ideal for Swansea.

8/11 draw no bet mmmmm dunno if thats a decent price or not

 

[Punter]

I think i'm right in saying Liverpool are the only team not to be awarded a penalty in the prem this season. Obviously alot of that has been down to Suarez diving but we have had a few stonewallers turned away. I think we'll get one in the next couple of games. I'm chancing we might get one here and as our penalty taker i think Gerrard maybe a touch overpriced at 7/2 anytime scorer.
I've backed us for the win too, Stoke have been solid at home and remain unbeaten at home in their last 15 games. They've only conceded 3 goals at the Britania this season but i just think if anyone can change their superb home form it could be Liverpool.

 

[Yorkieacer]

Right then lets have a look Premiership

Everton are a back for me even without Fellaini, Wigan havnt been good at all this season imo where as Everton have played quite well 1 loss in 13, They have drawn quite a few games with 1-1 being a common score but they should have to much so back @ 1.53. Fulham should win at 1.90, I want Southampton to stay up and there home form will keep them up if they carry on away from home they have 1 win which was against QPR, fulham should have to much at home. Id be tempted by Norwich @ 6.00 to win but instead ill take the 2.20 on the double chance, Yes Chelsea have had 2 good results in a row but it depends which side turns up today, Norwich have done quite well against the big teams at home so could hold Chelsea out here. Man utd should win but im leaving alone at that price, Qpr imo will win but leaving alone after harry's comments on Saturday. Reading Swansea again leaving alone to close to call, Sunderland - City leaving alone after City's performance on Saturday. Villa Tottenham likewise leaving it alone to close but the late match im on Stoke at 3/1 bonkers price that must surely lower during the day who do the bookies think Liverpool are

Stoke @ 3/1
Fulham @ 1.90
Everton @ 1.54
Norwich double chance @ 2.20
£20 singles £2 accy @ 25.75

 

[Yorkieacer]

Championship
Leeds - Forest has overs wrote all over that @ 1.80 4 out of Leeds last 5 have gone over 2.5 and 2 out of Forest's have also. H2H wise both teams have scored in 10 off the last 12 games between the two prob happen again today as well. Leaving alone Charlton-Ipswich as Ipswich have improved lately, Same with Barnsley-birmingham, Bristol-Watford im leaving as i can sense a draw maybe there. Ill be backing Burnley @ 2.20 due to Derby's away form as of late and backing Bolton @ 1.75 i dont think Wednesday are good enough to go and get a draw at least. Cardiff Vs Palace im going to be on Cardiff there's not much between the two sides but Cardiff will want to bounce back after having there 100% home form done by peterborough, 1.90 is a back just as i have them at 1.80. Going t leave huddersfield-Blackpool could go anyway that if anything id lay blackpool with a view to trade. Hull - Leicester imo im going to go Hull but i think i could get burnt here Hull seem to be hitting the right form with Leicester falling apart so on them @ 2.60. Deffo going to be on Middlesborough at home and 1.90 will shorten imo they should of beat Leeds on Saturday and are one of the decent sides in the league, Blackburn are very poor this season awful. Also on Wolves, Pboro have had two wins in a row and both sides are starting to play well but id rather be on the home side as imo Pboro are the worst side in the league could be a thrashing so Wolves @ 1.72.

Over 2.5 Leeds - Forest @ 1.80,
Bolton @ 1.75
Burnley @ 2.20
Cardiff @ 1.90
Hull @ 2.60
Middlesborough @ 1.90
Wolves @ 1.75
£20 singles £2 accy @ 113.42

 

[Yorkieacer]

League 1
On MK Don's today won 6 in a row at home now, Walsall are not the best side but have been playing well there last 5 away games 4 have been draws, I think MK should have to much so on @ 1.57, Oldham- Doncaster leaving alone could go either way likewise with Shrewsbury-Notts C. Sheff Utd look one of the best prices in the league @ 1.61 today Scunthorpe are awful 2nd bottom vs top, Utd havnt lost at home since March. Portsmouth - Crawley im going to back the draw @ 3.30, Portsmouth won the reverse match after Crawley went down to 9 men both teams score here maybe end 2-2. Leaving Coventry - Stevenage i really fancy Stevenage though @ 2.75 despite there indifferent form. Leaving Colchester-Brentford. Tranmere-Crewe im going to say Tranmere win @ evens and bounce back from 1 win in 7. On Bournemouth to win @ 1.61 one of the best footballing sides in the league since Eddie Howe went back, Havnt lost in 13 matches and unbeaten since October ON. Battle of the shit teams in Carlisle-Hartlepool carlisle should have to much though for a side not won away since march on @ 1.90. Leaving preston-bury but expecting a easy home win.

Mk dons @ 1.57,
Sheff U @ 1.61,
Portsmouth - Crawley Draw @ 3.30,
Tranmere @ Evens
Bournemouth @ 1.61
Carlisle @ 1.90
£20 singles £2 accy @ 51.66

 

[Yorkieacer]

League 2
Leaving Dagenham-Southend could go either way, I can see gillingham beating barnet but there not worth backing @ 1.33 imo to short. Also leaving plymouth-torquay another one that could go either way.Backing Aldershot @ 2.10 against a rubbish Bristol side. Leaving Exeter-Oxford match but expect a Exeter win, On Cheltenham @ Evens best bet of the league today imo very good home side. Leaving Rotherham vs port vale wouldnt be suprised with a vale win @ 3.40 though, Burton win @ 2.50 is deffo worht a back i have them at 2.20 so im on, level on points in the league but ill take home advantage and the fact they have lost only twice at home this season. Bradford @ 1.61 second best side in the league imo behind Gillingham, Accrington havnt been playing that well this season expecting a comfortable home win. Leaving Fleetwood-Morecambe wouldnt be suprised by a 2-0 fleetwood win though. Chesterfield @ 2.20 should have to much for York who are poor away.

Chesterfield @ 2.20
Bradford @ 1.61
Cheltenham @ Evens
Aldershot @ 2.10
Burton @ 2.50
£20 singles £2 accy @ 37.31

 

[pg_yid]

Stoke +0.5 Asian Handicap looks a mad price @ 1.85. OK Liverpool won 4-0 at the weekend but Fulham were very poor and it was only last week they sunk 1-3 at home to Villa. Stoke have an excellent record at home against the big teams when they are underdogs, they haven't lost one of these games for around 10 games I think, lots of draws but a draw would be a winner with this bet. Looks excellent value.

 

[swooperman]

I'm on Stoke as well I'm afraid. Liverpool may win but theres no way those odds are right

 

[Kegman]

Looking at the scittish games i'm going back Inverness to beat St Mirren. Although the saints won last week v motherwell ICT seem to be playing the best football in the SPL and at home i'd expect them to beat St Mirren and around evens is a good price