Aye it's gonna be a close call but I'm tempted the other way Keggers, Athletico were superb against Barca in containing them and will be looking to do the same against Real.
Also they seemed to shut their season down once they reached the final in readiness for this match.
After watching Real struggle to score against a piss poor City defence in the semis and not really controlling that game as I expected because City are no great shakes at the moment my first thoughts were lump on Athletico as soon as that game ended.
Real seemed very nervous in both legs and will probably be shitting it against Athletico lol.
Betting wise like you I'm not so sure because I can see this easily ending all square after 90 mins.