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S
Sean
Guest
Saturday 16th December
5.28 Deauville - Max Mayhem EW @ 9/2
I think its interesting that KP De Foy sends just MAX MAYHEM over to Deauville today for the listed race , won at Kempton last time out beating Andaleep by a length and a quarter. Daniel Muscutt was on board for the first time that day and it catches my eye that hes travelled over to France for his only ride of the day.
5.28 Deauville - Max Mayhem EW @ 9/2
I think its interesting that KP De Foy sends just MAX MAYHEM over to Deauville today for the listed race , won at Kempton last time out beating Andaleep by a length and a quarter. Daniel Muscutt was on board for the first time that day and it catches my eye that hes travelled over to France for his only ride of the day.
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SAMOAN
Guest
Might be too hot a race for ALWAYS WELCOME, but is a handy sort, so adding this one at 20's. Also added him for the forecast.
S
Sean
Guest
S
Sean
Guest
Tuesday 26th December
1.40 Aintree - Bingoo EW @ 14/1
Going through them for the Maybe Summat In It thread and this one caught my eye for this thread (maybe more after ive finished) .. Was down to run on Friday 23rd but was pulled and takes up this entry instead at Aintree , at a nice each way price , probably nothing in it but at the price i'm willing to take the chance. Never been out of the first three in his career to date , and although been off track for 200+ days has won on his return before so doesnt concern me too much. Step up in class to contend with and has never won at the distance although come third just shy of todays distance so definatley has possibilties. Jockey Charlotte Jones has ridden him on all starts to date with four wins and three places from her eight rides. Has a 20% strike rate over the last couple of weeks and her 3lb claim wont do any harm and she has a 17% strike rate when coming here to Aintree , when she and James Moffatt have teamed up over the last three weeks they have a 25% strike rate. As i say a shot to nothing , but i like the price and think hes worth a pop to at least place.
2.30 Kempton - Allaho @ 7/4
You could really make a case for all of these in one way or another but the fact that Willie Mullins sends just this one to the meeting caught my eye i have to say , been in great form lately with a 37% strike rate over the last three weeks , and does well when sending his runners over here to Kempton with a 40% strike rate over the last five years. It also didnt go un noticed that Paul Townend also comes here for just this one ride when he could of had a few winners back in Ireland in all probability. Has a 36.8% strike rate over the last four weeks , and the fact that he comes here for just this one ride makes me think that they must seriously fancy the horses chances. When he's ridden for Mullins over the last three weeks they have a 36% strike rate. Hes ridden the horse nine times , winning six of them and placing in a further two so know and gets on well with the horse. In a race of this nature i have to admit that 7/4 is plenty short enough , and theres a few negatives that come with it , the horse has never run here at Kempton before , and hes only had the one run since coming back from 561 days off , he won that comeback run well enough by 9 lengths and i really dont think that the trainer would be sending him here if he didnt think he stood a major chance of going home with the crown. Dangers abound as i say and i would like a bit more juice in the price tbh but if at his best then i think he takes it , and if he isnt at his best then i really cant see Mullins sending him over here in all honestly.
1.40 Aintree - Bingoo EW @ 14/1
Going through them for the Maybe Summat In It thread and this one caught my eye for this thread (maybe more after ive finished) .. Was down to run on Friday 23rd but was pulled and takes up this entry instead at Aintree , at a nice each way price , probably nothing in it but at the price i'm willing to take the chance. Never been out of the first three in his career to date , and although been off track for 200+ days has won on his return before so doesnt concern me too much. Step up in class to contend with and has never won at the distance although come third just shy of todays distance so definatley has possibilties. Jockey Charlotte Jones has ridden him on all starts to date with four wins and three places from her eight rides. Has a 20% strike rate over the last couple of weeks and her 3lb claim wont do any harm and she has a 17% strike rate when coming here to Aintree , when she and James Moffatt have teamed up over the last three weeks they have a 25% strike rate. As i say a shot to nothing , but i like the price and think hes worth a pop to at least place.
2.30 Kempton - Allaho @ 7/4
You could really make a case for all of these in one way or another but the fact that Willie Mullins sends just this one to the meeting caught my eye i have to say , been in great form lately with a 37% strike rate over the last three weeks , and does well when sending his runners over here to Kempton with a 40% strike rate over the last five years. It also didnt go un noticed that Paul Townend also comes here for just this one ride when he could of had a few winners back in Ireland in all probability. Has a 36.8% strike rate over the last four weeks , and the fact that he comes here for just this one ride makes me think that they must seriously fancy the horses chances. When he's ridden for Mullins over the last three weeks they have a 36% strike rate. Hes ridden the horse nine times , winning six of them and placing in a further two so know and gets on well with the horse. In a race of this nature i have to admit that 7/4 is plenty short enough , and theres a few negatives that come with it , the horse has never run here at Kempton before , and hes only had the one run since coming back from 561 days off , he won that comeback run well enough by 9 lengths and i really dont think that the trainer would be sending him here if he didnt think he stood a major chance of going home with the crown. Dangers abound as i say and i would like a bit more juice in the price tbh but if at his best then i think he takes it , and if he isnt at his best then i really cant see Mullins sending him over here in all honestly.
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S
Sean
Guest
Tuesday 26th December
1.40 Aintree - Bingoo EW @ 14/11st 13/2
Going through them for the Maybe Summat In It thread and this one caught my eye for this thread (maybe more after ive finished) .. Was down to run on Friday 23rd but was pulled and takes up this entry instead at Aintree , at a nice each way price , probably nothing in it but at the price i'm willing to take the chance. Never been out of the first three in his career to date , and although been off track for 200+ days has won on his return before so doesnt concern me too much. Step up in class to contend with and has never won at the distance although come third just shy of todays distance so definatley has possibilties. Jockey Charlotte Jones has ridden him on all starts to date with four wins and three places from her eight rides. Has a 20% strike rate over the last couple of weeks and her 3lb claim wont do any harm and she has a 17% strike rate when coming here to Aintree , when she and James Moffatt have teamed up over the last three weeks they have a 25% strike rate. As i say a shot to nothing , but i like the price and think hes worth a pop to at least place.
2.30 Kempton - Allaho @ 7/4
You could really make a case for all of these in one way or another but the fact that Willie Mullins sends just this one to the meeting caught my eye i have to say , been in great form lately with a 37% strike rate over the last three weeks , and does well when sending his runners over here to Kempton with a 40% strike rate over the last five years. It also didnt go un noticed that Paul Townend also comes here for just this one ride when he could of had a few winners back in Ireland in all probability. Has a 36.8% strike rate over the last four weeks , and the fact that he comes here for just this one ride makes me think that they must seriously fancy the horses chances. When he's ridden for Mullins over the last three weeks they have a 36% strike rate. Hes ridden the horse nine times , winning six of them and placing in a further two so know and gets on well with the horse. In a race of this nature i have to admit that 7/4 is plenty short enough , and theres a few negatives that come with it , the horse has never run here at Kempton before , and hes only had the one run since coming back from 561 days off , he won that comeback run well enough by 9 lengths and i really dont think that the trainer would be sending him here if he didnt think he stood a major chance of going home with the crown. Dangers abound as i say and i would like a bit more juice in the price tbh but if at his best then i think he takes it , and if he isnt at his best then i really cant see Mullins sending him over here in all honestly.
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S
Sean
Guest
Wednesday 27th December
12.30 Chepstow - Jackpot D'Athou 5/4
Looking at this one the same way as i looked at Bingoo , was down to run yesterday in a Grade 1 at Aintree and was pulled , and down to run here today in a class four at Chepstow , if Paul Nicholls thought him good enough to contest a grade one then i would hope that hes more than capable of taking a race of this nature. Won over CD last time out by two lengths , and to me everything points to a big run being on the cards
12.30 Chepstow - Jackpot D'Athou 5/4
Looking at this one the same way as i looked at Bingoo , was down to run yesterday in a Grade 1 at Aintree and was pulled , and down to run here today in a class four at Chepstow , if Paul Nicholls thought him good enough to contest a grade one then i would hope that hes more than capable of taking a race of this nature. Won over CD last time out by two lengths , and to me everything points to a big run being on the cards
S
Sean
Guest
Friday 5th January
2.30 Musselburgh - Win Singles / Combination FC - Sunday Soldier 5/2 - Mr Rumbalicious 13/2 - Dot Cotton 9/1 - Percy Willis 12/1
Quite like four in this race so at the prices gonna do all of them as win singles , and as a combination forecast , Sunday Soldier sluiced up by 7 lengths last time out over this afternoons CD , so a repeat performance wouldnt come as a huge surprise i have to be honest but is now up 14lb so whether he can handle that or not remains to be seen, Despite that rise i think he should still be in the mix. Mr Rumbalicious is having only his third start for the inform James Moffat yard , won on his debut back in August and was then run out last time so its entirely possible that he can regain the winning thread here this afternoon. Trainer and jockey both here for just this one , and when combining their talents they have a 50% strike rate over the last three weeks and given their recent form i think it'd be silly to ignore their chances here given the current price. Dot Cotton is still a maiden after 16 runs but did run well last time out over 2m4f here at Musselburgh , so if she comes into this in the same sort of form id say she has to be given a chance of breaking her maiden tag. Lastly Percy Willis who i think is a little overpriced at 12s all things considered , had a recent spin on the flat when 4th of 12 at Wolverhampton , only had the 5 starts over hurdles so plenty of scope for improvement and the fact that all four of his flat wins to date have come when he was wearing cheekpieces and that they have been added for the first time over hurdles didnt go un noticed.
2.30 Musselburgh - Win Singles / Combination FC - Sunday Soldier 5/2 - Mr Rumbalicious 13/2 - Dot Cotton 9/1 - Percy Willis 12/1
Quite like four in this race so at the prices gonna do all of them as win singles , and as a combination forecast , Sunday Soldier sluiced up by 7 lengths last time out over this afternoons CD , so a repeat performance wouldnt come as a huge surprise i have to be honest but is now up 14lb so whether he can handle that or not remains to be seen, Despite that rise i think he should still be in the mix. Mr Rumbalicious is having only his third start for the inform James Moffat yard , won on his debut back in August and was then run out last time so its entirely possible that he can regain the winning thread here this afternoon. Trainer and jockey both here for just this one , and when combining their talents they have a 50% strike rate over the last three weeks and given their recent form i think it'd be silly to ignore their chances here given the current price. Dot Cotton is still a maiden after 16 runs but did run well last time out over 2m4f here at Musselburgh , so if she comes into this in the same sort of form id say she has to be given a chance of breaking her maiden tag. Lastly Percy Willis who i think is a little overpriced at 12s all things considered , had a recent spin on the flat when 4th of 12 at Wolverhampton , only had the 5 starts over hurdles so plenty of scope for improvement and the fact that all four of his flat wins to date have come when he was wearing cheekpieces and that they have been added for the first time over hurdles didnt go un noticed.
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Sean
Guest
Sunday Soldier wins but no luck with the forecast
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Sean
Guest
Tuesday 16th January
1.25 Wolverhampton - Alafdhal EW @11/2 EW- Araifjan EW @18/1
Couple in this one show up quite well by my ratings and look nicely priced to me for their chances so an ew punt on both , plus theyre both proven over todays CD. Beauzon obviously a major threat , and with a couple of non runners in the race its now down to nine runners so still good for the three places each way.
1.25 Wolverhampton - Alafdhal EW @11/2 EW- Araifjan EW @18/1
Couple in this one show up quite well by my ratings and look nicely priced to me for their chances so an ew punt on both , plus theyre both proven over todays CD. Beauzon obviously a major threat , and with a couple of non runners in the race its now down to nine runners so still good for the three places each way.
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SAMOAN
Guest
Gone with these 2, but also added THE NAIL GUNNER at 10's. Had a few quid running on it 10 days ago, when it trailed home last. Was on the avoid list after that, but don't mind sticking it in for the combination Forecast / Tricast.
S
Sean
Guest
Tuesday 23rd January
2.35 Newbury - Trincomalee EW @ 12/1
Been waiting for this one to run as the trainer seems eager to get a run into him , has been down to run several times in recent weeks but for one reason or another hasnt , pulled the first time if i remember correctly and then the other times the meetings have been abandoned doe to the weather .. Has been off 642 days now so in all fairness will probably need this run but was a decent sort when last seen , and like i say it has caught my eye that the trainer had this entered a few times and i think an each way to nothing wont hurt just in case im right and the trainer and has him fit and ready to roll first time up.
2.35 Newbury - Trincomalee EW @ 12/1
Been waiting for this one to run as the trainer seems eager to get a run into him , has been down to run several times in recent weeks but for one reason or another hasnt , pulled the first time if i remember correctly and then the other times the meetings have been abandoned doe to the weather .. Has been off 642 days now so in all fairness will probably need this run but was a decent sort when last seen , and like i say it has caught my eye that the trainer had this entered a few times and i think an each way to nothing wont hurt just in case im right and the trainer and has him fit and ready to roll first time up.