140 Chelmsford.
Jm Jackson. Has shown enough ability to show that itwin races. Money for two newcomers doesn't worry me as experience isworth a lot at this stage of a horse's career but the lack of a runon the all weather is an unknown. Then again, it's also an unknownfor its two market rivals. 5/2 a price worth having a tilt at.
205 Newmarket
Incredulous. Picked up after 2nd run and duly obliged for me next time out. 2nd in subsequentrace. Steps up considerably tomorrow and may flop like a floppy thing but I'll be on it each way. Currenly 16/1, 8 runners.
210 Chelmsford. I don't like doing this but it is an open enough handicap race and, assuming no non runners and prices are around the same tomorrow, I will be backing both of these at 8/1.
Leo Minor is awell raced handicapper (5 year old) who was running consistently well this time last year but who's rating has waned since. He can win off his current mark of 72 if showing anything like last year's form. The other one is
Kamikaze Lord. Showed some ability last September in his early races but hasn't sparkled at all this year. Looking forpositives, the trainer has just had his first winner today for over ayear (a bit unfair given the number of horses perhaps but nonetheless
)and IF this beast has any ability (and I'm betting that it has) , you can draw a graph with a line to show the declining OR meeting the inevitable coming together of the right circumstances and the beast is likely to win at a rewarding price.
215 Thirsk. Frustratingly, I have the two of the top three horses inthe betting in my tracker (
Beauty of Deira and Morning Duel) so ifone of the trainers could drop one out please so that I can pile on the other one, I would be very grateful. Thanks. Failing that, Iwill pick the bet that I think represents most value around midday tomorrow (whether that be win/ew/insurance/without the fav) and gof or that and hope the other one doesn't win.
225 Goodwood .
Corgi. Tracker horse from last year. Doesn't run manybad races. One of those irritating horses that is too genuine for its own good. At 5/1 I'm not impressed by the price but that's to be expected. I'll see what the options are in the morning.
When you've been sticking young horses in your tracker since April,it's inevitable that they're going to keep cropping up in the sameraces at this time of the year and the 240 Newmarket is another oneof those.
Rose of Kildare got me a couple of early wins (albeit atshort prices) and has got rid of most of that since. Was thehandicapper too harsh with his early assessment or is he just notthat good? Well, as we tend to do, I have found excuses for histhree poorest runs. Heavy ground, the only time out at 7 furlongsand jinking right out of the stalls last time out. Not the firsttime she has cocked up the start and she stil runs green as baby shitsometimes despite having 7 runs under her belt but I see that assomet kind of positive in a way. If she gets a good break anddoesn't run so green, the handicapper may regret taking a couple ofpounds off. Available at 12/1 for 4 places or 14/1 for 3 places. Theother one is
Go Well Spicy. 22/1 (18/1 4 places) and drifting - tostep up and with no excuse for its last run (nursery handicap) butwill go on the ground and still a bit left from it's last win for meto risk a small investment.
330 Doncaster
Jomrok. I'll take the 5/2 on this over the odds onFirst in Line every day of every week of every year.
335 Galway. Was it on here that I read that Ryan Moore had said that
Lancaster House was the best unraced 3 year old at Ballydoyle? Probably. So not one of my trackers but on it anyway at 5/2
340 Goodwood
True Mason. Win and a couple of places for me last yearfor a profit but abysmal since October. Still, I have two magicwords for you “wind operation” lol. 50/1 for 6 places anddrifting. Will maybe look for a decent price for 7 places for smallstakes and watch the run with interest as, legend goes, they often gobetter 2nd time after a wind op once they catch on thatthis breathing lark is easy.
350 Newmarket.
Blonde Warrior has had some wins and places since Itook interest last year but not at decent enough prices to make me aprofit. Gonne take an ew chance on it in a class three tomorrow ifthe 8 runners stand their ground. Currently 6/1
Ventura Ocean. Win and a couple of places has seen my judgement rewarded thus far. I've got to go with it again tomorrow but at 3/1in an open race, only for small stakes.
355 Chelmsford
Zahee is in my tracker but way too many unknownstomorrow for a bet at 4/1
400 Thirsk
Tulfarris. Been shite since the moment I entered it intomy tracker but down to the same mark as then and 6/1 fav for tomorrow4 places but 11/2 for 5.
405 Doncaster. Anyone who's still awake will remember I said that Ikeep old tracker horses and have a look? Well,
Everything for you isone from 2017. Won last time out and an each way price (9/1) in a 13runner race tomorrow. Never won off tomorrow's mark but burst in toform this exact same time last year so let's give it a go.
Francis Xavier was another who ran well last summer (thank you verymuch). Tried (and failed) in class 2 and class 1 races most recentlybut is persisted with tomorrow. Course and distance winnerpreviously so there is hope but I'll be looking to back it next timeif it does fail tomorrow. 10/1 a fair ew price.
415 Goodwood.
Great Ambassador. Drifting due to the strength of theO'brian fav but has had two decent seconds so far and an entry for a£300k race in September (not always a realiable guide but I'll be onit). 5/1 at the moment so we'll see where the price settles in themorning.
435 Thirsk
Buriram. Not a race to look too deeply into or I'll just putmyself off. Just get on at 5/2 and move on.
450 Goodwood
Land of Legends 7/2 win (getting tired now)
500 Newmarket
Elishiba. Doesn't break well – shite in last tworaces. Handicap mark may be too high. Goes better on all weather. Am I tempting you?
7 runners so a win bet at 5/1 and a place bettomorrow when the liquidity kicks in on the exchanges.
525 Goodwood.
Storting. 10/1 each way 5 places. Apprentice Handicaprace. Best jockey is on the fav Gifts of Gold which is the one I'd bebacking if I had a brain but sometimes you've just got to go with theflow
550 Hamilton
Mr Fudge. Good debut but going backwards since. Thething that only he and I realise is that, he's been hanging back andrunning green just waiting for the handicapper to give him a lowhandicap and for the step up to 7 furlongs. The rest of the worldis going to be wondering what the hell happened at 6 o'clock tomorrownight :-0
605 Lingfield
Choral Music. One from last year's tracker and one ofmy most profitable ones at that. Before you dismiss it, take a lookat it's Lingfield form in isolation. That and the fact that it wonfor me at 50/1 means there's no chance I'm going to let this one runwithout my money on it. Each way bet at 14/1.
650 Hamilton. 9 runners – 2 tracker horses – 1 decision to make. The very fact that it's back at the course and at the distance thatit won at last race but one makes
Cool Spirit a must back at 7/2. Idaren't leave
Dancing Rave alone because the bastard will go and winif I do. It gets you like that sometimes. 13/2 at the moment anddrifting.
720 Hamilton Outsider of the bunch
Zig Zag Zyggy at 20/1. Each waybet (2 places) and another bet tomorrow for 3 places.
Marnie Jamesis back down to his last winning mark and back at the course anddistance of last year's victory. Only ran at Hamilton twice – awin and a 2nd and ran into form last summer. All lookinggood for a shot at the winner's enclosure. Win bet 5/1 and place beton exchanges tomorrow.
Finished at last - except I may have another look at Jack's Point in the 450 and Kripke in teh 400.
A wise man once told me, the more bets you have, the more losers you have so I'm in big doo dah tomorrow
Typed it up and copied and pasted - no idea what some of the words have run together but i can't be arsed to sort it
