Pete's Poisson Picks

[Punter]

Get in Pete! Starting to look very good, this.

 

[slick]

Great stuff Pete, I read the thread title as 'Pete's poison picks' lol
wtf is Poisson?

 

[slick]

Np's I've found it...I was googling 'possion' instead of poisson

Calculates win probabilities and odds for Poisson-style proposition bets based upon an underlying win percentage

 

[Pete89]

Thank's guys, I'm must waiting on the one week where I hit 0/10 though, I know it'll happen (It always does)

Aye, I can't spell Slick, for those of you who are interested, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution

Anyway +£74 today for a total running profit of £315.08 (Which sadly is only actually about £60 for me as I'm still using smaller stakes, however I think it may be time to up them)

 

[rcgills]

Going well Pete. I've edited the thread title for you.

 

[ONEDUNME]

I thought it was a thread on how to cook fish

 

[Kegman]

Liverpool v WBA £26
0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, 3-2, 3-3

How does the staking work Pete ?

Did you stake £2.60 on each outcome or does it depend on the odds to level out so any outcome returns same amount ?

 

[ONEDUNME]

I think the stake differs to return £100 Kegs

 

[Pete89]

As ODM says it's dutched to return £100

 

[Pete89]

Liverpool V Swansea £50.65 (67.8% chance of win)
0-0, 0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-0, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-0

 

[Pete89]

Liverpool win 5-0
+264.43 to date

 

[ONEDUNME]

You're da man.

 

[Kegman]

I don't think Pete had 5-0 ODM

 

[ONEDUNME]

I'm looking at the profit figure keggers.

Not too shabby that

 

[ONEDUNME]

.....I'm still using smaller stakes, however I think it may be time to up them)

The dreaded words

I'm pretty sure that if I had a system that had won 364 days out of 364, as soon as I:

a/ increased my stakes

or

b/ told someone about it

I can guarantee it would nosedive

 

[Pete89]

Sat:

Fulham v Stoke £43.96
0-1, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 3-1, AU

Arsenal V Aston VIlla £21.88
0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, 3-3

Norwich V Everton £38.80
0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0

QPR v Man Utd £24.12
1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-2

Reading v Wigan £25.32
2-0, 2-3, 3-0, 3-2, 3-3, AU

WBA V Sunderland £44.36
0-1, 0-2, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, AU

Sun:

Man City V Chelsea £40.36
0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, AU

Newcastle V Southamption £26.12
0-3, 1-3, 2-3, 3-0, 3-2, 3-3, AU

Mon:

West Ham V Tottenham £35.16
1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2, AU

Total Staked: £300.08

 

[Pete89]

£200 returned for saturday. 100 still on in stakes so a break even day today.

 

[Pete89]

one win on Sunday last week for a loss of 8p

 

[ONEDUNME]

one win on Sunday last week for a loss of 8p

I knew it wouldn't last.