Haven't had many fancies this week as it's just too hard, especially with the draw bias flip-flopping on a daily basis thanks to them over-watering one side to try and even things out, only resulting in them creating a bias on the other side
Today looks just as tough as the previous 4 days, actually it looks nigh on impossible, so kudos to anyone who finds a winner or two today.
4.20 - COMICAS (ew)
40/1
First thing I noticed about this race is the lack of early pace, which is most unusual for a Group 1 sprint. Quite a few of the horses prominent in the betting are best at coming off a strong pace (MAGICAL MEMORY, LIBRASA BREEZE, THE TIN MAN) and the fav LIMATO has to prove his well-being after a dreadful run in Meydan last time (connections blamed the ground).
Worth going for a big priced one here methinks.
COMICAS was campaigned solely at 7f until his last 4 races when he's been dropped back to 6f. He's improved around a stone for this trip change, with 3 fine runs in Meydan (including a 50/1 2nd in Group 1 company), before a decent 3rd at York on this season's reappearance. The ground was probably a bit soft that day, he was badly drawn and also did best of the early pacers, so a very decent return.
He can hang to his right so being drawn far side is a plus and if he can grab the lead and the rail I reckon he can go well for a long way and looks well worth an each-way bet at 40's. Bet365 go 1/4 odds and 4 places (10/1 a place), SkyBet go 1/5 but 5 places (8/1 a place), or Betfair go 46.0 win, 7.2 four places and 5.0 five places.
I'm also having smaller bets on fellow outsiders
ACLAIM (33/1) and
DANCING STAR (28/1) and had better do small fc's and tricast's with the 3 in case a miracle happens
*just seen Samoan has gone for ACLAIM and WINDFAST, I did have
WINDFAST marked off as a possible longshot so will add that one to the fc's and tricast's