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Strictly Come Dancing 2012

The money was spot on as Denise scores 35. Dani and Kimberley score 33, Michael scores 31 and Louis scores 29. Richard was last with 17.

Apparently, Colin and Richard in the bottom two but it's Colin who goes.
 
Sorry Colin went-it really should have been Richard. At least this is one family show devoid of the injurious influences prevalent in so much of today's society.
 
Odds as to who will get the highest score in Week 6 (from William Hill) & the dances:

5/6 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (waltz)
11/4 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (paso doble)
3/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (Viennese waltz)
8/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (tango)
16/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (foxtrot)
20/1 Victoria Pendleton & Brendan Cole (quickstep)
50/1 Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe (salsa)
50/1 Richard Arnold & Erin Boag (Charleston)
66/1 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (foxtrot)
100/1 Fern Britton & Artem Chigvintsev (salsa)

Odds as to who will get the lowest score in Week 6 (from William Hill):

9/4 Fern Britton & Artem Chigvintsev (salsa)
9/4 Richard Arnold & Erin Boag (Charleston)
3/1 Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe (salsa)
7/2 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (foxtrot)
12/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (foxtrot)
12/1 Victoria Pendleton & Brendan Cole (quickstep)
40/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (tango)
66/1 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (paso doble)
66/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (Viennese waltz)
100/1 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (waltz)

The songs they'll be dancing to: http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showpost.php?p=62203704&postcount=78

Fifth elimination odds (from William Hill):

Richard Arnold 2/1
Fern Britton 5/2
Victoria Pendleton 5/1
Nicky Byrne 6/1
Michael Vaughan 7/1
Lisa Riley 14/1
Dani Harmer 16/1
Kimberley Walsh 40/1
Denise van Outen 66/1
Louis Smith 80/1

To be in the bottom two (from William Hill):

Richard Arnold 5/6
Fern Britton 5/4
Victoria Pendleton 2/1
Nicky Byrne 9/4
Michael Vaughan 5/2
Lisa Riley 5/1
Dani Harmer 6/1
Kimberley Walsh 12/1
Denise van Outen 20/1
Louis Smith 25/1

============

Will it be three blokes on the trot to go? Well if Fern's popularity upholds which I'd imagine has to be down to the traditional housewives' vote in keeping her in then it might very well be.

Richard's days are numbered but who knows? With two salsas and two foxtrots, something has to give and Lisa or Nicky could be the surprise by being in the bottom two.

Kimberley's 'value' I suppose to top score this week but Louis is probably more likely to do so. They can't have Denise top score every week, can they!?

Lowest score? I dunno.
 
Though I'm rooting for Louis Smith and still think he can win this competition I take nothing away from James Jordan and Denise Van Outen who have proved to be worthy contenders and have once again ended up as top of the leader board.
 
Yep, Denise top scores yet again this time with 36. Dani and Kimberley with 34, Louis with 33. Lowest scores: Michael 26, Fern 27 and Richard 29.

It's Fern and Kimberley (!?) in the bottom two but it's Fern out.
 
Odds as to who will get the highest score in Week 7 (from William Hill) & the dances:

6/4 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (American smooth)
9/4 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (Charleston)
9/2 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (samba)
6/1 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (jive)
10/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (quickstep)
14/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (samba)
25/1 Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe (American smooth)
33/1 Victoria Pendleton & Brendan Cole (paso doble)
100/1 Richard Arnold & Erin Boag (salsa)

Odds as to who will get the lowest score in Week 7 (from William Hill):

5/6 Richard Arnold & Erin Boag (salsa)
9/4 Victoria Pendleton & Brendan Cole (paso doble)
7/1 Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe (American smooth)
10/1 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (jive)
12/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (quickstep)
12/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (samba)
33/1 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (American smooth)
50/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (samba)
66/1 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (Charleston)

The songs they'll be dancing to are in the spoiler: http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showthread.php?t=1757467&page=6

Sixth elimination odds (from William Hill):

Richard Arnold 8/11
Michael Vaughan 7/2
Victoria Pendleton 5/1
Nicky Byrne 8/1
Dani Harmer 14/1
Lisa Riley 20/1
Kimberley Walsh 33/1
Denise van Outen 50/1
Louis Smith 66/1

To be in the bottom two (from William Hill):

Richard Arnold 1/2
Victoria Pendleton 6/4
Michael Vaughan 13/8
Dani Harmer 3/1
Nicky Byrne 4/1
Lisa Riley 7/1
Denise van Outen 8/1
Kimberley Walsh 8/1
Louis Smith 12/1

============

Victoria's using a bike, Louis is doing some gymnastics (which old Len absolutely hates). Snippy comments for everyone mostly apart from Nicky who has been bet down to 6/1 to top score because he looks good in this week's training video.

I don't think Denise will top-score yet again as she's doing the Charleston but the judges may have other ideas.

I have no idea with the four markets but something odd might happen tonight but with two sambas and two American smooths, my informal rule that 'doing the same dance means trouble' is that one of Louis/Michael and KImberley/Lisa are likely in trouble.

Today's Bettingzone Market News:

1220: William Hill will be watching Strictly Come Dancing with some trepidation following a monster £10,000 bet placed on Louis Smith earlier this week.

As a result, Hills have cut his price from 10/11 to 8/11 and he is the clear favourite ahead of Denise at 5/2 and Kimberley, who is 6/1.

"The odds suggest that only three contestants can win this and we will be hoping that Louis slips up," said William Hill spokesman Rupert Adams.
 
Denise scores 39 (only Craig gave her a 9!). Dani 36, Michael 35, Kimberley 34, Lisa 32, Louis and Nicky both get a 30 with Richard and Victoria both scoring 24.

Nicky and Richard are in the bottom two with Richard out.
 
stereoman said:
Denise scores 39 (only Craig gave her a 9!). Dani 36, Michael 35, Kimberley 34, Lisa 32, Louis and Nicky both get a 30 with Richard and Victoria both scoring 24.

Nicky and Richard are in the bottom two with Richard out.
Click to expand...
Richard was poor and deserved to go. James and Denise have again set the standard tonight and may be running away with it,unless Louis can get a decent choreographer to maximise his talents. Head judge Len can be brought round as the same thing happened last year with him finding fault with Harry Judd:Len likes to be listened to and his advice acted upon.
 
To win outright (odds from William Hill):

Louis Smith 'evens'
Denise van Outen 13/8
Kimberley Walsh 7/1
Dani Harmer 12/1
Lisa Riley 14/1
Michael Vaughan 28/1
Nicky Byrne 40/1
Victoria Pendleton 50/1

Top Female (odds from William Hill):

Denise van Outen 8/13
Kimberley Walsh 3/1
Dani Harmer 6/1
Lisa Riley 13/2
Victoria Pendleton 25/1

Top Male (odds from WIlliam Hill):

Louis Smith 1/12
Michael Vaughan 7/1
Nicky Byrne 14/1

Odds as to who will get the highest score in Week 8 (from William Hill) & the dances:

8/11 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (American smooth)
3/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (samba)
9/2 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (paso doble)
6/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (tango)
14/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (rumba)
25/1 Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe (Argentine tango)
33/1 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (Charleston)
66/1 Victoria Pendleton & Brendan Cole (salsa)

Odds as to who will get the lowest score in Week 8 (from William Hill):

1/2 Victoria Pendleton & Brendan Cole (salsa)
7/2 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (Charleston)
5/1 Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe (Argentine tango)
8/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (rumba)
20/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (tango)
20/1 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (paso doble)
28/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (samba)
100/1 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (American smooth)

The songs they'll be dancing to are in the spoiler:: http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showthread.php?t=1760220&page=12

Seventh elimination odds (from William Hill):

Victoria Pendleton 11/10
Nicky Byrne 10/3
Michael Vaughan 7/2
Lisa Riley 9/1
Dani Harmer 12/1
Kimberley Walsh 16/1
Denise van Outen 50/1
Louis Smith 50/1

To be in the bottom two (from William Hill):

Victoria Pendleton 4/7
Michael Vaughan 6/4
Nicky Byrne 13/8
Dani Harmer 7/2
Kimberley Walsh 7/2
Lisa Riley 7/2
Denise van Outen 10/1
Louis Smith 14/1

=============

Denise looks likely to top score yet again (she could do the 'Gangnam Style' dance and get at least 8s) but Dani being second favourite is kind of interesting. Victoria looks very likely to be the lowest scorer but Nicky's doing the Charleston.

It should be a female gone and Victoria out tonight but y'never know. The prices are a bit too skinny this week for my liking.

I'm tentative about Louis's chances to win it all but he must have a fanbase. Denise is the only viable alternative but does she have enough of a fanbase!? The 8/13 for her to be 'Top Female' isn't the worst bet in the world but the public vote can be a funny one.

Any other outcome other than a Denise or a Louis win would be absurd.
 
Denise scores 37 with Dani and Nicky hot on her heels with 36. Victoria scores 21.

It's Michael and Victoria in the bottom two with Victoria out.
 
stereoman said:
Denise scores 37 with Dani and Nicky hot on her heels with 36. Victoria scores 21.

It's Michael and Victoria in the bottom two with Victoria out.
Click to expand...
Not much of a surprise there. Sorry for Brendan who hasn't had a decent partner for years now. It looks like Denise van Outen is running away with this competition,with Louis and Kimberley favourites to join her in the final three.
 
To win outright (odds from William Hill):

Denise van Outen 'evens'
Louis Smith 13/8
Kimberley Walsh 9/1
Dani Harmer 10/1
Lisa Riley 14/1
Nicky Byrne 28/1
Michael Vaughan 40/1

Top Female (odds from William Hill):

Denise van Outen 4/11
Kimberley Walsh 11/2
Dani Harmer 6/1
Lisa Riley 8/1

Top Male (odds from WIlliam Hill):

Louis Smith 1/10
Nicky Byrne 8/1
Michael Vaughan 9/1

Odds as to who will get the highest score in Week 9 (from William Hill) & the dances:

10/11 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (salsa)
9/4 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (Viennese waltz)
9/2 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (Charleston)
7/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (jive)
12/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (quickstep)
16/1 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (Argentine tango)
66/1 Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe (samba)

Odds as to who will get the lowest score in Week 9 (from William Hill):

4/7 Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe (samba)
3/1 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (Viennese waltz)
4/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (quickstep)
12/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (jive)
12/1 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (Charleston)
25/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (Viennese waltz)
66/1 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (salsa)

The songs they'll be dancing to are in the spoiler: http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showthread.php?t=1763525&page=6

Eighth elimination odds (from William Hill):

Michael Vaughan 10/11
Nicky Byrne 7/2
Kimberley Walsh 5/1
Lisa Riley 7/1
Dani Harmer 9/1
Louis Smith 20/1
Denise van Outen 40/1

To be in the bottom two (from William Hill):

Michael Vaughan 1/2
Nicky Byrne 6/4
Lisa Riley 13/8
Kimberley Walsh 7/4
Dani Harmer 7/2
Louis Smith 6/1
Denise van Outen 12/1

=============

I don't think it's quite as easy as the odds suggest as Dani could spoil Denise's consistent top-scoring and the judges may be lenient on Michael but the margin for error is so incredibly slim.

It'll probably be 'business as usual' though. Michael vs. Lisa/Nicky with Michael gone looks most probable.
 
Knocking him down before bigging him up, they give Louis 37. Dani and Kimberley score 34 whilst Denise scores only 32. Michael scores the lowest with 24.

It's Nicky and Michael in the bottom two with Michael out.
 
It's an open contest this year,with Denise Van Outen getting the head start,though encumbered strangely with professional dancer's James Jordan's nerves this week. They have left the door open for Louis Smith who will have to maintain consistency for three more weeks to have a chance of snatching the title. Pasha and Kimberley are waiting in the wings should either of the two aforementioned couples slip up.
 
To win outright (odds from William Hill):

Louis Smith 10/11
Denise van Outen 7/4
Dani Harmer 7/1
Kimberley Walsh 12/1
Lisa Riley 14/1
Nicky Byrne 33/1

Top Female (odds from William Hill):

Denise van Outen 8/15
Dani Harmer 7/2
Kimberley Walsh 6/1
Lisa Riley 7/1

Top Male (odds from William Hill):

Louis Smith 1/33
Nicky Byrne 10/1

Odds as to who will get the highest score in Week 10 (from William Hill) & the dances:

8/11 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (quickstep & jive)
2/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (quickstep & Charleston)
11/2 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (tango & rumba)
8/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (tango & cha-cha-cha)
25/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (tango & cha-cha-cha)
33/1 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (American smooth & samba)

Odds as to who will get the lowest score in Week 10 (from William Hill):

5/6 Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer (American smooth & samba)
13/8 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (tango & cha-cha-cha)
6/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (tango & cha-cha-cha)
10/1 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (tango & rumba)
14/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (quickstep & Charleston)
20/1 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (quickstep & jive)

Ninth elimination odds (from William Hill):

Nicky Byrne 10/11
Lisa Riley 7/2
Kimberley Walsh 4/1
Dani Harmer 7/1
Denise van Outen 14/1
Louis Smith 20/1

To be in the bottom two (from William Hill):

Nicky Byrne 1/2
Lisa Riley 10/11
Kimberley Walsh 6/5
Dani Harmer 15/8
Denise van Outen 5/2
Louis Smith 7/1

=============

With Lisa and Kimberley both performing the same two dances, it should spell doom for one of them. Nicky looks doomed but a resurgence in his popularity might save him.

It'll probably be Nicky vs. Kimberley/Lisa with Nicky out though.

Denise may return to the top after the judges gave a boost to Louis last week. Nicky should just edge out Lisa as to will finish last tonight in the scores.
 
A surprise as Kimberley gets the first 40 of the series with Dani getting 38, Louis 37, Denise 35, Lisa 30 and Nicky 27.

It's Denise vs. Nicky in the bottom two and Nicky is inevitably out.

Denise's fanbase appears to be (as suspected by some but not by me) not particularly big.
 
stereoman said:
A surprise as Kimberley gets the first 40 of the series with Dani getting 38, Louis 37, Denise 35, Lisa 30 and Nicky 27.

It's Denise vs. Nicky in the bottom two and Nicky is inevitably out.

Denise's fanbase appears to be (as suspected by some but not by me) not particularly big.
Click to expand...
I think it was James Jordan's comment last week that the professionals get nervous which turned some people off,along with Denise's wardrobe malfunction this week when people are less tolerant of excuses. It's a very close race now with not so long since that Kimberley and Pasha were in the bottom two,but after tonight they might even be slight favourites.
 
To win outright (odds from William Hill):

Louis Smith 4/6
Denise van Outen 7/2
Kimberley Walsh 11/2
Dani Harmer 7/1
Lisa Riley 20/1

Top Female (odds from William Hill):

Denise van Outen 5/4
Kimberley Walsh 9/4
Dani Harmer 5/2
Lisa Riley 8/1

Odds as to who will get the highest score in Week 11 (from William Hill) & the dances:

'evens' Denise van Outen & James Jordan (tango & rumba)
11/4 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (American smooth & Charleston)
3/1 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (foxtrot & jive)
5/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (American smooth & Argentine tango)
20/1 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (American smooth & salsa)

Odds as to who will get the lowest score in Week 11 (from William Hill):

1/5 Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor (American smooth & salsa)
6/1 Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone (American smooth & Argentine tango)
8/1 Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev (American smooth & Charleston)
12/1 Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace (foxtrot & jive)
20/1 Denise van Outen & James Jordan (tango & rumba)

Tenth elimination odds (from William Hill):

Lisa Riley 4/6
Dani Harmer 11/4
Kimberley Walsh 5/1
Denise van Outen 8/1
Louis Smith 25/1

To be in the bottom two (from William Hill):

Lisa Riley 3/10
Dani Harmer 'evens'
Kimberley Walsh 'evens'
Denise van Outen 7/4
Louis Smith 5/1

Denise may bounce back to top the leaderboard. Lisa should be bottom.

It's easy or tricky depending on your thinking. I think it'll be Dani vs. Lisa with Lisa gone but not with any confidence.
 
A bit mad over on Digital Spy and Twitter so the old-fashioned method of having to watch it on Sunday night & pretend it's live is to know that it was Denise vs. Lisa, and that Lisa is out.

Kimberley topped the leaderboard followed by Denise, Dani, Louis and in last place, Lisa.

Denise barring some new found popularity CANNOT win this. How popular is Dani? Enough to usurp Kimberley and Louis!?
 
To win outright (odds from William Hill):

Louis Smith 4/7
Kimberley Walsh 15/8
Dani Harmer 12/1
Denise van Outen 14/1

Top Female (odds from William Hill):

Kimberley Walsh 2/7
Dani Harmer 9/2
Denise van Outen 5/1

Gender of winner: Male 8/15, Female 11/8

Eleventh elimination odds (from William Hill):

Denise van Outen 4/5
Dani Harmer 13/8
Kimberley Walsh 6/1
Louis Smith 16/1

Kimberley Walsh has had a helluva push in the last two weeks but will it be enough to usurp the momentum for Louis Smith!?
She'd be 'value' if there wasn't such a determined gamble on Louis to win.

Denise van Outen has been nobbled good and proper by both the judges and the media as few people seem to be voting for her so she seems destined to finish fourth.

Dani Harmer's done well to last this far but I can't quite gauge how popular she is.

WHO WILL WIN!? Even though Denise has top-scored most weeks, she has been nobbled. Kimberley has had two good weeks but it probably just won't be enough and Dani's there or thereabouts but might just fall at the proverbial last hurdle so it appears Louis Smith won't be denied.

Predicted winning order: 1. Louis, 2. Kimberley, 3. Dani and 4. Denise.
 
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