Tuesday 16th January
3.05 Wolverhampton - Cobh Harbour 12/1 (365,SkyBet) - Dakota Power 9/1 (365)
Going to side with a couple in this one , first one is handicap debutant COBH HARBOUR who looks reasonably treated on what hes achieved thus far , and seems to be getting with each run so im hoping he can finally get his head in front here , having two thirds and a second from his three runs to date. Trainer doesnt too bad here and jockey Shane Kelly here for just this one ride , has ridden him the last twice coming third and then second last time out , and he has a 17% strike rate over the last couple of weeks. Should be in the mix and can hopefully make his handicap debut a winning one. DAKOTA POWER is the other one i like , has been in decent form lately coming third in his last three races , the last one being over todays CD where he was beaten 1/2 length by the re opposing Pessoa , with Mumayaz second and Swinging Eddie fourth (also re opposing) , but im hopeful that he can turn the form around with the first two home. Yet to win over todays distance but has run well in all three starts over CD , placing in each of them and i think its only a matter of time before he gets his head in front. Run well on most starts here at Wolverhampton with an overall record of one win - four places from six runs. Doesnt look badly drawn and i think he can go well here this afternoon. Roger Teal sends just this one to the course today , and he has a 12.2% strike rate here at Wolverhampton , whilst jockey Aiden Keeley also here for just this one ride , rides the horse for the first time , and his 3lb claim will come in handy. Has a 31% strike rate over the last two weeks , and a 50% strike rate when coming here this term along with a profit of +£10.00.
4.10 Wolverhampton - Storm Valley 5/1 (SkyBet)
STORM VALLEY catches my eye in this , although there a few others who look as though they could go close in all honesty , made a pleasing debut for her new stable last time out when a 3/4 length third to Have You A Minute over todays CD. That was also her first run after a break so hopefully she'll come on for that and go a couple of places better here. Comes here on the same mark as last time , and if in the same sort of mood as last time then that should see her bang there i think. Matt Crawley sends just this one to the meeting , and he has a 29% strike rate here at Wolverhampton whilst Rossa Ryan in the saddle for the first time , in decent form of late and imho anything he rides is usually worth a second glance. Has an 18% strike rate here overall.
3.55 Newcastle - Bobby Shaftoe 13/2 (365)
The fact that Jim Goldie sends just BOBBY SHAFTOE on on the long schlepp from his Scots base is good enough for me to get involved here , does well round here with four wins and two places from thirteen starts overall , whilst he has three wins from six runs over this afternoons CD which makes me think he can give a good account. Ran poorly the last three times but before that put in some solid efforts - 3,2,5,2,4,1 with the last three of those being here at Newcastle. Class , draw all look okay to me , and i can see a decent run being on the cards (hopefully he said). As i said the trainer sends just this one to the meeting today , and he has been amongst the winners lately with an 18% strike rate over the past three weeks , and he has a 16.7% strike rate when sending his runners here this season. Mark Winn in the hot seat on his only ride of the day and when he and Goldie have teamed up over the last three weeks they come away with a 20% strike rate. Should be in the mix of things,
5.00 Newcastle - Swiss Ace 9/2 (365)
SWISS ACE is my selection in this race , comes into it on the back of a length win over 7f here at Newcastle last time , although it was only a length it was a decisive looking win to my eyes and if in the same sort of form this evening then he should be making his presence felt i think. Does well here at Newcastle with three wins and two places from his nine runs , placed on only start over todays CD , yet to win over todays distance in four attempts but im hopeful of a big run and hopefully todays the day he gets his first win over a mile. Ruth Carr has just this one representing her here today , and shes been in good form with a 38% strike rate over the last 21 days , and this season she has a 50% strike rate when sending her runners here along with a profit of +£8.00. Joanna Mason also arrives in tip top form with a 28% strike rate in the last three weeks , rode the horse to that last time out win making her record on the horse two wins and a place from seven rides. When the trainer and jockey have partnered over the last three weeks they have a 100% strike rate.
7.30 Newcastle - Phoenix Star 7/1 (SkyBet)
I like the look of PHOENIX STAR for this , has been in fair form overall although threw in a stinker last time when only managing a 14 length 9th of 12 here over 6f , think we can forgive that run as for he me seems to more effective over todays 5f , and over todays CD hes had fourteen runs resulting in three wins and six places so obviously knows his way round here. Has won off higher than todays mark which is another reason i think he could go well , along with the fact he looks well drawn to me. Jessica Macey has just this one here tonight , and shes been amongst the winners with a 20% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , and the in form Ethan Jones in the saddle for the first time , proving to be good value for his 7lb claim , with a 30% strike rate over the last month. Should be there or thereabouts come the business end of things.