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Trying Something Out ..

Tuesday 20th September

**Bets
4.45 Warwick - Troed Y Melin 14/1

Bets 11 ... Won 0 .. SP/EP -1.00

Fancies
2.45 Lingfield - Swiss Pride 9/1 (BetFred,Hills,Lads, Coral)
Topweight SWISS PRIDE comes into this on the back of a nice pipe opener (5th) last time out and i think he should be spot on for this now after blowing the cobwebs away. And i think it can only help his chances by running here at Leafy where he seems to do so well , having won 6 times and placed 4 from 17 runs over todays CD (in total he has 11 wins/places from 19 outings at the course). Draw doesnt look the handiest i have to admit but he knows his way round here like the back of his hoof so hopefully that shouldnt be too troublesome. Trainer Roger Teal sends just this one out today and hes always seemed to know the time of day to me , so he must think he's got a chance and he's been amongst the winners of late with a 16.1% strike rate over the past month. Harry Davies takes a valuable 3lb of his back which can only aid the horses cause and he has a win from his two rides on the horse to date. Been riding okay of late showing a 23% strike rate in the past fortnight and seems to do fairly well at Lingfield , this season he has a 19.2% SR at the course. Open looking handicap in all honesty but i'm hoping that Swiss Pride can put his useful course form to good use at a decent price.

2.52 Beverley - Havana By The Sea 9/4 (Generally)
Quite a difficult race to weigh up and probably shouldnt be having a go at it , but HAVANA BY THE SEA does catch my eye and i thought the opening 9/4 was a decent enough price to have a pop. In her last couple of races she looks to have come on alot from her debut run , and it might have helped that Paul Hanagan partnered her in those two outings. Was a solid 5th of 19 on penultimate run , beaten 2 3/4 lengths in a decent looking class 2 sales race at the Ebor Meeting at York. Then last time out beat Oahu by a length over todays CD , shes the only CD winner in the race , should have plenty more improvement in her i think so a good showing wouldnt come as a surprise. As i said Paul Hanagan in the plate and from his two rides he has a 5th and a win , and he has a 17% strike rate when riding at Beverley since 2010. The trainer and jockey have teamed up once in the past three weeks resulting in a win. Trainer Craig Lidster seems to have his string in fine order at the moment showing a 31% strike rate over the past 3 weeks and it catches my eye that he sends just this one out today. As i said a difficult race to weight up but i'm more than happy to have Havana By The Sea on side.
 
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Sean said:
Tuesday 20th September

**Bets
4.45 Warwick - Troed Y Melin 14/1 Lost (3rd)

Bets 12 ... Won 0 .. SP/EP -12.00

Fancies
2.45 Lingfield - Swiss Pride 9/1 (BetFred,Hills,Lads, Coral) :hissyfit
Topweight SWISS PRIDE comes into this on the back of a nice pipe opener (5th) last time out and i think he should be spot on for this now after blowing the cobwebs away. And i think it can only help his chances by running here at Leafy where he seems to do so well , having won 6 times and placed 4 from 17 runs over todays CD (in total he has 11 wins/places from 19 outings at the course). Draw doesnt look the handiest i have to admit but he knows his way round here like the back of his hoof so hopefully that shouldnt be too troublesome. Trainer Roger Teal sends just this one out today and hes always seemed to know the time of day to me , so he must think he's got a chance and he's been amongst the winners of late with a 16.1% strike rate over the past month. Harry Davies takes a valuable 3lb of his back which can only aid the horses cause and he has a win from his two rides on the horse to date. Been riding okay of late showing a 23% strike rate in the past fortnight and seems to do fairly well at Lingfield , this season he has a 19.2% SR at the course. Open looking handicap in all honesty but i'm hoping that Swiss Pride can put his useful course form to good use at a decent price.

2.52 Beverley - Havana By The Sea 9/4 (Generally) Non Runner
Quite a difficult race to weigh up and probably shouldnt be having a go at it , but HAVANA BY THE SEA does catch my eye and i thought the opening 9/4 was a decent enough price to have a pop. In her last couple of races she looks to have come on alot from her debut run , and it might have helped that Paul Hanagan partnered her in those two outings. Was a solid 5th of 19 on penultimate run , beaten 2 3/4 lengths in a decent looking class 2 sales race at the Ebor Meeting at York. Then last time out beat Oahu by a length over todays CD , shes the only CD winner in the race , should have plenty more improvement in her i think so a good showing wouldnt come as a surprise. As i said Paul Hanagan in the plate and from his two rides he has a 5th and a win , and he has a 17% strike rate when riding at Beverley since 2010. The trainer and jockey have teamed up once in the past three weeks resulting in a win. Trainer Craig Lidster seems to have his string in fine order at the moment showing a 31% strike rate over the past 3 weeks and it catches my eye that he sends just this one out today. As i said a difficult race to weight up but i'm more than happy to have Havana By The Sea on side.
Click to expand...
 
The Fancies Recap ..

2/9 .. Aljaryaal 12/1 Unplaced
2/9 .. Blame It On Sally 8/1 :thumb 1st 7/2
4/9 .. Pink Crystal 3/1 Unplaced
5/9 .. Phoenix Star 5/1 Lost (2nd 10/3)
5/9 .. Nibras Again 6/1 Unplaced
7/9 .. Monhammer 7/1 Non Runner
7/9 .. Temple Bruer 12/1 :thumb 1st 9/1
7/9 .. Sound Of Iona 11/2 Unplaced
13/9 .. Russco 11/1 Unplaced
13/9 .. Fox Hill 8/1 Unplaced
13/9 .. It Just Takes Time 6/1 :thumb 1st 11/4 (20p Rule 4 on EP)
18/9 .. Shesadabber 11/2 Unplaced
20/9 .. Swiss Pride 9/1 Unplaced
20/9 .. Havana By The Sea 9/4 Non Runner

Bets 12 .. Won 3
EP +15.80
SP +6.25
 
Wednesday 21st September

**Bets
5.20 Goodwood - Dream Composer 8/1

Bets 12 ... Won 0 ... EP/SP -12.00


No fancies today
 
Thursday 22nd September

**Bets
3.20 Perth - Wye Aye 4/1
3.55 Perth - Nayati 16/1

Bets 13 .. Won 0 .. EP/SP -13.00


No fancies
 
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Friday 23rd September

2.30 Worcester - Elios D'Or 9/4
5.20 Newmarket - Turntable 14/1

Bets 15 .. Won 1 .. EP +2.00 / SP +2.00


No fancies today
 
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Great pick Sean and well done Samoan for getting on:beer
 
Predictably, first time I haven't backed any of them LOL.

Well done mate
 
Saturday 24th September

**Bets
2.53 Market Rasen - Eightytwo Team 20/1
3.30 Market Rasen - One True King 11/4
3.30 Market Rasen - Dead Right 9/2

Bets 17 .. Won 3 .. EP +18.25 / SP +14.88


Fancies
3.25 Chester - Call My Bluff 7/1 (365)
Like the look of CALL MY BLUFF in this , was a sound enough third at Newmarket last time out and has run well both times he's come to Chester , winning and placing in his two runs here , the place was over CD. Has run well in 3 of his 4 outings this term and i can see him going well again today i think. Has never won a class 2 but has placed in all his three races in them , which boosts my confidence and i think the draw in stall 3 wont hurt his chances as long as he gets away well , although over 2 miles it obviously aint as important as over the shorter distances here. Trainer sends just this one out today and he has a 33% strike rate in the past 14 days , whilst since 2010 he has a 50% strike rate here at Chester. Jockey JF Egan has a place from his two rides aboard the horse and has an 11% strike rate here at Chester. A few look to hold chances in this but i think Call My Bluff can go close here , and at what i'd consider a decent price as i was expecting him to open shorter than the 7/1 on offer.

7.31 Chelmsford - Sir Rodneyredblood 8/1 (365)
SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD comes into this on the back of a poor run last time at Yarmouth , coming 7th to the re opposing Amasova. But i'm hopeful that a better showing is on the cards now that he's back at a track that he acts on , over todays CD he was 2 places and 2 wins from his 5 runs , and at Chelmsford as a whole he has run 15 times resulting in 4 wins and 5 places so seems to like it round here. Another reason i think he could go well is the fact that they've re applied the cheekpieces which they left off on his previous outing. Trainer JR Jenkins sends just this one out today and whilst he hasnt been in the best of form the fact that he's secured the services of the inform 7lb claimer Taylor Fisher to ride for the first time caught my eye , i rate this jock and the 29% strike rate over the past fortnight shows why. If on song he should be in the shake up and worth a go at the price.

 
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