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US racing

12.15 Fonner Park - ELUSIVE BLUEBOY - 7f is pushing his stamina limits, but not sure he should be 16's this field.
 
SAMOAN said:
12.15 Fonner Park - ELUSIVE BLUEBOY - 7f is pushing his stamina limits, but not sure he should be 16's this field.
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On the rail here has been a massive advantage over the last couple of days, especially when in front, anything trying to challenge wide just flattens out. The 2 winners that have managed to come from behind tonight did so by hugging the inner rail as they turned for home. The 1 horse (GIANT GAMBLE) isn't much of a price at 2.26 but looks sure to lead and will be hard to beat if he gets the extra furlong. Back to lay for me.
 
SAMOAN said:
12.15 Fonner Park - ELUSIVE BLUEBOY - 7f is pushing his stamina limits, but not sure he should be 16's this field.
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Has been fluctuating a bit on the exchanges as has traded anywhere between 10 and 40.
 
Fav traded at 1.5 but didn't quite get home, another winner for Samoan....hit 70.0 in-running to pennies. Surprisingly I managed to get on at 21.0 on the far turn when he was looking the only danger in 2nd.
 
Nothing in the next, but going with EMPIRICAL DATA in the last at 8's. Should be able to lay handy and don't see much between this one and Shepherds Pride, who is much shorter.
 
Changed my mind and went with one in the 12:42. CLASSY AND FAST is not a confident pick, but may just try to make all at 10's.
 
SAMOAN said:
Changed my mind and went with one in the 12:42. CLASSY AND FAST is not a confident pick, but may just try to make all at 10's.
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Hard to predict what's gonna lead here but yours does look a spot of value
 
Crazy race that, the fav did incredibly well to win widest of all after looking beaten (traded at 230.0 for pennies). I managed to lay the other 2 involved in the finish both at 1.12 so a good trading race for me despite laying the winner halfway around.
 
Wednesday 6th May

7.15 Will Rogers Downs - FFORGIE at 20's

7.45 Will Rogers Downs - BIG MACINTOSH at 16's

9.15 Will Rogers Downs - CHICLE SPARKS at 9's

10.45 Will Rogers Downs - EXPRESSLY at 18's
 
No early pace at all in the opener at Tampa (6.00), so whatever leads should theoretically have a big advantage. It's possibly going to be the 4 or the 5 but it's impossible to predict what these jockeys are going to do, so it's a case of waiting for them to jump and backing whatever leads...which usually means taking a lower price than it was at the off.
 
Race 1 didn't go to plan - the 2 horse led but for some reason ran awful, the in-running punters knew too as his price got bigger despite having a clear lead. The 1 horse rallied after looking beaten and hit 28.0 (bfsp 5.6)
 
7.00 Tampa - FIFTH OF NOVEMBER - Shade big for me on stable debut at 20's.
 
10.15 Will Rogers - this looks set up for a pace collapse and I'm on late finishers TEE EM EYE (no6 - 8.2), DANCE OR STROLL (no3 - 65.0) and OBSOLETE (no7 - 50.0). Backing the latter pair at current odds and also trying for monster prices in-r, and backing TEE EM EYE at 15.0 and upwards - he looks particuarly interesting for his new yard as he didn't stay the 1m trip last time. Hopefully he can go a nice big price during the race if he gets outpaced early.
 
TEE EM EYE flew home from way back to grab 2nd (after hitting 180.0 halfway round) but the no2 horse had got first run. Bah.
 
6.17 Tampa - only 5 runners but the top 4 all like to force the pace or race just behind it. The 5 horse (HES SMOKIN NOW) is the sole closer so might get the perfect pace set up. Currently 12.0 but should trade much higher in-running. Saver on the 1 horse (TWO LAST WORDS) as he is likely to allow the other 3 to cut each others throats. 6.6 but trying for bigger.
 
Seen said:
6.17 Tampa - only 5 runners but the top 4 all like to force the pace or race just behind it. The 5 horse (HES SMOKIN NOW) is the sole closer so might get the perfect pace set up. Currently 12.0 but should trade much higher in-running. Saver on the 1 horse (TWO LAST WORDS) as he is likely to allow the other 3 to cut each others throats. 6.6 but trying for bigger.
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HES SMOKIN NOW ran well to be a strong finishing 3rd after getting well behind, but luckily TWO LAST WORDS managed to win and hit 19.0 in-running (5.8 bfsp).
 
8.13 Gulfstream Park - G Q COVER UP - Better than last 2 runs indicate and makes stable debut tonight at 16's.
 
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