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10/1 or more

Discussion in 'Horse Racing & Greyhound Tips' started by SAMOAN, Jan 30, 2018.

  1. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    11.15 Pau - FUN WORK - Chance, with a clear round at 25's.
    Punter likes this.
  2. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    FUN WORK, backed into 16's and won nicely.

    12.45 Pau - FRIEDRICHSPALAST - Needed his recent comeback run ( 3rd, but well beaten ) and fair form before that, so EW chance at 14's.

    3.07 Pau - THESONGYOUNEED - Lightly raced and probably capable of better at 12's.
  3. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    10.30 Greyville - KEEP ON CRUISIN and SIGMA ALPHA - FAV should win easily and probably should be odds on and not 5/4. Figured both the picks to be 33/1 shots, so small EW's at 50's and 66's respectively.
  4. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    11.05 Greyville - MAGANI - Improved on 2nd start and hopefully will be better again today at 40's.

    11.40 Greyville - SAINT MARCELLA - Fair effort last time ( eased when beaten ) and does not look the strongest maiden ever, so really should go well at 12's. FORT ROYAL can also go well at 16's.
  5. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    1.32 Greyville - AMOR ARDIENTE - Has a decent " pull " with the FAV, and based solely on this should not be 16's.

    2.07 Greyville - TWICE AS SMART - In fair form and off a nice mark, so EW shout at 16's.

    3.40 Kempton - COLONEL CUSTARD - Arrives here in good nick and worth another crack this trip at 10's.

    3.50 Limerick - ANGELS DOWN - Mainly flat pedigree, so doubts over this one's stamina, but the breeding certainly caught the eye and the stable can get one ready at 14's.
  6. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    3.00 Wolverhampton - MYSTIC RIVER - Possible improver at 28's.

    3.30 Leopardstown - FREEDOM TO DREAM - Nice debut and should improve, especially with Derek O'Connor booked at 12's.

    3.45 Limerick - CASTLEHILL BOY - Nicely enough bred and the stable does like a winner at this meeting. Could easily go well at 50's.
  7. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    11.15 Turffontein - BUSH FEVER - Represents a decent trainer, but will need the first time blinkers to take effect at 33's.

    1.00 Turffontein - BOATSWAIN - Comes here in good form, but remains fairly weighted at 10's

    1.35 Turffontein - NICKY NOO - In fair recent form and recent successes have been in decent company. Solid enough last time and 25's looks big to me.
  8. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    1.00 Lingfield - FRANCISCO PIZARRO - Stable gets the odd debut winner and nicely enough bred, so despite it being a tough introduction, happy risking the 100's on offer.

    2.35 Leopardstown - GOODBYE SOMEDAY - Remains quite lightly raced and well worth a crack this trip at 12's.

    2.45 Lingfield - ANGEL ON HIGH - Likely at some point to leave his debut form behind him and hoping that is today at 50's.

    3.40 Leopardstown - SADIES TRIX - Nicely bred newcomer and whilst it looks a tough Bumper, the stable can get one ready at 50's.
  9. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    11.05 Greyville - AMBER FURST - Slow starts becoming a real concern, but not beaten that far recently and has won at the track, so could easily surprise at 33's.

    12.35 Limerick - STUCKER HILL - Tough race for a chase debutante, but was decent over hurdles and bred for fences, so happy with the 28's on offer.

    1.00 Doncaster - MRE MEADER - Decent enough hurdling debut and can improve on that at 10's

    2.35 Greyville - JUDD - Odds on FAV, looks a bit exposed, so going with this nicely bred debutante at 40's.

    3.05 Leopardstown - MILLEN TO ONE - Back to a more suitable trip for handicap debut and has plenty of EW appeal at 18's.
  10. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    1.25 Fairview - SEVILLE - Not beaten far last time ( fifth has won since ) and has generally been consistent. Course winner to boot, so enough going for him at 12's.
  11. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    3.10 Haydock - JUSTFORJAMES - Pretty versatile sort and big chance on best form at 14's.

    3.20 Lingfield - ENZO - Looks a hot race for the grade, but this one holds enough form to go close at 12's.

    3.40 Haydock - JAYAAAH - Fair couple of 2nd's to date and can threaten the previous winners at 10's
  12. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    1.30 Warwick - LIGHTENTERTAINMENT - Similar price to last year when winning this contest and dangerous again at 16's, especially with the blinkers added.

    2.10 Lingfield - AJAX TAVERN - Nicely bred newcomer at 10's.

    3.25 Punchestown - DON'T TELL JACQUI - Home bred, but reasonable pedigree and whilst could be one for the future, don't mind taking the chance today at 66's.

    3.40 Warwick - TIP TOP CAT - From a decent family and represents a leading yard, so can go well on debut at 16's.
  13. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    11.20 Scottsville - ARMENGAC - Not beaten far last time when forced to race wide and this was his best effort in 4 races to date. Bit to find overall, but not sure he should be 33's.

    11.55 Scottsville - ROOM AT THE TOP - Prime draw for a frontrunner and has won with cut in the ground. Should be thereabouts at 12's.

    12.30 Musselburgh - SEA ART - Should improve for recent hurdle debut and the stable has won 2 of the last 6 runnings. EW chance at 16's.

    12.30 Scottsville - SUZI WOO - Couple of decent course efforts to her name and arrives here in fair form at 10's.

    12.50 Cheltenham - ANTEROS - Yet to run here over fences, but his course hurdle form reads well. Has run well on soft, so whilst not in the best of form, has enough going for him at 20's.

    2.15 Scottsville - ALL THE WAY UP - Lightly raced and on only his 2nd handicap start today. Good effort last time and can still improve at 10's.

    2.40 Fairyhouse - FORZA MILAN - Hampered and unseated last time, but ran some nice races over here for Jonjo O'Neill and should still be capable of running nice races at 22's.
  14. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    11.20 - Adding SALAH'S GIRL late on as really should not be 80's.
  15. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    3 Notebook horses at the Vaal, 2 of which are on their next start -

    11.10 Vaal - ROYAL TIGER - Looked lost for a long way on debut, but did finish strongly. Did not follow it up on 2nd start ( though not beaten that far ) but willing to give him another chance at 20's.

    12.20 Vaal - UP EARLY - Good debut 3rd and has the potential to improve at 10's.

    2.05 Vaal - VERITAS - Course winner, in fair form before this short break and hopefully comes back refreshed at 10's.

    3.20 Vaal - MISS LEXI - Sixth on handicap debut, but only beaten about 3l. Maiden win came here, has form on the ground and should have improvement still in him at 10's.

    3.30 Lingfield - DEADLY ACCURATE - Recent form of 0060, does not inspire confidence, but looks potentially well handicapped for his new yard at 10's.

    4.00 Chelmsford - ROCKSTAR MAX - Trainer in fair form and makes handicap debut off a nice looking mark. Yesterday's 33's long gone and now 10's.

    4.30 Chelmsford - VALLEY BELLE - One win and four placings here, though overall record poor and comes here not in the best of nick. Down to a nice mark though and step back to 7f looks fine, so EW chance at 12's.

    7.30 Chelmsford - FULL SECRET - Not a bad debut and immediate step up in trip looks fine at 16's.
  16. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    6.45 Southwell - MICROSCOPIC - Drifter on surface / stable debut, but should not be 20's on form.

    7.30 Dundalk - CAPTURED - Quite nicely bred debutante and the early 100's looks big, especially from a good draw.
  17. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    7.30 - Adding YULON TRANSCEND and ABBY'S MAGIC at 14's and 20's.
  18. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    11.25 Turffontein - SASSKIA - Made steady progress last time on first go at this trip and hopefully will be ridden a bit closer to the pace this time at 33's.

    12.35 Turffontein - EMILY HOBHOUSE - Decent course record and whilst needs to improve on most recent form is a price at 10's to do so.

    1.50 Turffontein - WESTLIFE - Stable 2nd string, but decent effort last time ( form has been franked ) Bit to find with the 2nd FAV, but not enough to justify the 25's on offer.

    3.35 Turffontein - DUKE OF SWING - Dropped in the ratings for last 2 runs and chance at 25's on a number of his efforts prior to those.
  19. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    5.40 Kempton - THE COLA KID - Nicely enough related on debut at 20's.

    6.10 Kempton - DARTINGTON - 14's into 10's for today's debut effort and bred to make an impact.

    7.10 Kempton - MY BROTHER MIKE - Goes well fresh and should get the strong pace he needs today at 33's.

    7.40 Kempton - SEAQUINN - 21 raced maiden who is unproven over the trip. Shows how moderate the race is, that this one is 10's
  20. SAMOAN

    SAMOAN Moderator

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    10.25 Scottsville - MY BLUE SAFARI - Only ever hinted at ability, but bred to do better and makes stable debut today at 80's.

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