Sean
Well-Known Member
Thursday 8th June
4.20 Uttoxeter - Halligator 7/2 (365,Coral,Hills,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
Like the look of HALLIGATOR in this one , consistent sort whose never been out of the first four home in his five races to date , and i think the fourth last time out was probably due to the fact that he was stepped up to 3 miles , back down to 2m4f today i think he'll appreciate that and we'll hopefully see a better showing. Is one from one here at Uttoxeter , over 2 miles , that came on his first start for trainer Kim Bailey back in June 2022 , and though he has never won / run at this distance before he did come second over 2m41/2f on his penultimate run at Huntingdon so i think he'll be okay. Kim Bailey sends just this one to the meeting and given his current form i think that thats worth noting , has a 75% strike rate over the last two weeks , whilst jockey David Bass gets the steering job and he too is here for just this one ride , has ridden the horse twice to date resulting in a place , he too has been firing in the winners with a 60% strike rate over the past fortnight , and over the last three weeks the pair have notched up a 57% strike rate when teaming up. Should go well and be making his presence felt.
8.50 Chelmsford - Topo Chico 10/1 (365)
Probably doesnt jump out as the most obvious choice in this but i really like the chances of TOPO CHICO in this Fillies Handicap. A few other come into this looking as though they could win but i think the selection can be forgiven its last run on turf when 14th of 16 at Newmarket , first go on turf this season and was running well before hand on the all weather , - 4,2,2,4 .. has yet to win a race (11 race maiden) but i honestly think that her time is nearer rather than further away , especially if she can pick up where she left off on the artificial surface. From her 9 runs on the AW she has placed 6 times so its rather obvious i think that she prefers it. On her sole run here at Chelmsford she came second , beaten a head and has placed 4 times from 7 outings over the distance. Joseph Parr not in sparkling form at the moment but his last coupla runners have both come second so maybe his lucks about to change. Harry Burns takes 3lb off and is here for just this one ride , has three places from his five rides to date. Bit of a risky one one the face of it , but i think the switch back to the all weather will hopefully bring about a better run and fingers crossed tonights the night she can finally get her head in front at a decent price.
8.10 Yarmouth - Harbanero Star 9/2 (365,Hills,Coral,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
HABANERO STAR catches my eye in this one , comes into the race on the back of a sound enough second here at Yarmouth last time out over 1m 3 1/2f , dropped down to a distance shes won over before (CD) i think she can go one better , especially when you consider she seems to thrive round here with a win from two runs over CD and at the course as a whole she has three wins and five places from twelve runs , that leads me to believe that she likes the sea air here at Yarmouth. Runs off the same mark as she did when winning over CD last year , and has the cheekpieces back on this time around so im expecting another solid run tonight. Gay Kellaway sends just this one to the meeting , and whilst shes not in the best of form lately she has a 13% strike rate overall when sending her runners here. Claimer Luke Catton helps the cause with his 5lb claim , and he too is here for just this one , has ridden the horse once before (last time out) resulting in a second place. Think she can go close at a course she obviously likes.
7.40 Yarmouth - Dance Havana 14/1 (365)
I think DANCE HAVANA can go well here at a tasty price , despite being up against a Mark Prescott hotpot in Blindedbythelights. This is a classic example of how my mind works and how i (sometimes) try and work out what the trainers up to , usually get it wrong but occasionally i get it right and hopefully this is one of those times ! Has run poorly in her two outings this term it has to be said but has only five runs under her saddle so could improve on those yet , won a maiden here last year , her sole win to date , and im thinking that maybe returning to the scene of her sole victory could bring about some improvement. The main thing that caught my eye was the fact that trainer Alice Haynes sends just two the meeting and both are in this race , now on jockey bookings id say that her other runner (Ramz) is probably the main one but im thinking that it isnt and that the second string , the selection , is actually her favoured runner , one from one here at Yarmouth as ive said , never ran over todays distance so that maybe another thing that could bring about some improvement. Jockey Christian Howarth is good value for his 5lb claim i think , and hes here for just this one , rode the filly to her sole win on his only ride on her to date , as i said already trainer has just the two in this race here today and shes been doing okay lately with a 21% strike rate over the past two weeks. Probably wrong but i think shes worth a pop at the price.
3.00 Hamilton - Shahnaz 9/2 (365,Hills,Coral.SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
SHAHNAZ stands out for me in this one , hasnt really sparkled in her three runs since returning to action but last time outs run was the best of them by far and there was a glimmer of hope that she was on the way back to some sort of form. What catches my eye is the fact that she now has the cheekpieces refitted and she gets in here below her last winning mark which would have to give her a chance i think. Two wins from three runs here at Hamilton and it didnt go un noticed that the first win here came on this very day a year ago , so hopefully lightening can strike twice. Has yet to win over the distance in two attempts but she has won over half a furlong shorter so im not too worried about that to be honest. If at her best i think she'll be a danger to all and can go close. Gemma Tutty has just this at the course , and she has a 50% strike rate when sending her runners here overall , whilst Laura Coughlan takes off a handy 5lb and is also here for the one ride. Has ridden the horse before , winning twice and placing once from seven rides. For me , everything points to a decent run being on the cards.
4.35 Ffos Las - Thundersocksundae 11/2 (365)
Think THUNDERSOCKSUNDAE can go well in this one , coming back from 53 days off but looking through his record he seems to do well in his first run back after a break .. second on debut , 2nd after 50 days off , 2nd after 213 days off , first after 159 days off and third after 111 days off , i cant see any reason why he shouldnt be putting his best hoove forward in this today if im being honest. Was a creditable third when last seen at Huntingdon back in April and holds his form well overall i'd say , more often than not hes on the premises. The fact that he gets in here off a mark 2lb lower than in his last run didnt go un noticed , hasnt won off a mark this high but in three runs he has placed twice off similiar marks so i see no reason why he shouldnt go close here today. Placed on his only run at the course , and has won at the distance. In form trainer Fergal O'Brien sends just this one here , has a 28% strike rate in the last three weeks , and has a 16.4% strike rate when running them here overall. Jockey Jack Hogan takes a valuable 5lb off the horses back and also arrives for just the one ride , has a 29% strike rate over the last coupla weeks and this will be his first ride on the horse. When teaming up with the trainer over the last three weeks they come away with a 25% strike rate. Should be making his presence felt at the business end of things.
4.20 Uttoxeter - Halligator 7/2 (365,Coral,Hills,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
Like the look of HALLIGATOR in this one , consistent sort whose never been out of the first four home in his five races to date , and i think the fourth last time out was probably due to the fact that he was stepped up to 3 miles , back down to 2m4f today i think he'll appreciate that and we'll hopefully see a better showing. Is one from one here at Uttoxeter , over 2 miles , that came on his first start for trainer Kim Bailey back in June 2022 , and though he has never won / run at this distance before he did come second over 2m41/2f on his penultimate run at Huntingdon so i think he'll be okay. Kim Bailey sends just this one to the meeting and given his current form i think that thats worth noting , has a 75% strike rate over the last two weeks , whilst jockey David Bass gets the steering job and he too is here for just this one ride , has ridden the horse twice to date resulting in a place , he too has been firing in the winners with a 60% strike rate over the past fortnight , and over the last three weeks the pair have notched up a 57% strike rate when teaming up. Should go well and be making his presence felt.
8.50 Chelmsford - Topo Chico 10/1 (365)
Probably doesnt jump out as the most obvious choice in this but i really like the chances of TOPO CHICO in this Fillies Handicap. A few other come into this looking as though they could win but i think the selection can be forgiven its last run on turf when 14th of 16 at Newmarket , first go on turf this season and was running well before hand on the all weather , - 4,2,2,4 .. has yet to win a race (11 race maiden) but i honestly think that her time is nearer rather than further away , especially if she can pick up where she left off on the artificial surface. From her 9 runs on the AW she has placed 6 times so its rather obvious i think that she prefers it. On her sole run here at Chelmsford she came second , beaten a head and has placed 4 times from 7 outings over the distance. Joseph Parr not in sparkling form at the moment but his last coupla runners have both come second so maybe his lucks about to change. Harry Burns takes 3lb off and is here for just this one ride , has three places from his five rides to date. Bit of a risky one one the face of it , but i think the switch back to the all weather will hopefully bring about a better run and fingers crossed tonights the night she can finally get her head in front at a decent price.
8.10 Yarmouth - Harbanero Star 9/2 (365,Hills,Coral,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
HABANERO STAR catches my eye in this one , comes into the race on the back of a sound enough second here at Yarmouth last time out over 1m 3 1/2f , dropped down to a distance shes won over before (CD) i think she can go one better , especially when you consider she seems to thrive round here with a win from two runs over CD and at the course as a whole she has three wins and five places from twelve runs , that leads me to believe that she likes the sea air here at Yarmouth. Runs off the same mark as she did when winning over CD last year , and has the cheekpieces back on this time around so im expecting another solid run tonight. Gay Kellaway sends just this one to the meeting , and whilst shes not in the best of form lately she has a 13% strike rate overall when sending her runners here. Claimer Luke Catton helps the cause with his 5lb claim , and he too is here for just this one , has ridden the horse once before (last time out) resulting in a second place. Think she can go close at a course she obviously likes.
7.40 Yarmouth - Dance Havana 14/1 (365)
I think DANCE HAVANA can go well here at a tasty price , despite being up against a Mark Prescott hotpot in Blindedbythelights. This is a classic example of how my mind works and how i (sometimes) try and work out what the trainers up to , usually get it wrong but occasionally i get it right and hopefully this is one of those times ! Has run poorly in her two outings this term it has to be said but has only five runs under her saddle so could improve on those yet , won a maiden here last year , her sole win to date , and im thinking that maybe returning to the scene of her sole victory could bring about some improvement. The main thing that caught my eye was the fact that trainer Alice Haynes sends just two the meeting and both are in this race , now on jockey bookings id say that her other runner (Ramz) is probably the main one but im thinking that it isnt and that the second string , the selection , is actually her favoured runner , one from one here at Yarmouth as ive said , never ran over todays distance so that maybe another thing that could bring about some improvement. Jockey Christian Howarth is good value for his 5lb claim i think , and hes here for just this one , rode the filly to her sole win on his only ride on her to date , as i said already trainer has just the two in this race here today and shes been doing okay lately with a 21% strike rate over the past two weeks. Probably wrong but i think shes worth a pop at the price.
3.00 Hamilton - Shahnaz 9/2 (365,Hills,Coral.SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
SHAHNAZ stands out for me in this one , hasnt really sparkled in her three runs since returning to action but last time outs run was the best of them by far and there was a glimmer of hope that she was on the way back to some sort of form. What catches my eye is the fact that she now has the cheekpieces refitted and she gets in here below her last winning mark which would have to give her a chance i think. Two wins from three runs here at Hamilton and it didnt go un noticed that the first win here came on this very day a year ago , so hopefully lightening can strike twice. Has yet to win over the distance in two attempts but she has won over half a furlong shorter so im not too worried about that to be honest. If at her best i think she'll be a danger to all and can go close. Gemma Tutty has just this at the course , and she has a 50% strike rate when sending her runners here overall , whilst Laura Coughlan takes off a handy 5lb and is also here for the one ride. Has ridden the horse before , winning twice and placing once from seven rides. For me , everything points to a decent run being on the cards.
4.35 Ffos Las - Thundersocksundae 11/2 (365)
Think THUNDERSOCKSUNDAE can go well in this one , coming back from 53 days off but looking through his record he seems to do well in his first run back after a break .. second on debut , 2nd after 50 days off , 2nd after 213 days off , first after 159 days off and third after 111 days off , i cant see any reason why he shouldnt be putting his best hoove forward in this today if im being honest. Was a creditable third when last seen at Huntingdon back in April and holds his form well overall i'd say , more often than not hes on the premises. The fact that he gets in here off a mark 2lb lower than in his last run didnt go un noticed , hasnt won off a mark this high but in three runs he has placed twice off similiar marks so i see no reason why he shouldnt go close here today. Placed on his only run at the course , and has won at the distance. In form trainer Fergal O'Brien sends just this one here , has a 28% strike rate in the last three weeks , and has a 16.4% strike rate when running them here overall. Jockey Jack Hogan takes a valuable 5lb off the horses back and also arrives for just the one ride , has a 29% strike rate over the last coupla weeks and this will be his first ride on the horse. When teaming up with the trainer over the last three weeks they come away with a 25% strike rate. Should be making his presence felt at the business end of things.
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