Seen
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- Aug 9, 2011
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I've been keeping a note of the corners and bookings from each game, quite interesting that both are below what was probably expected pre-tournament.
Teams in green are winners of that game, teams in red indicate a sending off (red card counts as 2).
Only 2 games (of 17) have had more than 12 corners, and 6 of the last 8 have had 9 or less (you can usually back 9 or less corners at around 1.9 - 2.0 on BF on most games) and I've noticed a slow start in most games, quite often getting to 20 mins + before the first corner, so trading opportunity. I've had a fair bit of success so far betting on the corner markets in-running, liquidity is crap but with patience you can get matched at value odds.
It's interesting that winners of the game are actually more likely to lose the corner count (due to the losing team needing to attack more - no game more evident than the Spain v Holland match where Holland scored 5 yet only won one corner), of the 14 winning teams so far only 6 won more corners, 7 won less and there was one draw.
I'm not to keen on the bookings markets as these can be ruined in an instant with a brawl or a couple of bad tackles, but only twice has there been more than 4 cards in the 17 games and you can usually lay 45pts or over (10pts a card) on BF at between 2.2 - 2.6. 25pts and under can be backed between 4.0 and 5.5 depending on teams, yet 7 of the 17 games (41%) have had 20pts or less, so 6/4 would be the true odds - small sample size though, also you would expect more cards as the finals go on with more at stake, so I'd be less confident of this trend continuing.
Teams in green are winners of that game, teams in red indicate a sending off (red card counts as 2).
Only 2 games (of 17) have had more than 12 corners, and 6 of the last 8 have had 9 or less (you can usually back 9 or less corners at around 1.9 - 2.0 on BF on most games) and I've noticed a slow start in most games, quite often getting to 20 mins + before the first corner, so trading opportunity. I've had a fair bit of success so far betting on the corner markets in-running, liquidity is crap but with patience you can get matched at value odds.
It's interesting that winners of the game are actually more likely to lose the corner count (due to the losing team needing to attack more - no game more evident than the Spain v Holland match where Holland scored 5 yet only won one corner), of the 14 winning teams so far only 6 won more corners, 7 won less and there was one draw.
I'm not to keen on the bookings markets as these can be ruined in an instant with a brawl or a couple of bad tackles, but only twice has there been more than 4 cards in the 17 games and you can usually lay 45pts or over (10pts a card) on BF at between 2.2 - 2.6. 25pts and under can be backed between 4.0 and 5.5 depending on teams, yet 7 of the 17 games (41%) have had 20pts or less, so 6/4 would be the true odds - small sample size though, also you would expect more cards as the finals go on with more at stake, so I'd be less confident of this trend continuing.
Fucking hopeless. I know what bet I'll be lumping on when they play Switzerland on the 25th. Oh fuck, I'm away so won't be able to 
