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ODM's Pretty Young Things

Well well well, short prices and a reversed result required but two winners. Has the tide turned? No is the answer but never mind.

505 Ripon Dandy's Max 10pt win 7/2

515 Naas Lil Grey 5pt ew 25/1 4 places
 
2nd and nowhere

755 Kempton Image of the moon 5pt ew 18/1 4 places

810 Ripon Society Red 10pt ew 5/1 3 places
 
I'm liking the chances of Leaper's Wood in the 1245 Redcar. Dropped 3lbs for its last race where it broke badly. Back at 5 furlongs and I disagree with the Sporting Life that it needs more rain to be in with a shout today. Only one run at the track and that was poor but in a higher grade so can be ignored. Best when ridden handy and I'm hoping it will break better today and be up with the leaders and keep plodding on for at least a place. Bit of money for it which, whilst rarely putting me off, is always a confidence booster. Currently 8/1 for 4 places ew which I think is a good bet.

Will probably know my fate early over this trip. If it breaks badly, its chances are likely to be gone.

I also have Dandizette and Hurstwood in my tracker which have both been dropped since their last runs. Can't back em all so I will go with 10pt EW ON Leapers Wood at 8/1 4 places and 5pt ew Dandizette 20/1 4 places. If the latter is a non runner, I'll resort to 5 ew on Hurstwood which I'll back for 4 places but will go with SP if I don't post before hand.
 
315 Redcar. True Mason has been dropped 2lbs since its last run and tackles 7 furlongs for the first time. 5pt ew 17/2 4 places.

345 Redcar Fox Kasper has never delivered on the signs of promise that it showed last year which it is now down 11lb from its initial rating. I like to give 'em a chance to see whether there has been improvement between 3 and 4 and that can often pay off. I'm hoping that this is the case today and we can get at least a place at good odd. 5pt ew 20/1 four places.

I also have Five Diamonds in my tracker from last year. Backed in from evens to 1/2 when it won on its second start but a poor run subsequently and I'm hoping that that has given the handicapper a lower view of her talents than the reality. Always like to take a gamble on the handicapper getting it wrong based on the sparse evidence of just three runs. Looks to be able to go on any ground and will be interesting to see how it goes in it's first handicap run. 5pts ew 10/1 4 places (price drifting).
 
and a couple at kempton
355 School of thought 5pt ew 8/1 3 places

455 Bo Samraan 5pt ew 12/1 - 3 places drifting
 
340 Haydock Hexagon ridden by Jason Watson. 3 Year old, ran green on its first two races and hasn't been out of the frame it its last five runs. Runs in its toughest race so far tomorrow but will be interesting to see how wall it's wintered. 9/1 a big enough price to tempt me into an each way bet.
 
Interesting to see that there seems to be some market support (difficult to judge since the removal of a short-priced runner) for White Volcano in the 500 at Roscommon. I was quite impressed with its chase debut and made a note to look out for it but it's ran a couple of stinkers since including being pulled up LTO.

Fav is likely to go off odds-on but you can get 5/1 with bet365 at 1/5 the odds for three places (as long as it remains a 9 runner race) which I think looks like a shot to nothing. Got to be some value in that bet I reckon. 10pts ew for me.

Otherwise it's currently 10/1
 
led, headed approaching 3rd, prominent, slight mistake 5th, came close with rival briefly 7th, slightly impeded after 8th, led again before 9th, headed before 11th, soon no extra and one pace

That was the White Volcano's run today
 
650 Ayr Leapers Wood has been dropped 6lbs in just two races in which he broke badly in both. If he does it again, I hope they take another three pounds off and I'll keep backing it at big prices until he gets it right. Positives tomorrow, 6f furlongs, ground not a problems, better draw than he's had to contend with in the past, better jockey than he's had in the past everything points to a possibility tomorrow.

Far too many uncertainties for most to take a punt on I know but it can win off this mark Im sure and the fact that it opened up at a general 14/1 and is now 10s doesn't do my optimism any harm.

I have to say I do like the fav Spring Bloom so I have backed it once ew tonight at 11s (four places) and I'll back it again tomorrow ew without the fav if that fav is Spring Bloom.
 
Leapers Wood ended up being a non runner and Spring Bloom failed to live up to my expectations.

One for today

215 Goodwood King's Caper. Raised 3lb for its last run which seems a bit harsh to me but may still be a progressive 3 year old which goes on any ground so the 20/1 today looks like it's worth taking a chance on. Racked up a hat-trick this time last year but hasn't performed at today's trip so there's that to take into account.
 
Shite

From previous post
115 Pontefract. Balancing Act. Been dropped 2lbs for what I thought was a decent enough 4th at Beverley after being drawn wide and not getting the ideal run. Now 5lb lower than the handicapper’s original assessment plus Meghan Nicholls taking another 3lb off again and having the benefit of having ridden it last time out.
I'll definitely be looking for this one next time, especially if they move it up to 6 furlongs. That's two decent enough 4th places in a row without ever being in a decent position to look anything like the winner but was travelling faster than anything at the end of the race. Won't be put up for this run and is on a mark that it can win off when things fall right for it.

They've finally taken my advice and moved it up to 6 furlongs:lol. There has been money for it overnight (general 7/2 from 6/1) and Megan on board again - today could be the day:thumb
 
It's been a while but time to get started again with a fresh bank and keeping track throughout the jumps season - although they won't all be jumps bets.

Bet one - Naizagai WILL win the 120 at Uttoxeter. 20pts 5/4
 
Don't know what happened there. Hung badly half the way around. Weird as it's won at Cartmel which is a left handed track. Hope there's nothing wrong with the beast.
 
Hurrah for the flat season. I'll be taking a keen interest again (at least until I get bored anyway)

A couple run at Redcar today that are already in the tracker

250 Cruising has been backed in from 12/1 to 7/1 currently and London Eye has also been backed from 4/1 into 9/4 fav in the 507 race so I'll start with a couple of 5pt wins on those two today.
 
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