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Scottish Antepost Multiples

ThunderCelt said:
Also, I'm doing something similar with the top four English divisions, the three conference divisions, and a Belgium/Holland/Portugal/Italy combo, although for smaller stakes, so by the end of the season with four going, I'll probably have proved to at least my satisfaction that this either works or doesn't.

My gut feel so far is that it works best where the odds are longer - in my European combo with clear odds on favourites in three leagues even a fourfold comes out about 15/1, which leaves less scope for covering an outsider. Of course, it's all got to be proved as out of all my combos only one round of games has been played (Belgium) so I can't claim to know what I'm talking about.
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I dont know if youre aware TC but its a statistical fact that in The Championship,League 1 and league 2 betting on mid-price

teams over the last 10 *years or so would have yielded 60% profit betting them as singles.


So you are probably correct.

Thats if you meant that betting on bigger price teams.I may have misunderstood.

* I cant rember the exact number of years but its around that number
 
hotspur said:
IF in fact the reason you are successful this season is because the top 2 were value as you say,would it be a good idea to do these bets on a forum thats getting an ever increasing number of visitors?

I hope you dont see that as any criticism.Let me make it clear.Im extremely glad youre doing this and I want you to succeed.I ask the question rhetorically.

If these bets only work because they are value then it would only take a few hundred people at most doing them before the value disappeared.

Or indeed it would take just a few dozen wealthier punters to achieve the same thing.


If Thundercelt succeeds this season then,effectively the information thats on this thread is very useful indeed.
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Maybe, but even if I 'prove' the theory works, there's still a lot of work in refining it. (How many bets to place a week, whether to cover third and fourth favourites, or anything longer than a certain price etc).

Anyway, here's this week's couple:

Motherwell 9/4, Dundee 13/8, Airdrie 11/2, Peterhead 7/4, 151.49/1, £1.31, potential return £199.76, Hills
Motherwell 11/4, Dundee 13/8, East Fife 6/1, Peterhead 13/8, 179.87/1, £1.11, potential return £200.77, Bet365
 
Im starting to catch up with whats happening in the scottish leagues TC and i'll mention the only teams that could conceivably win the scottish leagues imo.......

Championship - Dundee, Queen of The south, Morton and Falkirk (if they buy some strikers
League One - Rangers
Leage Two - Peterhead, albion Rovers, Stirling albion

Thats it imo. I think thats 99% of things covered. I wont even spam my scottish selections this season but you'll find them on google. I honestly think your throwing a lot of money in the bin looking outwith the teams that i mentioned. soz

Alloa to stay up is a good bet imo

Good luck though TC.
 
A couple more. These are last weekend's, but my PC got virused and has been out of action until now :cry

Aberdeen 7/4, Dundee 2/1, Dunfermline 4/1, Peterhead 2/1, 122.75/1, £1.62, potential return £200.48, Corals
Motherwell 7/2, Dundee 15/8, Dunfermline 9/2, Peterhead 7/4, 194.68/1, £1.03, potential return £201.55, Hills
 
A couple more

Inverness 9/2, Dundee 15/8, Brechin 3/1, Peterhead 11/4, 219.38/1, 93p, potential return £205.88, Sky
Aberdeen, 15/8, Queen of the South 5/2, Brechin 11/4, Peterhead 5/2, 89p, 225.81/5, potential return 201.5, BetVic
 
A couple more.

(First of all well done Komp, who I think predicted a few weeks ago, but I can't find where, that East Stirling might not be cannon-fodder this season.)

Inverness 4/1, Falkirk 4/1, Brechin 3/1, Peterhead 9/4, 324/1, 62p, potential return £201.5, Bet365
Inverness 4/1, Falkirk 4/1, Brechin 3/1, Albion 7/2, 449/1, 45p, potential return £202.5, Bet365
 
A couple more

Inverness 10/3, Hamilton, 9/2, Dunfermline, 11/4, Stirling Albion, 6/1, 624.63/1, 32p, potential return £200.20, SkyBet
Inverness 10/3, Hamilton 9/2, Stenhousemuir 9/1, Stirling Albion 6/1, 1,667.33/1, 12p, potential return £200.20, SkyBet
 
A couple more

Inverness 3/1, Hamilton 4/1, Dunfermline 7/2, East Stirling, 10/1, 989/1, 21p, potential return £207.90, Paddy
Inverness 11/4, Hamilton 7/2, Stenhousemuir 9/1, East Stirling 12/1, 2,192.75/1, 10p, potential return £219.38, SkyBet
 
A couple more

Aberdeen 2/1, Hamilton 11/4, Dunfermline 11/4, Berwick 13/2, 315.4/1, 64p, potential return £202.50, Bet365
Aberdeen 2/1, Hamilton 11/4, Stenhousemuir 13/2, Berwick 13/2, 631.81/1, 32p, potential return £202.5, Bet365
 
A couple more

Inverness 9/4, Dundee 9/4, Dunfermline 2/1, Peterhead 13/8, 83.18/1, £2.41, potential return £200.46, Bet365
Motherwell 2/1, Hamilton 5/2, Dunfermline 2/1, Peterhead 13/8, 81.68/1, £2.42, potential return £200.10, Bet365
 
A couple more

Motherwell 9/4, Falkirk 4/1, Dunfermline 2/1, Peterhead 13/8, 127.79/1, £1.55, potential return £199.62, Bet365
Aberdeen 5/2, Falkirk 4/1, Dunfermline 2/1, Peterhead 13/8, 136.92/1, £1.45, potential return £199.98, Bet365

So far I've spent £30.11 on 34 lines, to win ~£200 if any come in. At two lines a week at this rate with 29 weeks to go I'll be able to run 58 more lines at an average of up to £2.93 - but I expect to run out of selections by then.
 
A couple more

Motherwell 9/4, Dundee 13/8, Dunfermline 2/1, Albion 11/2, 165.35/1, £1.21, potential return £201.28, Bet365
Aberdeen 5/2, Dundee 13/8, Dunfermline 2/1, Albion 11/2, 178.15/1, £1.12, potential return £201.28, Bet365
 
A couple more:

Motherwell 15/8, Dundee 11/8, Dunfermline 5/2, Dunfermline 5/2, Stirling Albion 8/1, 214.09/1, 93p, potential return £200.03, SkyBet
Motherwell 2/1, Dundee 11/8, Dunfermline 5/2, East Stirling 8/1, 223.43/1, 90p, potential return £201.99, Bet365
 
A couple more:

Aberdeen 7/4, Hamilton 7/4, Dunfermline, 2/1, Peterhead 15/8, 64.22/1, £3.07, potential return £200.24, Bet365
Aberdeen 7/4, Hamilton 13/8, Ayr 3/1, Peterhead 13/8, 74.8/1, £2.64, potential return £200.10, Paddy
 
A couple more:

Aberdeen 11/8, Hamilton 7/4, Ayr 11/4, Peterhead 2/1, 74.28/1, £2.73, potential return £200.60, SkyBet
Aberdeen 11/8, Hamilton 7/4, Ayr 11/4, East Stirling 15/2, 207.18/1, 97p, potential return £201.93, SkyBet
 
A couple more:

Inverness 11/4, Hamilton 6/4, Ayr 11/4, Peterhead 13/8, 91.24/1, £2.17, potential return £200.16, Paddy
Inverness 9/4, Hamilton 13/8, Dunfermline 7/4, Peterhead 2/1, 69.38/1, £2.85, potential return £200.58, Bet365
 
A couple more:

Aberdeen 7/4, Hamilton 5/4, Dunfermline 11/8, Annan 13/2, 109.21/1, £1.82, potential return £200.58, Bet365
Inverness 9/4, Hamilton 5/4, Dunfermline 11/8, Annan 13/2, 129.25/1, £1.54, potential return £200.59, Bet365
 
i was a little suprised by the prices on Dundee and Peterhead to win their respective leagues the other day. 13/8 each of. thought theyd both be odds on. I think Dundee will win their league by 10pts and Peterhead have players coming back and wont be as bad as theyve been. If youve got any spare i'd double the pair. gl
 
kompressaur said:
i was a little suprised by the prices on Dundee and Peterhead to win their respective leagues the other day. 13/8 each of. thought theyd both be odds on. I think Dundee will win their league by 10pts and Peterhead have players coming back and wont be as bad as theyve been. If youve got any spare i'd double the pair. gl
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Hey komp.Great to hear from you.

Whats happening?

So Peterhead have players coming back?

How long they been out? I guess Ill have to look on Pie and Bov.
 
The heart of the team is on its way back Hotspur and as a bonus Andy Rodgers is scoring for fun as he ever did. In a division of shit i thought they'd be 1/2 by now but they aint. Hope you got on Queens Park to finish bottom at 33/1 as advised ;)

Ive gave up the internet hotspur and went back to having drunken fights in pubs. Man its good to be back. I hate ethereal things that you cant stick the head in.

Nowt on Pie and Bovril Hotspur as the peterhead fans seem shy (as ever) I havent even checked http://www.singwhenwerefishing.com/viewforum.php?f=1

forum but ive a feeling you'll only read things that will give you confidence in backing peterhead. Home forms NOT a worry as heh hoh these things happen. Hope your ok and if any bet mentalists read this then all i can say is im sorry. It just never worked out.
 
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