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BettingArea - personal sports betting service

Discussion in 'Betting Talk' started by BettingArea, Oct 8, 2011.

  1. BettingArea

    BettingArea Member

    Messages:
    120
    My explanation was about the statistics only and about a period of run which can't be forever because ONEDUMME didn't believe
    (as I understood) in propablity theory. I know that in sports there are a lot of other variables which you pointed and many others.

    OK guys, stop this subject! Everything started from my words which I used in my preview about polish match but it wasn't a key fact in my preview, just only simple feeling about the chances.

    THE END
    =================================================================================

    Let's back to my record...​

    WEEKEND: +6,53units
    08.10 Dundalk - Derry City 2 (AH -1.0) @ 1.83 SBOBET / Stake: 6/10 / FT 0-2 / +4,98units
    08.10 Elblag - Ol. Grudziadz 2 (AH 0.0) @ 1.95 SBOBET / Stake: 7/10 / FT 0-0 / Void
    08.10 Bayonne - Nimes 2 (AH -0.5) @ 1.82 SBOBET / Stake: 8/10 / FT 2-1 / -8units
    09.10 Warta Poznan - Kolejarz 1 (AH -0.5) @ 1.84 SBOBET / Stake: 7/10 / FT 0-1 / -7units
    09.10 London City - TFC Academy 1 (AH +0.5) @ 2.06 188Bet / Stake: 5/10 / FT 2-1 / +5,3units
    09.10 London City - TFC Academy Under 3.5 @ 2.05 188Bet / Stake: 5/10 / FT 2-1 / +5,25units
    09.10 York Region Shooters - SC Toronto 1 (AH +0.5) @ 2.20 Pinnacle / Stake: 5/10 / FT 1-0 / +6units
  2. Punter

    Punter Moderator

    Messages:
    7,527
    I'd go along with that Rc.

    Can we just let BA post his bets up for a bit now, leave him be and see how he gets on? I think he could be a good un, whatever theory.
  3. rcgills

    rcgills Moderator

    Messages:
    4,307
    You're right Punter, to paraphrase Bruce Forsyth "You're so much better than the last paid tipster we had on here".

    Nice start BettingArea :thumb
  4. Seen

    Seen Moderator

    Messages:
    3,426
    I said the same thing in my previous post, rc, just with an emoticon rather than loads of words.
  5. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    10,733
    I agree we back off and give the guy a break.

    After I've taken issue with this load of bollocks

    The chances of red or black or any number are EXACTLY the same after every single spin as they were the spin before. Exactly the same.

    Anyone who thinks otherwise is a fucking idiot.

    Good luck with your bets.
  6. BettingArea

    BettingArea Member

    Messages:
    120
    Thanks, and yes, you're right, the chances are exactly the same in every SINGLE spin. It depends how you look at it. Pls read this article http://www.casinoman.net/content/science/roulette-mathematics.asp (look: absolute probability - sequential probability)
    and you should know what I meant :)
  7. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    10,733
    Thanks for that link. It demonstrates my point exactly.
  8. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,215
    wow,what luck!I clicked on the link and found the book Ive been waiting for all my life,
    "the 7 deadly sins of choosing an online casino"!
    a bargain:dance
  9. hotspur

    hotspur Active Member

    Messages:
    2,215
    love the example,"imagine you and your wife decide to have 9 children"!.
    you wouldnt have any money to bet with:eek:

    omg the 7 deadly pitfuls book is free...yaaayyy
  10. BettingArea

    BettingArea Member

    Messages:
    120
    Tuesday's bet - Euro - Qualification
    Georgia - Greece
    Pick: Georgia (+0.5) @ 2.00 Paddypower | MEDIUM STAKE 5 UNITS

    Greece needs only 1 point to reach the main target which is promotion to Euro in the next year. Guests have few important missings and it should work for the team in negative way. The style of playing in Greece isn't impressive. Georgia for every visitor is a hard place to play a match. At home team there are no any worries in squad.

    Everyone from both those countries expect a balanced game. For sure in both sides will be a big motivation. In my eyes everything above 1.70 is value so take it with medium stake maximum.
  11. BettingArea

    BettingArea Member

    Messages:
    120
    Georgia 1-2 (1-0) Greece | -5units
    Both goals scored in last 15 minutes of the match. What's the best, in the other thread in this forum about qualifications all my feelings were correct (Switzerland won, Wales won and Slovenia surprised Serbia).

    International games never been my the best side which has been confirmed unfortunately today. I am waiting for the top leagues and then will count all October.
  12. BettingArea

    BettingArea Member

    Messages:
    120
    Tommorow will have few strong selection with high stake, should be added in afternoon :wink
  13. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    10,733
    I'll set my alarm clock
  14. fc basher

    fc basher Member

    Messages:
    251
    Fixures dont look great tomorrow lower league french and italian and polish and spanish cup in europe.
    Saying that Kolejarz and Warta both playing :wink
  15. ONEDUNME

    ONEDUNME Administrator

    Messages:
    10,733
    Let's hope it's not a case of "Warta waste o money"

    These are the jokes folks (in case you weren't aware)

    Sorry
  16. fc basher

    fc basher Member

    Messages:
    251
    It was Warta try ODM
  17. Seen

    Seen Moderator

    Messages:
    3,426
    So you know you've never been very good at predicting International games yet you choose one to recommend a bet on in a thread designed to attract customers to your pay-for service? :lol

    A free tip for you - making excuses after getting it wrong will not do you any favours in your desperation to have people pay you to tell them what to bet on.
  18. Wayne

    Wayne Active Member

    Messages:
    576
    :lol Haven't we heard this kind of "justification" of a losing bet before?
    If it wasn't for your English being so good, I'd think you were someone else.

    Do you mind if I call you Yorkski?
  19. BettingArea

    BettingArea Member

    Messages:
    120
    Mates, I am a human, I always feel something when I win and when I lost so I think it's normal. Of course it doesn't change anything but usually people try to find an explanation why he lost his bet. For example professional website Betadvisor.com - if tipster there lost then he can write why he lost and they do it.

    I undestood that you people everywhere are looking for some mistake in my preview or analysis and then try to criticize me. Propably it's because I offer paid service... be patient and follow my bets, if you won't be interested then no problem, I will understand that I was too bad in October to prove you my prediction skills.
  20. BettingArea

    BettingArea Member

    Messages:
    120
    Poland 2. Div.
    Ruch Radzionkow - Olimpia Elblag
    Pick: Ruch Radzionkow @ 1.75 Nordicbet, Sportingbet | HIGH STAKE 9 UNITS

    It's the one of my high stakes games today. Ruch tied 0-0 in last round in Nieciecza (Nieciecza rich club with many good quality players). In Ruch's squad we can find many young and talented players. Olimpia Elblag I know very well, cause I have few contacts there. At the moment current morale in the team is very low. The assistent of coach has fired last week, after this match will be fired the 1st coach Wesolowski because club don't want to work with him. In last match Elblag tied 0-0 at home with Grudziadz and in few parts of the match showed dangerous attacks but overall could be happy that didn't lose. Olimpia is too young team to such level of competition which is 2. Division. They haven't good scorers in squad, before this match few key players are injured and suspended, on road so far Olimpia collected only 2 points and nothing tells me today something will change.

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