Discussion in 'Betting Talk' started by BettingArea, Oct 8, 2011.
SC Toronto 4-3 York Region Shooters VOID
Amazing match, a lot of yellow cards, one red card, 2 goals scored in injury time, the last in 97. minute of the match, YRS won in penalties 4-2 and qualified to the next round.
*Average I try to post an official bet at least 2 hours before kick-off.
Poland 2. Division
Warta Poznan - GKS Katowice
Pick: Warta Poznan @ 1.80 William Hill | MEDIUM HIGH STAKE 7 UNITS
Warta after defeat with Kolejarz 0-1 (unfair as I noticed) and a draw with 5th Leczna 1-1 today will be looking for a win. At home it's great chance for 3 points. Their coach said there won't be any problems with injures because he has a wide reserve bench, the key player Reiss had more days of rest so will play with more fresh. I've seen them few times this season and they should dominate guests. About GKS - I've got the information about their current form and atmosphere in the team and isn't good. In last match they were really poor, only 2 dangerous shots on goal and loss 0-2. Earlier was also defeat on road with Polonia Bytom 2-4. In squad are missings which won't help them today.
We have 2 teams with different targets, Warta is focused all the time on promotion, GKS fight against relegation. In previous season Warta at home won with GKS 2-1 but compared to that season and current time GKS is weaker.
16/10 Canada Soccer League Playoffs
Serbian W. E. - Brampton Utd
Pick: Over 3.0 @ 1.75 Pinnacle | HIGH STAKE 8 UNITS
In the first match 2-0 for Serbian at Brampton's field. In that match from the 30 minute Brampton's goalkeeper Blanche got a red card and tonight won't play. It's a big blow for the young and talented team because this player was a captain and the oldest player in the team who carry on the all defensive line. Serbian in the first 30 minutes was the better team, had many good chances and I think even if Brampton didn't get a red card, still Serbian would be better on the field.
In playoffs in Canada the goals on road count the same like at home, they are not doubled like it usually is in European Cups in final stage so every 2 margin Brampton's win will give us an extratime and then penalties. So I think whatever will happen, Brampton has to play today more offensive. Overall they are an offensive team with many great young players but their defense is too weak. Serbian propably will play tonight less aggresive and will wait what Brampton do but for sure will have big problems to keep a clean sheet. Both teams are very strong in front, guests without the 1st goalkeeper who's suspended and all focused on attack... it should be over.
Warta Poznan 2-2 GKS Katowice -7units
I think Warta is not ready to 1. Division. It's the 2nd match which I chose they can't finish their chances. They were far better team than GKS here. GKS Katowice scored 2 goals from the distance (2x from 20. metres) and... hadn't any other chances so a draw let them very happy.
Philadelphia 1-1 Toronto -7units
Saturday: -14 units
Serbian White Eagles 6-0 Brampton City United +6units
Brampton really gave up yesterday.... they didn't exist, Serbian fully deserved for a huge win.,
16/10 Poland 2. Division
Sandecja - Kolejarz
Pick: Sandecja @ 2.00 Ladbrokes, Paddypower | HIGH STAKE 9 UNITS
I think Kolejarz lately is really lucky, against Piast Gliwice in last match only 0-1 (could be more), earlier they won in Poznan with Warta 1-0 (after fast counter attack). They sit higher in the table than Sandecja but it doesn't show the difference between them. Also Kolejarz will play without their 2 key centre back which in defensive style they prefer will be a massive blow.
Sandecja at home is very dangerous, can win with everyone. So far they were able to win with the same Piast Gliwice 4-0 which won with Kolejarz in last week. Sandecja 2 round earlier showed good performance and tied a match 1-1 with the 2nd in the table Flota. They will play with the best 11 today so I can't ignore such good odds.
So far Sandecja has never lost a match at home with Kolejarz, in last match they won 6-2 (it was in April 2011).
17/10 Canada Soccer League
Toronto Croatia - Mississauga Eagles
Pick: Toronto Croatia (-1.5) @ 1.74 SBOBET | HIGH STAKE 9 UNITS
Pick: Over 3.25 @ 1.93 188Bet | MEDIUM STAKE 5 UNITS
In the first match 4-0 for TC. In that match Toronto had big domination over MEFC. TC goalkeeper hadn't any key saves in this match.
The most important is fact that any win of MEFC (it can be even 1-0) give them an extratime and then penalties. Strange strategy but Toronto Croatia can't give up tonight. Overall they are one class better team, more experienced, have good understanding together and one topscocer Maletic (19 goals) squad. At home they can't even tie. Guests without key midfielder MacDonald who got a red card in previous round. Their coach should be happy they are in playoffs because this season is the new for them. Through the season they trained few good players who left them for different european clubs so at the moment in the first 11 there are many young players who play at the beginning in reserves. Better quality, better squad, Toronto should dominate tonight.
Sandecja 1-1 Kolejarz -9units
Toronto Croatia 4-1 Mississauga Eagles +11,31units
THIS WEEKEND: +4,69units
Still in profit but Sandecja had great opportunity to win, were better on the field, dominated and since the red card in 55 minute they changed a style to ultra defensive and that's why they lost a goal from penalty in 81' minute.
18/10 Poland Cup
Podbeskidzie - Slask Wroclaw
Pick: Slask Wroclaw (-0.25) @ 1.96 Pinnacle, 12Bet | HIGH STAKE 8 UNITS
For sure both teams want to qualify to the next round but due to few facts I expect Slask's dominance today.
Podbeskidzie has in upcoming weekend important match in league with... Slask Wroclaw and as their coach said in local newspaper, he want to test various tactics and choose the best one. He doesn't want to risk any injuries and additional fatigue so will put around a half of the 1st 11 reserves. As their reserve bench is not really good their win for me will be surprise. Slask lost in the last weekend a match in league with Belchatow on road 0-3 (really upset) and coach will give another chance for the same 11 to revenge, to show how good they are and that the last defeat was only an accident. I need to say, their reserve bench is very wide so if will put a little bit mixed squad, still they will be favourites.
18/10 Champions League
Otelul Galati - Manchester Utd
Pick: Manchester Utd (-1.5) @ 1.84 SBOBET | MEDIUM HIGH STAKE 7 UNITS
I saw odds dropped first of all on +2.0 on Otelul and then other lines dropped too so in that case we have big value in -1.5 on guests. My friend/tipster from Romania doesn't believe in surprise. At the moment the style of playing his team isn't anything special, in league the club sits 9th position, last results don't make him happy. He said that fair line of Asian Handicap should be on +2.5/-2.5, I think it's too high but I understand how really bad is Otelul. Manchester after 2 draws with Benfica and Basel should be really nervous and ambitious, motivated etc. Only the weather can destroy everything in my plans, Manchester will park in the Otelul's half, will be shooting, passing and the most propably result is I think 0-3.
20/10 UEFA Europa League
Lokomotiv Moscow - AEK
Pick: Lokomotiv Moscow (-1.5) @ 2.02 Pinnacle | MEDIUM STAKE 5 UNITS
Odds are dropping and I don't want to wait. Big difference between them. AEK like people from Greece say: "Has the worst squad in last 10 years" will have big problems against russian team. I've got an information they will be without many key players (injuries and suspensions) which isn't good news cause they overall are weak, without the keys - even worse. I predict them as the last team in the group.
Lokomotiv one class better team with solid players and overall good team. Will fight for the 2nd place with Sturm Graz, they must win to still think about qualify from the Group Stage.
The most important fact for me was the injured and suspended players in AEK. That's fact which should improve home's chances for an easily win.
The crucial thing will be also weather, from the hot Greece to the cold at the moment Moscow in Russia.
Podbeskidzie 0-1 Slask Wroclaw +7,68units
Slask better in the first half, big domination in the first quarter. Second half became more balanced, Slask changed the tactics and it was really worth it. Podbeskidzie hadn't any good idea how to score.
Otelul Galati 0-2 Manchester Utd +5,88units
Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1 AEK +5,1units
Crazy last few minutes of the game but finished good for us.
Tommorow many games, at the moment I don't have any confirmed information, if got sth I will write.
21/10 Germany 2. Division
Fortuna Dusseldorf - Hansa Rostock
Pick: Fortuna Dusseldorf (-1.0) @ 1.85 Pinnacle | MEDIUM STAKE 6 UNITS
Fortuna at home undefeated since 27th September 2010, at the moment 9 won games in a row on their field. Today all squad will be available, in last match won on road with 4th in the table St. Pauli 3-1. They are one of the main candidates for promotion this season. Hansa in last match (won 2-0 at home with 1860 Munchen) finished their bad streak 10 games in league without a win. But so far on road they are still without a victory, balance 0-2-3. In squad shouldn't be any big problems but both teams at the moment are on the different ways, Hansa should fight against relegation since the end of the season.
Match will be played in ESPRIT arena in Dusseldorf where are fanatic supporters, propably the best in 2. Bundesliga. Hansa will be without their fans (they are not allowed) and it should be a key factor for the things which will happen on the field. Fortuna should dominate.
21/10 France 3. Division
Orleans - Martigues
Pick: Orleans @ 2.10 William Hill, Paddypower, Sportingbet | MEDIUM STAKE 4 UNITS
Lately Orleans at home does a good teamwork, tie with Frejus 0-0, win 2-1 with Red Star. In the last match made a good performance in Nimes where showed good view of the field and tied 1-1. They weren't favourites but supporters didn't see that, it was balanced game. Fans of USO say their team improved and start to play like a team, not like a group of 11 players. In the midweek without any problem won with amateurs 4-0 in Coupe de France. I see few injuries but aren't important.
Guests lately have big problems with injuries and suspensions. In this match unavailable will be 8 players, most of them are important for example 2 key strikers Bourgeois and topscorer Descamps (6 goals). In the midweek had some problems with amateurs and won only 1-0 on road in Cup. Before the season Martigues was a candidate to the middle of the table, Orleans had solid team and was a candidate to the top5. I hope with those problems in Martigues they will be able to catch 3 points at home today.
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2-0 Hansa Rostock +5,1units
Orleans 0-0 Martigues -4units
Home team had big opportunity to collect 3 points but failed. Later I will read what happened there.