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h2h meetings

Discussion in 'System Proofing' started by jtw1, Aug 26, 2011.

  1. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Sat
    ---
    HAMBURG v stuttgart 4-0-0 , odds 2.0
    MAN CITY v bolton 4-0-0 , 1.14
    FEHNERBACHE v g'birligi 10-1-0 , 1.53AZ ALKMAAR v heracles 5-0-0 , 1.3
    BORDEAUX v nice 6-1-0 , 1.57
    BARCELONA v sp gijon 6-0-0 , 1.08

    Sun
    ---
    AJAX v roda 10-1-0 , 1.22PANATHINAIKOS v paok 12-0-1 , 1.7INTER v catania 5-0-0 , 1.66
    REAL MADRID v espanyol 9-1-0 , 1.12

    7+ bets are a 10pt treble FEHNERBACHE / AJAX / REAL MADRID and a 10pt win single PANATHINAIKOS
  2. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    HAMBURG v stuttgart 0-4
    MAN CITY v bolton 2-0 [​IMG]
    FEHNERBACHE v g'birligi 6-1 [​IMG]
    AZ ALKMAAR v heracles 3-1 [​IMG]
    BORDEAUX v nice 1-2
    BARCELONA v sp gijon 3-1 [​IMG]

    AJAX v roda 4-1 [​IMG]
    PANATHINAIKOS v paok 0-2
    INTER v catania 2-2
    REAL MADRID v espanyol 5-0 [​IMG]

    7+ bets are a 10pt treble FEHNERBACHE / AJAX / REAL MADRID [​IMG] and a 10pt win single PANATHINAIKOS [​IMG]

    Treble returned 20.91pts meant a small profit on the day .


    Sat
    ----
    MAINZ v nurnberg 7-0-1 , odds 1.9
    GALATASARAY v g'birlgi , 1.36
    PORTO v academica 10-1-0 , 1.14

    Sun
    ----
    AJAX v rkc 12-0-1 , 1.2
    FEYENOORD v utrecht 5-1-0 , 1.36
    AC MILAN v lecce 7-0-0 , 1.2
    RIO AVE v v.setubal 5-0-0 , 2.0
    SP LISBON v v.guimaraes 6-0-1 , 1.72

    Mon
    ----
    VILLAREAL v getafe 7-1-0 , 1.9

    7+ bet is a treble PORTO / AJAX / AC MILAN
  3. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    MAINZ v nurnberg 2-1 [​IMG]
    GALATASARAY v g'birlgi 2-0 [​IMG]
    PORTO v academica 1-1
    AJAX v rkc 3-0 [​IMG]
    FEYENOORD v utrecht 1-1
    AC MILAN v lecce 2-0 [​IMG]
    RIO AVE v v.setubal 3-0 [​IMG]
    SP LISBON v v.guimaraes 5-0 [​IMG]

    VILLAREAL v getafe 1-2

    7+ bet is a treble PORTO [​IMG]/ AJAX / AC MILAN


    Apart from PORTO , not a bad weekend .


    Fri
    --
    VITESSE v heracles 5-0-1 , odds 2.0

    Sat
    ---
    DORTMUND v w bremen 4-0-0 , 1.33
    B LEVERKUSEN v m'gladbach 6-0-1 , 2.1
    FEHNERBACHE v galatasaray 10-1-0 , 2.3
    Sun
    ----
    INTER v atalanta 10-0-1 , 1.61
    RENNES v toulouse 5-1-0 , 2.0
    R MADRID v malaga 9-1-0 , 1.16
    LILLE v valance 6-0-1 , 1.57


    7+ for this week is a 10pt single FEHNERBACHE and a 10pt double INTER / REAL MADRID
  4. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    VITESSE v heracles 2-0 [​IMG]

    DORTMUND v w bremen 1-0 [​IMG]
    B LEVERKUSEN v m'gladbach 1-2
    FEHNERBACHE v galatasaray2-2
    INTER v atalanta 0-0
    RENNES v toulouse 0-1
    R MADRID v malaga 1-1
    LILLE v valance 4-0 [​IMG]


    7+ for this week is a 10pt single FEHNERBACHE [​IMG] and a 10pt double INTER [​IMG] / REAL MADRID

    [​IMG]

    167 wins from 243 selections

    Current profit = 100.12

    Yield = 4.1%
  5. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    CHELSEA v spurs 5-1-0 , odds 1.83
    FREIBURG v k'lautern 8-0-1 , 1.9
    B MUNICH v hannover 7-0-1 , 1.16

    AZ v rkc 6-0-0 , 1.28
    NAPOLI v catania 5-0-1 , 1.57
    GALATASARAY v trabzonspor 5-0-1 , 1.72

    MAN U v fulham 9-0-1 , 1.22SP BRAGA v academica 7-1-0 , 1.33

    7+ is a FRIEBURG / MAN UTD double
  6. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    CHELSEA v spurs 5-1-0 , odds 1.83 0-0
    FREIBURG v k'lautern 8-0-1 , 1.9 2-0 [​IMG]
    B MUNICH v hannover 7-0-1 , 1.16 2-1 [​IMG]

    AZ v rkc 6-0-0 , 1.28 1-0 [​IMG]
    NAPOLI v catania 5-0-1 , 1.57 2-2
    GALATASARAY v trabzonspor 5-0-1 , 1.72 1-1

    MAN U v fulham 9-0-1 , 1.22 1-0 [​IMG]
    SP BRAGA v academica 7-1-0 , 1.33 2-1 [​IMG]

    7+ is a FRIEBURG / MAN UTD double [​IMG]


    Back to winning ways , Profit from 7+ bets = +93.12 pts 29 wins from 48 bets .

    All selections show a profit of +79.02pts , 172 wins from 251 selections


    Sat
    ---
    MAN CITY v sunderland 7-0-0 , odds 1.22FEYENOORD v nac 8-1-0 , 1.25BARCELONA v ath bilbao 7-0-0 , 1.11
    Sun
    ---
    NEC v graafschap 6-0-0 , 1.33
    FIORENTINA v chievo 5-1-0 , 1.8
    ANDERLECHT v kortrijke 6-0-0 , 1.25
    PANATHINAIKOS v aris 5-0-0 , 1.8

    7+ is a 10pt treble MAN CITY / FEYENOORD / BARCELONA.
  7. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Just as well there were no selections for Fri/Sat so here's Sun/Mon picks -

    AJAX v graafschap 9-1-0 , odds 1.06
    VILLAREAL v r santander 7-1-0 , 1.44
    MAN U v aston villa 7-0-1 , 1.22

    Mon
    ---
    ARSENAL v wigan 6-0-0 , 1.25


    The odds for Ajax are so short that it makes the 7+ bet not worth considering , ROMA would have been a selection but due to the tragic events there all Italian games have been postponed [and rightly so]
  8. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Good day all , as the more astute of you may have noticed i have had a self-imposed break from Football betting but the batteries have been re-charged , interest is once again stirred and let's see if we can make some profit over the 'quiet ' months [​IMG]

    During the summer there are only a few leagues to consider so therefore selections will be fewer but to counter this i'm relaxing my main rules and giving a bit more thought into the selection process rather than just follow the stats .
    I'll still be be looking at games where one team has a h2h advantage but that could be just a couple of games ..i'll also take into account the league positions and the strength of recent opposition .


    Denmark Div 1 - VEJLE v roskilde has seen the home side win 2 from 2 in corresponding fixtures and an overall record of 4-1-0 since 2009.

    VELJE are currently sitting in 3rd with a home record of 7-3-1 29 goals for , 5 against.
    ROSKILDE are in 12th with an away record of 3-2-6 , 10 for , 13 against.

    VELJE have been slightly out of form lately with 3 losses and a couple of draws from their last 7 games but 2 of those defeats were aways while the home loss was to the team at the top of the table , EBJERG.
    The 2 draws were a home game v the team in 4th [2-2] and an away game v the team in 6th.
    So overall a tricky set of games but after a good away win v the 11th spot side i'm hopeful they can show their strength at home against a side who have lost their 4 matches.
    Away from home ROSKILDE ahve managed 3 wins but they were v teams in 6th , 8th and 14th who all have won only 4 home games all season from a possible 12.
    They have lost their last 2 aways to teams in 13th and 11th .

    VELJE have won those 2 h2h home games by margins of 4-0 and 2-0 while the reverse fixtures have seen a 0-3 , 0-1 and 0-0 scorelines ..in other words ROSKILDE have not scored v VELJE in 5 games .

    Stake 10pts VELJE @ 1.53 [Stan James]

    K-O at 15.00
    sin2bad likes this.
  9. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    VELJE blow a 2 goal lead [​IMG]
  10. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    One for today over in Finland that catch's the eye and thats VIIKINGIT v HIFK which the home side won 4-0 last season , the last meeting between them was back in 2002 and also ended in a home win.
    VIIKINGIT have won 2 of their 4 homes , the 2 losses were their first 2 games of the season to teams who are now sitting in 2nd and 3rd in the table.
    The 2 home wins were v sides in 7th and 10th , HIFK are currently in 9th spot.
    HIFK have managed only 1 win and 2 draws from 7 league match's this season with an away record of won 1 and lost 3 , the single win was v the 10th and bottom placed team who have a record of 0-1-6 scored 2 conceded 22 .

    Stake 10pts VIIKINGIT @ 1.8 on offer from Coral , they are way out of line with the other bookies who , on average , are offering around 1.66 - 1.72
  11. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    VIIKINGIT 2-1 [​IMG]

    Starting Bank - 100pts
    Current Bank - 98pts
  12. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Very sad news to report ....the guy who ran h2hstats passed away last week , the news only appeared on the forum yesterday.
    As many of you who follow my threads this site is an invaluable part of my selection process and it remains to be seen what will become of the site .
    Of course that will be the last thing on his families minds right now [​IMG].

    R.I.P Juan
  13. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Time to start posting again , unfortunately it appears doubtful whether h2hstats will continue or not , so with that in mind i'm having to re-consider how i make my selections.
    The beauty about that site was that the info needed was right there at your fingertips , the h2h record either home / away or both as well as the strength of the opposition faced in previous league match's that season and the stats for that league season.
    Sure there are enough websites who offer a h2h facility but they usually have to be loaded one game at a time which , as you can imagine , would be VERY time-consuming as soon as the season gets going .
    If anyone out there knows where i can access a similar site then please let me know as i have looked but to no avail

    So what happens now ...well there are a couple of sites i've found which post selections and thoughts for 'summer' leagues and one has a h2h record [not too detailed ] but enough to point me in the right direction and with the help of betexplorer's h2h facility i can find more detail .
    Another change is the odds...basically i'll be looking for HOME teams no worse than 1.6 and probably no higher than 2.5 , the days of another losing 1.2 shot are over !!!
    Where possible i will also take further into account the current league form , highlight any points of interest and ,where applicable , use the valuable knowledge of posters on PL who follow these leagues [in otherwords , pinch their stuff ]

    I'll stick to this format for the next couple of months until the main Euro leagues have kicked in , hopefully some sort of profit will have been made ..

    Okay , enough of the bull , lets get it started and the Brazilian Campeonato is where we'll begin.

    CORITIBA v sport recife - Home side has won 2 of the past 3 meetings since 2008.

    CORITIBA are in 10th spot in the league , 6 places above Sport .
    CORITIBA have a home record this season of 2-0-1 , scored 7 conceded 3, the loss was v the 8th placed side and wins were against teams in 20th and 11th.

    SPORT have an away record of 0-1-2 , scored 1 conceded 3 , the draw was against the team in 18th while loss's were v sides in 3rd and 15th.

    One slight concern is the fact that CORITIBA have the 1st leg of the Brazilian Cup Final mid-week but imo they should still be too strong for SPORT.

    Stake 10pts @ 1.7


    Monday - MALMO v aik has seen the home side have a record of 8-3-0 since 1999.

    MALMO have a home record this season of 5-1-0 scoring 10 and conceding only 1.
    Their 2nd last game before the break was a 1-0 home win v top of the table Elfsborg [ Malmo are on 2nd spot]

    AIK are in 3rd place and have a decent away record of 3-2-1 , scoring 6 conceding 4. Interestingly those 2 draws and loss were their last 3 away games .

    Quite simply the h2h record and MALMO's exceptional home record this season gives them a great chance .

    Stake 10pts @ 1.72
  14. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Thankfully MALMO saved the blush's with an emphatic 4-0 win after CORITIBA slipped up ..maybe one eye on that Cup game on Weds ..[​IMG]

    Tuesday - Finnish Veikkausliiga - HONKA [8th] v mariehamn [2nd] and the home side has a record of 6-1-0 since 2004 [ they also wona Cup game at home v mariehamn in 2011 ]

    HONKA have a home record of 4-1-2 , significantly they have won the last 4 homes , of which one was against the team in 3rd place in the league .They have scored 9 , conceded 9 .

    MARIEHAMN has an away record of 3-0-3 , scoring 10 and conceding 11.
    They have lost 2 of the last 3 aways inc one against the team in 11th place [2nd bottom] in the league.

    7pt's separate these 2 teams so there's not too much between them .

    MARIEHAMN are certainly to be respected as their 2nd place in the league suggest's but given the fact's that they have lost 2 of the last 3 aways and have never won in the league or in a cup game away to HONKA since at least 2004 [ 19 games ] suggests to me a home win is probable.

    Stake 10pts @ 2.0

    Starting Bank = 100pts
    Current Bank = 87.20pts
  15. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    We lost to a 98th minute OWN GOAL !!!!!

    Sometimes you wonder if somebody's trying to tell you something ...but then you realise S.H.I.T happens [​IMG]

    Nothing catch's the eye for tomorrow .
  16. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Here's one i fancy in the MLS in the early hours of Thursday morning , although not a great deal to go on h2h-wise.

    COLORADO beat VANCOUVER 2-1 in this fixture last season , their only h2h .

    COLORADO have a home record of 5-1-2 scoring 18 conceding 8. However 3 of their last 4 games have been away and to some of the strongest home sides in the MLS , KANSAS [6-0-2] , VANCOUVER [5-3-1] and top of the Western Conference table side SAN JOSE [5-2-1] and they were very unlucky to lose that last away match to SAN JOSE as they conceded an Own Goal and a 90th min penalty !!
    They played and beat PORTLAND 3-0 in their last game which was at home .

    VANCOUVER on the other hand have an away record of 2-2-3 and have actually lost 3 of their last 4 , drawing the other .
    They only managed to score 2 while conceding 9.
    When you look at VANCOUVER'S home record of 5-3-1 , they do appear to be happier at home .

    IMO it's worth an interest in the home side , Stake 10pts @ 1.95 [Blue Sq]
  17. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    0-1 [​IMG]

    Nothing 'till saturday
  18. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

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    610
    Starting Bank = 100pts
    Current Bank = 77.20pts

    In Ecuador [ yes thats ECUADOR] tonight see's LDU QUITO v manta and the home side have won 8/8 .They have scored 29 while conceding only 5 goals .

    LDU are in 7th place overall in the league and have a home record of 5-4-1 this season , the last including 2 wins and 3 draws aganist teams currently in 1st , 2nd and 6th.
    MANTA sit in 8th spot and have an away record 3-2-5 for 2012.

    One fact i think can help us understand why the home side have such an impressive record in h2h and that could be because at 2.85 km above sea-level it's the highest Capital city in the world while MANTA sits at sea-level .
    MANTA's record v QUITO's other side in Ecuador's Serie A , DEPORTIVO QUITO, is just as poor at 9-0-1 .

    That means their overall record in QUITO sit's at 17-0-1.

    Stake 10pts @ 1.61 , bet365.
  19. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
  20. traeth

    traeth Moderator

    Messages:
    1,853
    well done and thanks for the tip , it was the altitude difference that swung it for me