1. Hi and welcome to Betnod. If you would like to view the forum without adverts then please register.

h2h meetings

Discussion in 'System Proofing' started by jtw1, Aug 26, 2011.

  1. slick

    slick Administrator

    Messages:
    14,032
    Aye well done jt, good luck this weekend too.
  2. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Bollocks , thought i'd posted this earlier :mad:

    CERCLE BRUGGE v mechelen 8-0-1 , odds - 2.30
    MAN UTD v stoke 4-0-0 , odds - 1.28

    INTER v catania 5-1-0 , odds 1.57
    GENOA v roma 4-0-0 , odds - 3.30
  3. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    CERCLE BRUGGE v mechelen 8-0-1 , odds - 2.30 1-2 [​IMG]
    MAN UTD v stoke 4-0-0 , odds - 1.28 4-2 [​IMG]

    INTER v catania 5-1-0 , odds 1.57 2-0 [​IMG]
    GENOA v roma 4-0-0 , odds - 3.30 2-4 [​IMG]



    GENT v mons 6-1-0 , odds = 1.53
    LILLE v valence 5-0-0 , odds = 1.57
    SCHALKE v nurnberg 6-1-0 , odds = 1.30
    AC MILAN v genoa 4-0-0 , odds = 1.53
    ESPANYOL v malaga 5-0-1 , odds = 2.80

    BAYERN M v leverkusen 7-1-0 , odds = 1.22
    ROMA v udinese 5-1-0 , odds = 1.57
    TRABZONSPOR v bursaspor 11=1=0 , odds = 1.91
  4. Rushinrogan

    Rushinrogan Member

    Messages:
    68
    Just a question, Why are you using BET365 ? They are notorious for limiting stakes or shutting down those who show a consistent profit. You'd be better of with exchanges (if you don't mind paying commission) My personal choice is Pinnacle. They won't limit you or shut you down. They constantly have the best odds. Looking at that Turkish game you posted, You can get 2.09 at Pinnacle for Trabzonspor.
    Anyway, good luck to you and i admire your work.
  5. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    GENT v mons 6-1-0 , odds = 1.53 2-0 [​IMG]
    LILLE v valence 5-0-0 , odds = 1.57 2-1 [​IMG]
    SCHALKE v nurnberg 6-1-0 , odds = 1.30 1-0 [​IMG]
    AC MILAN v genoa 4-0-0 , odds = 1.53 1-0 [​IMG]
    ESPANYOL v malaga 5-0-1 , odds = 2.80 0-0 [​IMG]

    BAYERN M v leverkusen 7-1-0 , odds = 1.22 1-2 [​IMG]
    ROMA v udinese 5-1-0 , odds = 1.57 2-3 [​IMG]
    TRABZONSPOR v bursaspor 11=1=0 , odds = 1.91 0-1 [​IMG]

    A weekend of 2 halves ..as it were ..[​IMG]
  6. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Some teams with VERY strong stats this week ..

    Friday
    -----
    PORTO v maritimo 13-1-0 , odds 1.20

    Sat
    ---
    AC MILAN v chievo 7-0-0 , odds 1.44
    AJAX v vitesse 12-1-0 , odds 1.40
    PSV v heracles 7-0-0 , odds 1.20
    PSG v st etienne 4-0-0 , odds 1.44

    Sun
    ---
    CLUB BRUGGE v waregem 8-0-0 , odds 1.67
    LIVERPOOL v newcastle 7-0-0 , odds 1.50
    FIORENTINA v cagliari 10-1-0 , odds 1.57
    SAMPDORIA v atalanta 4-0-0 , odds 2.20
    ROMA v palermo 6-0-1 , odds 1.50
    AZ ALKMAAR v venlo 4-0-0 , odds 1.20
  7. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Friday
    -----
    PORTO v maritimo 13-1-0 , odds 1.20 5-0 [​IMG]

    Sat
    ---
    AC MILAN v chievo 7-0-0 , odds 1.44 5-1 [​IMG]
    AJAX v vitesse 12-1-0 , odds 1.40 0-2 [​IMG]
    PSV v heracles 7-0-0 , odds 1.20 4-0 [​IMG]
    PSG v st etienne 4-0-0 , odds 1.44 1-2 [​IMG]

    Sun
    ---
    CLUB BRUGGE v waregem 8-0-0 , odds 1.67 0-1 [​IMG]
    LIVERPOOL v newcastle 7-0-0 , odds 1.50 1-1 [​IMG]
    FIORENTINA v cagliari 10-1-0 , odds 1.57 4-1 [​IMG]
    SAMPDORIA v atalanta 4-0-0 , odds 2.20 1-2 [​IMG]
    ROMA v palermo 6-0-1 , odds 1.50 4-1 [​IMG]
    AZ ALKMAAR v venlo 4-0-0 , odds 1.20 1-2 [​IMG]

    Distinctly avaerage last week [​IMG]


    Fri
    ---
    MAINZ v nurnberg 8-0-1 , odds 1.8

    Sat
    ---

    EVERTON v sunderland 7-1-0 , odds 1.5


    Sun
    ---

    MARSILLE v nice 9-0-1 , odds 1.4
    STUTTGART v hannover 5-0-1 , odds 2.0
    CELTIC v st johnstone 13-0-1 , odds 1.22
  8. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Fri and Sat were ok but Sunday went to the dogs...

    Sat
    ---
    KORTRIJK v cercle brugge 4-0-0 , odds 1.91
    SOCHAUX v nice 5-0-0 , 2.38
    SCHALKE v frankfurt 5-1-0 , 1.50
    CELTIC v inverness 9-1-0 , 1.20

    Sun
    ---
    CLUB BRUGGE v charleroi 5-0-1 , 1.36
    CHELSEA v man city 6-0-1 , 2.50
    PSV v vitesse 13-0-1 , 1.33
    FEHNERBACHE v g'birligi 11-1-0 , 1.62 [11 of those games finished OVER 2.5 goals [1.72] ]
  9. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    ANDERLECHT v cercle brugge 5-0-1 , odds 1.29
    WAREGEM v beerschot 6-1-0 , 1.55
    BORDEAUX v sochaux 5-0-1 , 1.44
    TWENTE v den haag 8-0-0 , 1.30
    REAL MADRID v ath madrid 5-1-0 , 1.44
  10. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    ROMA v fiorentina 6-0-1 , 1.95
    AZ ALKMAAR v willem 8-1-0 , 1.22
    AJAX v groningen 12-1-0 , 1.20
  11. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    GENK v lierse 10-1-0 , 1.36

    FEHNERBACHE v istanbul 4-0-0 , 1.40
  12. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    KORTRIJK v cercle brugge 4-0-0 , odds 1.91 3-1 [​IMG]
    SOCHAUX v nice 5-0-0 , 2.38 0-1
    SCHALKE v frankfurt 5-1-0 , 1.50 1-1
    CELTIC v inverness 9-1-0 , 1.20 0-1

    Sun
    ---
    CLUB BRUGGE v charleroi 5-0-1 , 1.36 1-0 [​IMG]
    CHELSEA v man city 6-0-1 , 2.50 0-0
    PSV v vitesse 13-0-1 , 1.33 1-2
    FEHNERBACHE v g'birligi 11-1-0 , 1.62 [11 of those games finished OVER 2.5 goals [1.72] ] 4-1 [​IMG]

    VERY Poor week.



    ANDERLECHT v cercle brugge 5-0-1 , odds 1.29 2-1 [​IMG]
    WAREGEM v beerschot 6-1-0 , 1.55 0-0
    BORDEAUX v sochaux 5-0-1 , 1.44 2-2
    TWENTE v den haag 8-0-0 , 1.30 2-0 [​IMG]
    REAL MADRID v ath madrid 5-1-0 , 1.44 2-0 [​IMG]


    Better this week.




    ROMA v fiorentina 6-0-1 , 1.95 4-2 [​IMG]
    AZ ALKMAAR v willem 8-1-0 , 1.22 0-0
    AJAX v groningen 12-1-0 , 1.20 2-0 [​IMG]
    GENK v lierse 10-1-0 , 1.36 4-1 [​IMG]
    FEHNERBACHE v istanbul 4-0-0 , 1.40 2-1 [​IMG]

    Much more like it[​IMG]
  13. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    KORTRIJK v cercle brugge 4-0-0 , odds 1.91 3-1 [​IMG]
    SOCHAUX v nice 5-0-0 , 2.38 0-1
    SCHALKE v frankfurt 5-1-0 , 1.50 1-1
    CELTIC v inverness 9-1-0 , 1.20 0-1

    Sun
    ---
    CLUB BRUGGE v charleroi 5-0-1 , 1.36 1-0 [​IMG]
    CHELSEA v man city 6-0-1 , 2.50 0-0
    PSV v vitesse 13-0-1 , 1.33 1-2
    FEHNERBACHE v g'birligi 11-1-0 , 1.62 [11 of those games finished OVER 2.5 goals [1.72] ] 4-1 [​IMG]

    VERY Poor week.



    ANDERLECHT v cercle brugge 5-0-1 , odds 1.29 2-1 [​IMG]
    WAREGEM v beerschot 6-1-0 , 1.55 0-0
    BORDEAUX v sochaux 5-0-1 , 1.44 2-2
    TWENTE v den haag 8-0-0 , 1.30 2-0 [​IMG]
    REAL MADRID v ath madrid 5-1-0 , 1.44 2-0 [​IMG]


    Better this week.




    ROMA v fiorentina 6-0-1 , 1.95 4-2 [​IMG]
    AZ ALKMAAR v willem 8-1-0 , 1.22 0-0
    AJAX v groningen 12-1-0 , 1.20 2-0 [​IMG]
    GENK v lierse 10-1-0 , 1.36 4-1 [​IMG]
    FEHNERBACHE v istanbul 4-0-0 , 1.40 2-1 [​IMG]

    Much more like it[​IMG]
  14. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Weds - LYON v NANCY 9-0-0 , ODDS - 1.40
  15. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    3 for today -

    GENT v charleroi 6-1-0 , 1.40

    SAMPDORIA v LAZIO 5-1-0 , 3.10

    REAL BETIS v mallaga 5-0-1 , 1.70
  16. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    GENT v charleroi 1-2 :cry

    SAMPDORIA v LAZIO 0-1 :mad:

    REAL BETIS v mallorca 1-2 :cry

    Shocking results [for me anyway ]

    Selections up to and including next Sunday [6th Jan]

    Tuesday
    --------
    MAN CITY v stoke 4-0-0 , odds 1.30 [Betvic + Lads] All 4 wins were win-to-nil and the odds for a repeat are 1.90 [365+lads]

    wigan v MAN UTD 1-0-6 , odds 1.55 [betvic] I avoid aways like the plague but this fixture has ended OVER 2.5 in 5 of the past 7 and the odds on a repeat are 1.57 .


    Saturday
    --------
    SEVILLE v osasuna 5-1-0 , odds 1.7 [hills+lads] Interestingly this has ended UNDER 2.5 in 10 of the past 11 at Seville , odds 1.97 [365]

    PANATHINAIKOS v levadiakos 5-0-0 , odds - 1.60 [betvic] All 5 were win-to-nil but no odds are available yet.


    Sunday
    -------
    AC MILAN v siena 7-1-0 , odds 1.30


    The odds on MAN CITY winning to nil [1.9] v Stoke look decent considering they have only conceded 9 at home all season in the league , 6 of which were v teams currently in the top 5 .

    The way MAN UTD have been conceding goals this season , coupled with past results here , make the 1.57 appealing.

    SEVILLE have only gained 1 pt from the past 5 games while Osasuna have had 4 of the past 5 end Under [they have only scored 6 away from home this season] which coupled with past results makes the 1.97 [bet365] for Under 2.5 worth a bet .

    I'm slightly wary of the Greek game as PANATHINAIKOS are sitting mid-table but are only 1pt behind LEVADAIKOS and have shown good recent home form with a win against 2nd top PAOK and a 2-2 draw v leaders OLYMPIAKOS in their last 2 homes in the league [a win in the Greek Cup and the Europa were sandwiched between those 2 league games ]
    Bet365 only offer 1.44 so the 1.6 from betvictor could well shorten as the week goes on.
  17. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Good start to the weeks bets with Man City winning to nil and 4 goals in the Man Utd game [​IMG]
  18. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    The Under 2.5 on the SEVILLE game came in nicely at 1-0 [​IMG]

    Unfortunately i called the Panathinaikos game wrong with the host's losing 2-1 after being up 1-0 .
    It's not the greatset observation to say that Panathinaikos should probably be well avoided for the rest of the season .

    1.30 is still available for AC MILAN tomorrrow , very short odds i know but this should be a home win
  19. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    No bet in the MILAN game , no confidence at those odds
  20. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Posted this change of the rules back in August but have failed to follow them...until now !!!


    'Readjusted rules
    ---------------

    Rule 1 - odds MUST be between 1.33 and 1.9 on offer from Bet365

    Rule 2 - There has to have been at least 4 recent h2h's in the corresponding fixture with the HOME side winning a significant number of historic h2h's.

    Rule 3 - Selections must have had a decent run of results in their last 5 home's ..ie won a significant number or/and drawn or lost by a narrow margin goal to superior opposition.'



    I had COMPLETELY forgot i had decided to rip up the old rules and start afresh with these as from 16th August and had managed to follow them for at least 2 betting weekends !!

    Applying them since the start of the EPL , the stats look as follows -

    Selections = 40

    Wins = 23

    Loss [assuming a 10pt win stake on each selection ] = 52.50pts

    So blindly following each pick could prove to be expensive but i'm hoping a bit of research and alternate bets can show a profit by the end of the season .

    Last weeks highlighted bets would have shown a profit of 14.40pts for 3 from 4 bets.

    Here's this weeks full selections and my personal preferences -

    Sat - FULHAM v wigan 4-0-0 , odds 1.90


    Sun
    ---
    MAN U v liverpool 7-0-1 , odds 1.90

    LAZIO v atalanta 5-0-1 , odds - 1.57 *7/8 meetings in Rome have ended with Lazio winning to nil for which the odds are 2.50.


    I'd be happy enough to take 1.90 with bet365 but betvictor are offering a nice round 2.00 on FULHAM.
    Although not exactly firing in the goals FULHAM should still be strong enough to take 3pts of poor travelling WIGAN .
    FULHAM are 4-2-4 at home this season with those 4 victories coming against sides currently occupying 7th , 12th , 15th and 16th places in the league.
    They have lost to MAN CITY [2nd] , SPURS [4th] SWANSEA [9th]and SUNDERLAND [14th but were down to 10 men after 30mins @ 0-0] whilst managing a draw with EVERTON [5th] and SOUTHAMPTON[17th ,conceded a late pen]

    WIGAN however have lost 7 of their 10 aways so far , the 3 wins being the opening day win v S'OTON , last weeks win at VILLA [who have conceded 33 goals in 8 competitive match's] and a 1-0 win at SPURS.


    Sunday's big game should see MAN U see off LIVERPOOL , a side who are 21pts behind in the league and totally reliant on Suarez for goals .
    The Mancs have won 9/10 homes with the sole defeat v Spurs who somehow managed to keep them at bay in the 2nd when it was nigh-on one way traffic.
    Man U should out score Liverpool here and 1.95 is available from Wm HILL.

    2nd placed LAZIO should win at home to ATALANTA[13th] and 1.62 is fair but that win-to-nil stat catch's the eye esp as ATALANTA have only scored 7 times in 10 games away from home and have failed to net in 5 of the last 8 aways [inc the last 3 aways]
    I read on FootballItalia.com that ATALANTA will be missing 3 from defence , Daniele Capelli, Gianpaolo Bellini and Stefano Lucchini, i must admit i don't know how important or regular they are but it surely won't help their chance's.
    PaddyPower are offering 2.70 for a LAZIO win-to-nil victory and i'll be having some of that.

    10pts - FULHAM @ 2.00 betvic
    10pts - MAN UTD @ 1.95 WmHill
    10pts - LAZIO win-to-nil @ 2.70 PP

    Good luck all Thumbs Up