Cheers mate Sweden - ELFSBORG v mjallby has only been played twice in recent season's with ELFSBORG winning 2-0 and 4-0 but the stat that catch's the eye is the home record of ELFSBORG , winning all 6 this season and only losing 3 at home in the past 3 seasons. Not a high scoring team , 10 for 2 against , but as you can see they don't concede too many either and they are currently top of the league . MJALLBY sit in 11th spot and have won only 1 away this season , 1-3-2 . In their last 5 games they have lost to both sides above them in the league while gaining 2 draws and a win v teams below them. ELFSBORG were soundly thrashed away from home 5-1 last week at ATVIDABERGS [3rd] who are no slouch's at home themselves [5-0-2] but they appeared to get that result out of their system when trouncing Maltese minnows FLORIANA 8-0. Back ELFSBORG to regain winning ways in the league @ 1.53
0-0 Starting Bank = 100pts Current Bank = 73.30pts Ok if this is going to work i really need to keep my discipline and that's something i've not done since starting up again , selecting games with too few h2h's and also under my 1.6 odds limit . Apologies to those who may have lost on a couple of these picks Rule 1 - odds MUST be between 1.6 and 2.5 Rule 2 - There has to have been at least 4 recent h2h's in the corresponding fixture with the HOME side winning a significant number of historic h2h's. Rule 3 - Selections must have had a decent run of results in their last 5 home's ..ie won a significant number or/and drawn or lost by a narrow margin goal to superior opposition.
Ireland - BOHEMIANS v UC DUBLIN has ended in the home teams favour in 5 of the past 6 meetings. BOHEMIANS should be glad to back to league business after a 5-1 thrashing in Iceland mid-week in a CL qualifier , prior to that they had won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 5 at home , 4-0 v 4th place Shamrock and 1-0 v Cork [7th] with the 2 draws being against the 1st and 3rd placed sides in the league . Hopefully their CL commitments won't have taken too much out of the team. UC DUBLIN have yet to win away from home , 0-2-5. Stake 10pts @ 2.05
Weds - PERU - A LIMA v INTI GAS has been won by the home side in 5/5 games since 2009. A LIMA [13th] have a home record this season of 7-3-1 , they lost their last 2 games but those were both away from home [1-4-7 away record] they drew with the 4th placed and beat the 2nd placed teams in the league in their last 2 home match's. INTI GAS have an away record of 1-2-8 , [8-3-1 at home] and have lost the last 4 of those . Basically these teams appear to have mirror image results at Home compared to playing away ,so, together with the h2h the bet is 10pts A LIMA @ 1.7
A LIMA v INTI GAS ended in a draw Holidays are over and the main Euro leagues are kicking in. Saturday - Denmark Superliga - NORDSJAELLAND have beaten SILKEBORG 7 times from the past 8 corresponding meetings since 2006/7 . Both have played 4 games in the league this season with N'LLAND's record being 1-2-1 , their only home game from those seen them earn a draw v 2nd placed Odense and also an away point v 4th placed and a win v 5th placed. SILKEBORG are 1-0-3 with the sole win being against the side who are currently propping up the league [ Esbjerg 0-1-3 ] then followed 3 defeats , 2 at home and 1 away. N'LLAND won the league last season ,losing only twice at home. Stake 10pts @ 1.72 with Ladbrokes , bet 365 are as low as 1.6
Sunday - Brazil - SAO PAULO v GREMIO has ended in victory for the home team in the past 8 from 9 corresponding fixtures , the other was a draw , since 2002 . Sao Paulo also have a home victory in the Cope Libertadores v Gremio in that time. SAO PAULO are 6th in the league table [8-1-6] and have a home record of 6-0-1 conceding only 3 goals whilst scoring 11 , the sole loss was v 2nd placed VASCO. GREMIO are actually above SP in the table , 4th [9-1-5] , but their away form is not too impressive 3-1-4 inc losses to the 14th and 18th placed sides. Stake 10pts @ 2.00 from bet365
Good evening all and i hope you'll forgive me if i rip up the rules i posted earlier on this page. Basically took time to review the past season's results and the record of teams with odds of 2.0+ simply has a strike-rate which only just ensures a very small profit , as you would expect those who are shorter have a better strike-rate with a decent return esp those 1.4 - 1.8. Readjusted rules --------------- Rule 1 - odds MUST be between 1.33 and 1.9 on offer from Bet365 Rule 2 - There has to have been at least 4 recent h2h's in the corresponding fixture with the HOME side winning a significant number of historic h2h's. Rule 3 - Selections must have had a decent run of results in their last 5 home's ..ie won a significant number or/and drawn or lost by a narrow margin goal to superior opposition. Taking those shorter odds also means i'll be betting doubles/ trebles the majority of the time , i know a significant amount of readers prefer to bet singles but i'm confidant i can achieve the strike-rate needed to show a profit in the majority of bets. I will not consider any league until they have played at least 4 match's into the season and will end with 4 to play. ANY cup game will not be taken , LEAGUE ONLY. Only games played between Friday and Monday will be looked at. As h2hstats is still in limbo i'm relying on flash scores for info . Fri- A KIEV v ILLICHEVETS in the Ukrainian 1st Div has seen the home side win 5 of the past 7 corresponding fixture [17 scored 4 conceded] A KIEV have played 5 games this season with a 2-1-2 record , the draw and 2 losses were v the teams currently in 1st , 2nd and 3rd and all of whom are usually top 4 finishers. Their 2 wins were against sides currently above them in the table A KIEV are found just below top 6 come the end of recent season's while ILLICHEVETS flirt with the mid - to - bottom part of the league. ILLICHEVETS have also played 5 games this season with a record of 2-0-3 , winning 2 aways but they were against a newly promoted side who have gathered only 1 pt from a possible 15 and a serial bottom half finisher. Stake 10pts @ 1.9 with Bet365 , Corals is as low as 1.8
2-1 KIEV Denmark Superliga - FC COPENHAGEN v BRONDBY has seen the home side win 7 of the last 9 corresponding fixtures . COPENHAGEN sit top of the league after 4 wins and a draw [v 3rd placed side] from 5 games. They have won all 3 homes , scoring 10 and conceding 3 . In this fixture they have scored 20 to Brondby's 5 BRONDBY are 10th of 12 in the table and have lost both aways this season. Stake 10pts @ 1.57 from Bet365
1-1 Bolivia - SAN JOSE have beaten BLOOMING 18 times from 21 games , and those other 3 were draws. After 4 games played in the league, SAN JOSE have won both homes and BLOOMING have lost their 2 aways . odds = 1.61 Meanwhile up the road in Mexico , MONTERREY have beaten ATLANTE 11 times from 13 since 2001 [other 2 were draws] and conceded only 7 goals whilst scoring 28. After 4 games both have a record of 1-2-1 , ATLANTE have won away but that was against the bottom placed club who have lost all 4 match's . odds = 1.57 Even further up North see's REAL SALT LAKE take on DALLAS in the MLS and they have won the past 6 from 7 in corresponding fixtures . REAL have won 9 times from 14 [9-1-3] at home this season while DALLAS have won only 2 away's [2-2-8] REAL lie 2nd in the Western Conference while DALLAS sit 4places and 13pts further down the table. odds = 1.72 Stake 10pts REAL SALT LAKE Stake 10pt double SAN JOSE /MONTERREY * Note both REAL and MONTERREY kick-off in the early hours of Sunday morning
In Belgium for Saturdays sole selection - MECHELEN have beaten BEERSCHOT 5 times from the last 6 corresponding meetings . MECHELEN have won v CHARLEROI and earned a decent 3-3 draw v CLUB BRUGGE in their 2 home games so far BEERSCHOT have lost their 2 aways but they were v CLUB BRUGGE and ANDERLECHT so no disgrace there ! ....but having won only 3 aways [2 of which were against teams who were later relegated] in the past 2 season's it's a bold man who would take them to get an away result v anyone in that league . odds = 1.88 available from 188bet
CHELSEA v stoke 5-0-0 , odds - 1.4 VITESSE V heracles 6-0-1 , odds - 1.62 Sun --- PSV v feyenoord 5-1-0 , odds - 1.44 SP BRAGA v rio ave 6-0-0 , odds - 1.5 LEVANTE v real sociedad 5-0-1 , odds - 2.25
CHELSEA v stoke 5-0-0 , odds - 1.4 1-0 VITESSE V heracles 6-0-1 , odds - 1.62 1-1 Sun --- PSV v feyenoord 5-1-0 , odds - 1.44 3-0 SP BRAGA v rio ave 6-0-0 , odds - 1.5 4-1 LEVANTE v real sociedad 5-0-1 , odds - 2.25 2-1 Decent start to the 'main' league season , a 10pt straight win on each selection would have shown a profit of 15.90pts. Tuesday -------- BAYERN M v wolfsburg 13-1-0 , odds - 1.2 Weds ----- AC MILAN v cagliari 9-1-0 , odds - 1.62
Tuesday -------- BAYERN M v wolfsburg 13-1-0 , odds - 1.2 3-0 Weds ----- AC MILAN v cagliari 9-1-0 , odds - 1.62 2-0 10pt win returns so far = 24.10pts Saturday ---------- MAN UTD v spurs 6-0-0 , odds - 1.57 PSG v souchaux 4-0-0 , odds - 1.2 DORTMUND v g'bach 9-1-0 , odds - 1.36 HEERENVEEN v breda 8-1-0 , odds - 1.53 Sunday ------- INTER v fiorentina 11-0-1 , odds - 2.0 AZ ALKMAAR v walwijk 9-1-0 , odds - 1.36
Saturday ---------- MAN UTD v spurs 6-0-0 , odds - 1.57 2-3 PSG v souchaux 4-0-0 , odds - 1.2 2-0 DORTMUND v g'bach 9-1-0 , odds - 1.36 5-0 HEERENVEEN v breda 8-1-0 , odds - 1.53 2-0 Sunday ------- INTER v fiorentina 11-0-1 , odds - 2.0 2-1 AZ ALKMAAR v walwijk 9-1-0 , odds - 1.36 3-3 10pt win returns so far = 25pts
MAN CITY v sunderland 7-1-0 , odds - 1.29 RODA v venlo 4-0-0 , odds - 1.67 OLYMPIAKOS v asteras 5-0-0 , odds - 1.22 ROMA v atalanta 8-0-1 , odds - 1.5 ATH BILBAO v osasuna 4-0-0 , odds - 1.83 FEHNERBACHE v besiktas 7-1-0 , odds - 2.0
MAN CITY v sunderland 7-1-0 , odds - 1.29 3-0 RODA v venlo 4-0-0 , odds - 1.67 3-0 OLYMPIAKOS v asteras 5-0-0 , odds - 1.22 1-0 ROMA v atalanta 8-0-1 , odds - 1.5 2-0 ATH BILBAO v osasuna 4-0-0 , odds - 1.83 1-0 FEHNERBACHE v besiktas 7-1-0 , odds - 2.0 3-0 Returns to a 10pt stake = 60.10pts
CERCLE BRUGGE v mechelen 8-0-1 , odds - 2.30 MAN UTD v stoke 4-0-0 , odds - 1.28 INTER v catania 5-1-0 , odds 1.57 GENOA v roma 4-0-0 , odds - 3.30
