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h2h meetings

Discussion in 'System Proofing' started by jtw1, Aug 26, 2011.

  1. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Cheers mate :thumb

    Sweden - ELFSBORG v mjallby has only been played twice in recent season's with ELFSBORG winning 2-0 and 4-0 but the stat that catch's the eye is the home record of ELFSBORG , winning all 6 this season and only losing 3 at home in the past 3 seasons.

    Not a high scoring team , 10 for 2 against , but as you can see they don't concede too many either and they are currently top of the league .
    MJALLBY sit in 11th spot and have won only 1 away this season , 1-3-2 .
    In their last 5 games they have lost to both sides above them in the league while gaining 2 draws and a win v teams below them.

    ELFSBORG were soundly thrashed away from home 5-1 last week at ATVIDABERGS [3rd] who are no slouch's at home themselves [5-0-2] but they appeared to get that result out of their system when trouncing Maltese minnows FLORIANA 8-0.

    Back ELFSBORG to regain winning ways in the league @ 1.53
  2. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    0-0 [​IMG]

    Starting Bank = 100pts
    Current Bank = 73.30pts

    Ok if this is going to work i really need to keep my discipline and that's something i've not done since starting up again , selecting games with too few h2h's and also under my 1.6 odds limit .
    Apologies to those who may have lost on a couple of these picks [​IMG]

    Rule 1 - odds MUST be between 1.6 and 2.5

    Rule 2 - There has to have been at least 4 recent h2h's in the corresponding fixture with the HOME side winning a significant number of historic h2h's.

    Rule 3 - Selections must have had a decent run of results in their last 5 home's ..ie won a significant number or/and drawn or lost by a narrow margin goal to superior opposition.
  3. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Ireland - BOHEMIANS v UC DUBLIN has ended in the home teams favour in 5 of the past 6 meetings.

    BOHEMIANS should be glad to back to league business after a 5-1 thrashing in Iceland mid-week in a CL qualifier , prior to that they had won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 5 at home , 4-0 v 4th place Shamrock and 1-0 v Cork [7th] with the 2 draws being against the 1st and 3rd placed sides in the league .
    Hopefully their CL commitments won't have taken too much out of the team.

    UC DUBLIN have yet to win away from home , 0-2-5.

    Stake 10pts @ 2.05
  4. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
  5. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Weds - PERU - A LIMA v INTI GAS has been won by the home side in 5/5 games since 2009.

    A LIMA [13th] have a home record this season of 7-3-1 , they lost their last 2 games but those were both away from home [1-4-7 away record] they drew with the 4th placed and beat the 2nd placed teams in the league in their last 2 home match's.

    INTI GAS have an away record of 1-2-8 , [8-3-1 at home] and have lost the last 4 of those .

    Basically these teams appear to have mirror image results at Home compared to playing away ,so, together with the h2h the bet is 10pts A LIMA @ 1.7
  6. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    A LIMA v INTI GAS ended in a draw [​IMG]

    Holidays are over and the main Euro leagues are kicking in.

    Saturday - Denmark Superliga - NORDSJAELLAND have beaten SILKEBORG 7 times from the past 8 corresponding meetings since 2006/7 .

    Both have played 4 games in the league this season with N'LLAND's record being 1-2-1 , their only home game from those seen them earn a draw v 2nd placed Odense and also an away point v 4th placed and a win v 5th placed.

    SILKEBORG are 1-0-3 with the sole win being against the side who are currently propping up the league [ Esbjerg 0-1-3 ] then followed 3 defeats , 2 at home and 1 away.

    N'LLAND won the league last season ,losing only twice at home.

    Stake 10pts @ 1.72 with Ladbrokes , bet 365 are as low as 1.6
  7. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    6-1 [​IMG]

    Will update totals later on
  8. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Sunday - Brazil - SAO PAULO v GREMIO has ended in victory for the home team in the past 8 from 9 corresponding fixtures , the other was a draw , since 2002 . Sao Paulo also have a home victory in the Cope Libertadores v Gremio in that time.

    SAO PAULO are 6th in the league table [8-1-6] and have a home record of 6-0-1 conceding only 3 goals whilst scoring 11 , the sole loss was v 2nd placed VASCO.

    GREMIO are actually above SP in the table , 4th [9-1-5] , but their away form is not too impressive 3-1-4 inc losses to the 14th and 18th placed sides.

    Stake 10pts @ 2.00 from bet365
  9. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Good evening all and i hope you'll forgive me if i rip up the rules i posted earlier on this page.
    Basically took time to review the past season's results and the record of teams with odds of 2.0+ simply has a strike-rate which only just ensures a very small profit , as you would expect those who are shorter have a better strike-rate with a decent return esp those 1.4 - 1.8.

    Readjusted rules
    ---------------

    Rule 1 - odds MUST be between 1.33 and 1.9 on offer from Bet365

    Rule 2 - There has to have been at least 4 recent h2h's in the corresponding fixture with the HOME side winning a significant number of historic h2h's.

    Rule 3 - Selections must have had a decent run of results in their last 5 home's ..ie won a significant number or/and drawn or lost by a narrow margin goal to superior opposition.

    Taking those shorter odds also means i'll be betting doubles/ trebles the majority of the time , i know a significant amount of readers prefer to bet singles but i'm confidant i can achieve the strike-rate needed to show a profit in the majority of bets.

    I will not consider any league until they have played at least 4 match's into the season and will end with 4 to play.

    ANY cup game will not be taken , LEAGUE ONLY.

    Only games played between Friday and Monday will be looked at.

    As h2hstats is still in limbo i'm relying on flash scores for info .

    Fri- A KIEV v ILLICHEVETS in the Ukrainian 1st Div has seen the home side win 5 of the past 7 corresponding fixture [17 scored 4 conceded]

    A KIEV have played 5 games this season with a 2-1-2 record , the draw and 2 losses were v the teams currently in 1st , 2nd and 3rd and all of whom are usually top 4 finishers.
    Their 2 wins were against sides currently above them in the table
    A KIEV are found just below top 6 come the end of recent season's while ILLICHEVETS flirt with the mid - to - bottom part of the league.

    ILLICHEVETS have also played 5 games this season with a record of 2-0-3 , winning 2 aways but they were against a newly promoted side who have gathered only 1 pt from a possible 15 and a serial bottom half finisher.

    Stake 10pts @ 1.9 with Bet365 , Corals is as low as 1.8
  10. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    2-1 KIEV :)

    Denmark Superliga - FC COPENHAGEN v BRONDBY has seen the home side win 7 of the last 9 corresponding fixtures .

    COPENHAGEN sit top of the league after 4 wins and a draw [v 3rd placed side] from 5 games.
    They have won all 3 homes , scoring 10 and conceding 3 .

    In this fixture they have scored 20 to Brondby's 5

    BRONDBY are 10th of 12 in the table and have lost both aways this season.

    Stake 10pts @ 1.57 from Bet365
  11. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    1-1 [​IMG]

    Bolivia - SAN JOSE have beaten BLOOMING 18 times from 21 games , and those other 3 were draws.

    After 4 games played in the league, SAN JOSE have won both homes and BLOOMING have lost their 2 aways .

    odds = 1.61

    Meanwhile up the road in Mexico , MONTERREY have beaten ATLANTE 11 times from 13 since 2001 [other 2 were draws] and conceded only 7 goals whilst scoring 28.
    After 4 games both have a record of 1-2-1 , ATLANTE have won away but that was against the bottom placed club who have lost all 4 match's .

    odds = 1.57

    Even further up North see's REAL SALT LAKE take on DALLAS in the MLS and they have won the past 6 from 7 in corresponding fixtures .

    REAL have won 9 times from 14 [9-1-3] at home this season while DALLAS have won only 2 away's [2-2-8]

    REAL lie 2nd in the Western Conference while DALLAS sit 4places and 13pts further down the table.

    odds = 1.72


    Stake 10pts REAL SALT LAKE
    Stake 10pt double SAN JOSE /MONTERREY

    * Note both REAL and MONTERREY kick-off in the early hours of Sunday morning
  12. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    In Belgium for Saturdays sole selection -

    MECHELEN have beaten BEERSCHOT 5 times from the last 6 corresponding meetings .

    MECHELEN have won v CHARLEROI and earned a decent 3-3 draw v CLUB BRUGGE in their 2 home games so far

    BEERSCHOT have lost their 2 aways but they were v CLUB BRUGGE and ANDERLECHT so no disgrace there ! ....but having won only 3 aways [2 of which were against teams who were later relegated] in the past 2 season's it's a bold man who would take them to get an away result v anyone in that league .

    odds = 1.88 available from 188bet
  13. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    CHELSEA v stoke 5-0-0 , odds - 1.4
    VITESSE V heracles 6-0-1 , odds - 1.62

    Sun
    ---
    PSV v feyenoord 5-1-0 , odds - 1.44
    SP BRAGA v rio ave 6-0-0 , odds - 1.5
    LEVANTE v real sociedad 5-0-1 , odds - 2.25
  14. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    CHELSEA v stoke 5-0-0 , odds - 1.4 [​IMG] 1-0
    VITESSE V heracles 6-0-1 , odds - 1.62 [​IMG] 1-1

    Sun
    ---
    PSV v feyenoord 5-1-0 , odds - 1.44 [​IMG] 3-0
    SP BRAGA v rio ave 6-0-0 , odds - 1.5 [​IMG] 4-1
    LEVANTE v real sociedad 5-0-1 , odds - 2.25 [​IMG] 2-1

    Decent start to the 'main' league season , a 10pt straight win on each selection would have shown a profit of 15.90pts.



    Tuesday
    --------
    BAYERN M v wolfsburg 13-1-0 , odds - 1.2

    Weds
    -----
    AC MILAN v cagliari 9-1-0 , odds - 1.62
  15. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Tuesday
    --------
    BAYERN M v wolfsburg 13-1-0 , odds - 1.2 3-0 [​IMG]

    Weds
    -----
    AC MILAN v cagliari 9-1-0 , odds - 1.62 2-0 [​IMG]

    10pt win returns so far = 24.10pts


    Saturday
    ----------
    MAN UTD v spurs 6-0-0 , odds - 1.57
    PSG v souchaux 4-0-0 , odds - 1.2
    DORTMUND v g'bach 9-1-0 , odds - 1.36
    HEERENVEEN v breda 8-1-0 , odds - 1.53

    Sunday
    -------
    INTER v fiorentina 11-0-1 , odds - 2.0
    AZ ALKMAAR v walwijk 9-1-0 , odds - 1.36
  16. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    Saturday
    ----------

    MAN UTD v spurs 6-0-0 , odds - 1.57 2-3 [​IMG]
    PSG v souchaux 4-0-0 , odds - 1.2 2-0 [​IMG]
    DORTMUND v g'bach 9-1-0 , odds - 1.36 5-0 [​IMG]
    HEERENVEEN v breda 8-1-0 , odds - 1.53 2-0 [​IMG]

    Sunday
    -------
    INTER v fiorentina 11-0-1 , odds - 2.0 2-1 [​IMG]
    AZ ALKMAAR v walwijk 9-1-0 , odds - 1.36 3-3 [​IMG]


    10pt win returns so far = 25pts
  17. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    MAN CITY v sunderland 7-1-0 , odds - 1.29
    RODA v venlo 4-0-0 , odds - 1.67

    OLYMPIAKOS v asteras 5-0-0 , odds - 1.22
    ROMA v atalanta 8-0-1 , odds - 1.5
    ATH BILBAO v osasuna 4-0-0 , odds - 1.83
    FEHNERBACHE v besiktas 7-1-0 , odds - 2.0
  18. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    MAN CITY v sunderland 7-1-0 , odds - 1.29 [​IMG] 3-0
    RODA v venlo 4-0-0 , odds - 1.67 [​IMG] 3-0

    OLYMPIAKOS v asteras 5-0-0 , odds - 1.22 [​IMG] 1-0
    ROMA v atalanta 8-0-1 , odds - 1.5 [​IMG] 2-0
    ATH BILBAO v osasuna 4-0-0 , odds - 1.83 [​IMG] 1-0
    FEHNERBACHE v besiktas 7-1-0 , odds - 2.0 [​IMG] 3-0


    Returns to a 10pt stake = 60.10pts
    Punter likes this.
  19. sin2bad

    sin2bad Member

    Messages:
    59
    Cracking stuff JT...gutted i missed this...would have made a nice acca!!
  20. jtw1

    jtw1 Member

    Messages:
    610
    CERCLE BRUGGE v mechelen 8-0-1 , odds - 2.30
    MAN UTD v stoke 4-0-0 , odds - 1.28

    INTER v catania 5-1-0 , odds 1.57
    GENOA v roma 4-0-0 , odds - 3.30