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ODM's Pretty Young Things

Update. One loser because I'm too stupid to have backed it each way at 4 places and one winner at 5/1 (backed 12 pts 3 ins 5/2)

26point profit on the day taking my profit to +46 (3 winners from 9 selections). P/L at SP would have been +43.5 pts
 
I don't really like backing one of two joint favs in a race because I don't see it as value to have what the bookies see as a 50/50 decision plus the rest of the field against me but I'm in that position for the 330 race at Thirsk tomorrow. Tamkeen 10pts 7/4. In the tracker from last year but other jt fv has the benefit of a run as well so I wouldn't be advising anyone to back this one.

405 Thirks Henley 5pt ew 11/1 Skybet. finished 2nd on the wrong side of the track at Ripon recently and tends to come into form at this time of the year.

340 Salisbury Flight of Fantasy . Progressive and this is her trip but a worry that the price is drifting. I will be backing tomorrow when I see what the price is with a 5pt win and 5pt for a place on Betfair (better place prices)
 
FOF a non runner and the other two have drifted badly so the signs are not good for today.

I somehow missed Dyna Might 535 thirsk 5pt ew 12/1 4 places
 
ONEDUNME said:
FOF a non runner and the other two have drifted badly so the signs are not good for today.

I somehow missed Dyna Might 535 thirsk 5pt ew 12/1 4 places
Click to expand...

Whooah, have i learned nothing from yesterday??? Scrap that, 5pts ew 10/1 5 places
 
Hopeful of better fortunes tomorrow:

300 Nottingham Lady Alavesa currently 11/2 and drifting but will wait to see the prices tomorrow and possibly back the insurance bet for 10pts

505 Nottingham Dotted Swiss 10pt win 7/2

520 Newcastle Fast Landing 20pt win 5/4

550 Yarmouth Screaming Gemini 10pt win 11/4 (drifting)

815 Kempton Sweet Symphony 10pt win 3/1

Will be 60pts staked. Probably need 2 winners for a profit on the day. If I don't update, assume 10pt win at SP for the first one
 
Dotted Swiss won but will updaye later tonight

Today
410 wolves Leaders legacy 20 pts evens. short price but this would be my nap of the day

320 ascot A time to study 20pts 11/4 general but lasbrokes are boosting the price to return 58pts

505 pontefract Leeshan 15pts 7/2

Brighton 500 Tin Hat 30 pts 4/6

640 outrath 10pt insurance bet 3 places 7/2. price currently 11/2
 
Tuesday. Wish I'd followed my instinct and gone for the insurance bet as Lady Alavesa came second giving away about five lengths by rearing in the stalls at the off. Will win soon but the problem is that she will now be on in a lot more people's tracker than just mine:rant

Dotted Swiss won at 7/2 battling well and may well win again soon

No excuses for Fast Landing, although it did trade at odds on in running

60 pts staked, 45 returned, -15 on day

Today, the nap won returning 40pts and the odds on shot won returning 50. Profit of 5 pts on the day.

Overall profit down to 6 points. SP +3.5pts
 
Friday 5th May
200 Chep Bombaro 10pt win 7/2
320 Lingfield Big Time Maybe 10 pts 5/2 (shit value)
440 Musselbro Trading point 13/8 12 pts
350 Lingfield Ross Raith Rover 5pt ew 11/1
655 Newcastle Bella Ferrari 10pt win. 10pt place to be put on tomorrow
805 Newcastle Meshardal 5pt ew 10/1

72pts staked
 
Big Time Maybe a non runner returning 10pts and two winners in Bomaro 9/2 returning 55 and Trading Point returning 31.5. Profit of 24.5pts on day.

Profit this year, 100.5 points. Profit to SP 37.5pts

Edit - Just checked my account and have been paid out on 4th place for Meshardal even though there were only 12 runners:unsure (Albeit with a rule 4). I've noticed a lot of that about just lately where bookies are offering extra places for less than 16 runners. I'll have to bear it in mind.

Example is the 335 at Newmarket tomorrow which has 14 runners but there are 7 bookies on oddschecker paying 1/5 4 places . Same with the 240 at Goodwood, including the one that I have my each way bet with.

revised P&L Profit this year 114.5. Profit to SP 51.5
 
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Loads for tomorrow, as you would expect being the first proper week of the flat season without the jumpers getting the attention

150 Newmarket Tricorn 5ew 9/1 and Dommerson 3pts ew 10/1
220 Newmarket Havana Grey 10pt win 5/2 (drifting)
240 Goodwood Medahim 5pt ew 4 places 1/5
315 Goodwood Aleet 5pt ew 9/2
345 Wetherby Pepita 10pt win 4/1
410 Newmarket Gallaway Hills 9/2 10pt win
455 Wetherby Titus 5pt ew 10/1
620 Doncaster Kripke 5pt win 7/1 and Sir Hamilton 3pt ew 16/1
650 Doncaster Shared Equity 10pt ew 9/2
705 Hexham Captain Mowbray 5pt ew 8/1
720 Doncaster Charming Guest 10pt win 4/1
750 Doncaster October Story 10pt win 11/2

I have backed all of these for real money. 127pts staked on here but I will be adding another 10 points to the Captain Mowbray bet if I happen to be down at that point.

Going to need 3 winners to make a profit. Bring it on.
 
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ONEDUNME said:
I don't really like backing one of two joint favs in a race because I don't see it as value to have what the bookies see as a 50/50 decision plus the rest of the field against me but I'm in that position for the 330 race at Thirsk tomorrow. Tamkeen 10pts 7/4. In the tracker from last year but other jt fv has the benefit of a run as well so I wouldn't be advising anyone to back this one.

405 Thirks Henley 5pt ew 11/1 Skybet. finished 2nd on the wrong side of the track at Ripon recently and tends to come into form at this time of the year.

340 Salisbury Flight of Fantasy . Progressive and this is her trip but a worry that the price is drifting. I will be backing tomorrow when I see what the price is with a 5pt win and 5pt for a place on Betfair (better place prices)
Click to expand...

Correction - Henley was also a non runner so amended P&L

+124 pts this calendar year and +61.5 to SP
 
ONEDUNME said:
150 Newmarket Tricorn 5ew 9/1 and Dommerson 3pts ew 10/1 No returns
220 Newmarket Havana Grey 10pt win 5/2 (drifting) No returns
240 Goodwood Medahim 5pt ew 4 places 1/5 Placed at 8/1 returned 15pts
315 Goodwood Aleef 5pt ew 9/2 No returns
345 Wetherby Pepita 10pt win 4/1 WON returned 50pts
410 Newmarket Gallaway Hills 9/2 10pt win No returns
455 Wetherby Titus 5pt ew 10/1 WON returning 60pt (1 NR but didn't affect payout)
620 Doncaster Kripke 5pt win 7/1 and Sir Hamilton 3pt ew 16/1 No returns
650 Doncaster Shared Equity 10pt ew 9/2 No returns
705 Hexham Captain Mowbray 5pt ew 8/1 2nd at 10/1 returning 15pts
720 Doncaster Charming Guest 10pt win 4/1 No returns
750 Doncaster October Story 10pt win 11/2 No returns

I have backed all of these for real money. 127pts staked on here but I will be adding another 10 points to the Captain Mowbray bet if I happen to be down at that point.

Going to need 3 winners to make a profit. Bring it on.
Click to expand...


Didn't need 3 winners for a profit as it turned out, 127 points staked, 140 points returned, profit of 13 points on the day

Profit this season 137pts. Profit to SP +54.5pts
 
130 Hamilton Laughton 10pt win 4/1

150 Newmarket Just the 5pt bet on Adamant as it is fav in a big field and I don't see that as a good price. Also 5pts ew UAE Prince 9/1 4 places.

255 Newm Gifted Master 5pts ew 14/1 4 places

335 Newm Billesdon Brook 1pt ew 100/1 4 places and Dan's Dream 2pt ew 25/1

345 Hamilton Full Intention 1pt ew 50/1

445 Newmarket Qazyna 10pt win 10/3

455 Hamilton Fleetfoot Jack (Nap) 20pt insurance bet at 5/2 (win price currently 4/1)

520 Newmarket Dukhan 10pt win 7/2


83pts staked but the general prices reflect the level of my optimism. I think I'm going to need Fleetfoot jack to win to stand a chance of breaking even today but you never know
 
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