Thursday 16th December
2.45 Exeter - Tudors Treasure 0.5 Point EW @ 12/1
TUDORS TREASURE comes into this on the back of a couple of lacklustre efforts at Ffos Las but prior to that run a solid race when a neck second at the same venue , seems to like it here at Exeter with 3 wins and a place from 5 runs over CD , trainer Robert Stephens has a respectable enough 17% strike rate here but that increases to a 38% SR with his chasers , whilst Charlie Deutsch gets the steering job for the first time and has a 15% SR over the past 3 weeks , a 16% SR at the course and a slight increase when you concentrate solely on chasers (18%) . A few in this look to hold chances but given the horses course form i'm happy enough with a small each way play.
1.05 Exeter - Trans Express 0.5 Point EW @ 7/1 3rd 14/1
Some big name stables lining up in this one (likes of Fry , Nicholls , Tizzard , Hobbs et al) but im gonna come down on the side of Sue Gardners TRANS EXPRESS , on the face of it not alot to recommend it going by this seasons efforts but his best races seem to have come here at Exeter so i'm happy enough to give him a chance , from 17 runs here he's won 6 times and placed 5 times , that record looks even better over todays CD with 10 runs resulting in 6 wins and a place. Lucy Gardner in the plate and shes won on the horse 7 times and placed 7 times , so im guessing she knows the horse well enough. Trainer sends just this one out and she has a 20% strike rate with her chasers here whilst this is also Lucys sole ride of the day and she enjoys a 17% strike rate when riding chasers here at Exeter. As i say not been in the best of form thus far and up against some big named trainers but given the horses course form to date i cant but help have a small each way investment.
2.06 Southwell - Red Allure 0.5 Point EW @ 10/1
RED ALLURE usually runs a decent race here at Shuvvel , altho obviously the new surface is an unknown to a certain extent , from 5 runs over CD he's won once and placed 3 times , at 10/1 that peaks my interest as an each way to nothing to shot. Been knocking on the door last coupla races , third on penultimate start and then a solid neck second last time out to Fircombe Hall at Newcastle , so definatley comes into this in decent nick and should hopefully run well enough this afternoon. Trainer sends just this one out and she has a 20% strike rate over the past fortnight , whilst Josephine Gordon has a 13% SR over the same period , ridden the horse once before resulting in a place , hopefully can put his best foot forward and go close here.
1 Point Win Treble ..
2.36 Southwell - Carausis 10/11 1st 4/7
2 outta 2 over CD , won a decent little handicap over track and trip lto and despite penalty should give a good account. Charlie Hills sends just this one today and has a 50% strike rate in past 14 days ,
6.00 Chelmsford - Bacule 15/8 1st 6/5
1 from 1 over CD and comes into this in fine form in search of a four timer and entirely possible that he'll achieve it , won by a cosy length and a half lto and it could be that a 4lb rise wont stop him. George Rooke is 3/3 aboard the horse and retains the ride , hopefully go close here.
6.35 Chelmsford - Internationalangel 11/10 1st 8/11 (25p R4 on EP)
Bang in form looking for the 5 timer , since going to Jane Chapple Hyams yard has won all 3 starts and despite going up 7lb i really do think he'll go close in achieving the 5 timer.